Could Brad Henry or Phil Bredesen win "open" Senate seats in OK/TN?
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  Could Brad Henry or Phil Bredesen win "open" Senate seats in OK/TN?
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Author Topic: Could Brad Henry or Phil Bredesen win "open" Senate seats in OK/TN?  (Read 1095 times)
sg0508
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« on: October 20, 2013, 03:57:26 PM »

Both finished up their governorships very popular, which the minority party seems to do quite often in their respective states when elected.  That being said, we know that gubernatorial races are far more bipartisan where voters are more likely to split-ticket and/or vote for the minority party. 

I doubt that either would be able to take down a Senate incumbent, but for an open seat, where we've become completely north vs. south, conservative vs. liberal, red vs. blue again in Washington, could one of them breakthrough and do the impossible?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #1 on: October 20, 2013, 04:00:37 PM »

Bredesen: Yes
Henry: No
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Maxwell
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« Reply #2 on: October 20, 2013, 04:04:57 PM »

Henry could possibly win Inhofe's seat in a strong Dem year, but besides that, no way.

Bredesen I'm not sure, probably would require a good Dem year.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #3 on: October 20, 2013, 04:05:53 PM »

Most likely not. Unless the republicans in congress go down even further, I don't see any way those two seats can be competitive. And I don't think they'll run either.
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SawxDem
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« Reply #4 on: October 20, 2013, 04:07:22 PM »

Henry - lolno
Bredesen - If all the chips fall correctly, he can.
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sg0508
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« Reply #5 on: October 20, 2013, 04:12:23 PM »

I think a lot would have to do with the quality of the opponent and the "timing".  Thus, I would agree that a 2006/2008 landslide year would make it more possible, although 2008 makes it less likely in OK given that any GOPer is likely to break 60% for 7 EVs with higher turnout.

That being said, Harold Ford had the golden chance in 2006 and couldn't get it done.
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Stranger in a strange land
strangeland
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« Reply #6 on: October 20, 2013, 05:55:50 PM »

Bredesen could win if his opponent Akined himself. Henry couldn't.
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #7 on: October 20, 2013, 06:11:17 PM »

Bredesen - Maybe
Henry - Only if his opponent was completely incompetent.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #8 on: October 20, 2013, 07:12:47 PM »

I think they would struggle in the Republican primary.
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Sbane
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« Reply #9 on: October 20, 2013, 07:13:33 PM »

Bredesen maybe if say Joe Carr defeats Alexander and says crazy things in the process. Bredesen might be able to win enough of the moderate vote to win, especially among urban whites. Not that Bredesen is running this time, which is why defeating Joe Carr has to be priority number one.
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CnstutnlCnsrvatv
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« Reply #10 on: October 20, 2013, 07:18:33 PM »

no these states are absolutely safe ror republicans
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nolesfan2011
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« Reply #11 on: October 25, 2013, 06:40:40 PM »

Yes in both cases, unless the GOP runs strong candidates, in which case, no chance.
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sg0508
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« Reply #12 on: November 03, 2013, 12:30:22 AM »

Good discussion. I suppose on the other side of the aisle, the question could also be asked for former Gov. Rell of CT or Jim Douglas of VT, although I know Douglas' popularity waned a bit later in his tenure.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #13 on: November 03, 2013, 01:23:40 AM »

Bredesen- Yes, he would be competitive in a midterm with an underwater Republican president.  Had Romney won last year, he might have tried in 2014.

Henry- No.  There is no one too conservative for Oklahoma right now.

Douglas- No.  Even if Vermont were only a normal D state, he has lost his aura.

Rell- Yes.  The most viable of anyone mentioned.  She could have had it in 2010 if she wanted it IMO.
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