NC 2016 Gubernatorial Discussion Thread

[TX Conservative Dem]

McCrory didn't have any bodyguards ?

[Bojack Horseman]

This is one of the biggest and most important races. NC needs a governor who will veto the crap the state legislature has been passing. Background checks to get SNAP? Really guys?

[Miles]

McCrory didn't have any bodyguards ?

This is a wealthy neighborhood and he was just out shopping.

Wolverine: Yep, you're preachin' to the choir buddy

[TX Conservative Dem]

This is what happens when you hand over the Tar Heel State government to the Tea Party folks.

Trujillo-esque

[windjammer]

LOL Mcrory.

[Miles]

As this will be a big issue in the campaign, an NC Superior Court judge has halted the implementation of the NCGA's school voucher plan.

[Miles]

McCrory writes about the grocery incident last weekend.

Again, I'm obviously not a fan of McCrory, but if I were the cook, thats not the way I would have handled it.

Mayor Cannon has offered to help find the cook a new job.

[Miles]

HPU is out with a new survey and finds more of the same: no one in NC is popular.

Obama: 40/53 (40/54)
McCrory: 37/50 (37/40)
Hagan: 35/51 (33/43)
Burr: 33/39 (29/29)

Trendlines are from the beginning of the month.

[Miles]

McCrory goes on CNN Crossfire.

You can tell Van Jones and McCrory are thinking "screw you" as they smile at each other.

[TX Conservative Dem]

Van Jones, the communist?

[Miles]

Elon has a poll out which mostly echoes the High Point poll.

[Miles]

American Insights, the firm that put out a questionable poll of the Senate race last week, has McCrory's approval at 43/40 and leading Cooper 44-38.

[Miles]

Pretty much the same picture from PPP this month. McCrory is at 40/47. Only 30% approve of how he handled the coal ash spill, 44% don't.

Dems lead 45-42 on the generic ballot, but both parties in the NCGA are equally as unpopular.

[Suburbia]

I think that these 3 Democrats are the only candidates that could defeat McCrory in 2016:
1. Roy Cooper
2. Anthony Foxx
3. Heath Shuler
4. Kay Hagan (if she loses her Senate re-election in 2014)

[Miles]

I'm not sure about Shuler. When PPP was polling every high profile Dem in the state right after Perdue retired, even the voters in the mountain area had a bet negative view of him. Also, enthusiasm from liberal Democrats might be an issue.

[TX Conservative Dem]

I'm thinking Cooper is the NC Democrats' best bet against McCrory.

[Miles]

Former Raleigh mayor Charles Meeker is going on a 'listening tour,' possibly with 2016 ambitions in mind.

[publicunofficial]

The recently elected Mayor of Charlotte, Patrick Cannon, has been arrested on federal corruption charges.

[TX Conservative Dem]

Fox News and other networks confirm Cannon has resigned from office.

Bad news for the NC Democrats championship continues.

[Miles]

While Hagan holds the title as most unpopular statewide official (38/50) in the new SUSA, McCrory isn't much better; he's sitting at 39/49. I'd be curious to see how they defined the regions, but his disapprovals are up double-digits; the exception is Charlotte, where he's only slightly negative.

Also, the outlet that commissioned the poll, TWC News, interviewed former Raleigh mayor Charles Meeker. Meeker is considering a run. Democrats obviously already have a solid candidate in Cooper. If they can't get a good candidate for LG, they should try convincing Meeker to look at that race.

[TX Conservative Dem]

When's the last time North Carolina had their Governor and LG from different political parties during a 4-8 year period ?

[Miles]

PPP: McCrory at 40/48 approval, leads Cooper 43/42.

[pbrower2a]

PPP: McCrory at 40/48 approval, leads Cooper 43/42.

Extremely vulnerable. Not in the Corbett zone, but in very bad shape. Add 6% to an early approval rating (according to Nate Silver) and you get a good prediction of the the vote share for an elected incumbent. As an average campaigner facing an average challenger he likely loses 54%-46%.

Incumbents have won despite such  low ratings -- but such is rare.

To give some idea of how unpopular Republicans are getting in North Carolina:

Q4
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator
Richard Burr’s job performance?

27% Approve
35% Disapprove
37% Don't know

[moderatevoter]

Burr is more anonymous than unpopular.

[Miles]

This month McCrory is at 39/45 and leads Cooper 44/42.