Italian Elections and Politics 2018: Yellow Tide

[Senator Cris]

Basilicata regional elections (17-18 November 2013)

List and candidates.

Marcello Pittella

Democratic Party
President's List
Democratic Center (with Popular United)
Realtà Italia
Socialist Party
Italy of Values

Tito Di Maggio (Senator of Civic Choice, in contrast with Mario Monti)

People of Freedom
Union of the Center
Moderates in Revolution
Officina Basilicata (with Civic Choice, Brothers of Italy, Great South)

Piernicola Pedicini

Movement 5 Stars

Maria Murante

Basilicata 2.0 (with Left Ecology and Freedom)

Elisabetta Zamparutti

The Rose in her Hand (Radicals)

Rocco Tauro

The Right and Tricolor Flame

Florenzo Doino

Communist Party of Workers

Franco Grillo

Regionali 2013

and a candidate for "Fare for the Basilicata"

[Senator Cris]

Yesterday the Bureau of PDL.

The decisions:
- Acceleration of the passage from PDL to Forza Italia
- Resetting of fillers (including Alfano)

[Senator Cris]

In a 7-6 vote, a Senate panel voted that the vote to throw out Berlusconi from the Senate must be held openly, and not by secret ballot.

Excellent.

The decisive vote is of Linda Lanzillotta (Civic Choice).

[Senator Cris]

The votes of the Democratic Party's circles (not the primary).


Source: Sondaggi Bidimedia

[Senator Cris]

Basilicata

Pittella (PD+Socialists+Democratic Centre+Italy of Values) 59.60%
Di Maggio (PDL+Civic Choice+UDC) 19.38%
Pedicini (5 Stars) 13.19%
Murante (SEL) 5.16%
everybody else below 1%

Lists

PD 24.83% (4 seats)
Pittella President 16.01% (3)
Socialists 7.47 (1)
Realtà Italia 5.92% (1)
Democratic Center 5.04 (1)
+ 2 seats for the Pittella's Coalition
....
PDL 12.27 (2)
Civic Choice 5.08 (1)
UDC 3.8 (1)
+ 1 seat for the coalition
...
5 Stars  8.97% (2)
....
SEL 5.16% (1)

The list isn't Civic Choice but Brothers of Italy + Civic Choice + Great south.

The elect of this list is of Brothers of Italy.

[Senator Cris]

CD is in the lead for Tecnè (+5%), Swg (+4%), Ipr (+4%), Ispo (+3%), Euromedia (+2%), Emg (+1%) and Ipsos (+0,6%).
CS is in the lead for Ixè (+0,3%) and Datamedia (+0,7%).

[Senator Cris]

At 17:00 PM (Italy Time) the vote for decay of Berlusconi.

Today is the day!

[Senator Cris]

[Senator Cris]

Yesterday the debate with the candidates at secretary of PD.
Civati was the winner. Renzi undertone. Cuperlo poor.

The analysis of debate (in Italian) --> http://sondaggiproiezioni.blogspot.it/2013/11/primarie-pd-dibattito-su-sky-tg-24-29.html

[Senator Cris]

The Constitutional Court has rejected the "porcellum" (the current electoral system) in both the points put to the test of constitutionality: that the majority of the premium and the lack of preferences.

[Senator Cris]

Others speak of a law proportional with the preferences...

[Senator Cris]

With this judgment into practice was abolished premium Majority in the House (the national prize, which entitled him to 340 parliamentarians) and the Senate (the regional prize of 55%). So we have the same electoral system for the House and Senate and this is not constitutional... ahahah....

[Senator Cris]

The symbol of New Centre Right

[Senator Cris]

Turnout at 12.00: 980.000 voters (great result)

[Senator Cris]

Turnout at 12.00: 980.000 voters (great result)

The turnout at 12.00 should be of 1.100.000 voters.

[Senator Cris]

Turnout at 12.00: 980.000 voters (great result)

The turnout at 12.00 should be of 1.100.000 voters.

Awesome! What do you think will be the final turnout?

2,5 mln - 2,9 mln

[Senator Cris]

First results (from Renzi's website)

Renzi 160.757 votes (70%)
Cuperlo 41.175 votes (18%)
Civati 28.556 votes (12%)

[Senator Cris]

Renzi 339.334 - 70
Cuperlo 83.862 - 17%
Civati 61.989 - 13%

[Senator Cris]

Where's he getting these numbers from?

From Renzi's website, but the Pd's website said:

30,2% reporting

Renzi 344.565 (68,4%)
Cuperlo 91.039 (18,1%)
Civati 67.833 (13,5%)

[Senator Cris]

   
37,2% reporting

Renzi 468.321 (68,6%)
Cuperlo 121.466 (17,8%)
Civati 92.645 (13,6%)

[Senator Cris]

48,1% reporting

Renzi 712.520 (68,5%)
Cuperlo 185.793 (17,9%)
Civati 142.276 (13,7%)

[Senator Cris]

Berlusconi, probably, is for the Spanish system

[Senator Cris]

Piemonte's TAR has annulled the Regional elections of 2010 for "irregularity in the collection of signatures".
The elections will probably held in conjunction with the EP Elections.
The center-left's candidate will be Sergio Chiamparino, former Mayor of Turin.
For the center-right the potential candidates are incumbent President Roberto Cota (Lega Nord), Assessor Claudia Porchietto (New Centre Right) and Gilberto Pichetto, regional councilor and regional coordinator of Forza Italia.

My prediction: Centre-left Likely

[Senator Cris]

Today, at 18:00 PM (Italy Time), Berlusconi meet Renzi at PD's HQ of Rome.
The government is hanging by a wire.

[Senator Cris]

Berlusconi be meeting Renzi for the electoral law, but President Letta prefer that Renzi be meeting with the parties of majority (NCD, SC, UDC). Also, for the left of PD, this meeting remit Berlusconi at stake.
Berlusconi is for the Spanish system (that favorite the largest parties). Alfano is for the "Mayor of Italy" (double shift between the 2 coalitions most voted in the first round)