VA-PPP: T-Mac dominating early voters, 57-39-3

[Lief 🗽]

Not sure why they only polled early voters, but it's a good-sized sample (724) of them.

McAuliffe: 57
Cuccinelli: 39
Sarvis: 3

McDonnell won early voters in 2009 by a similar 18-point margin.

http://www.scribd.com/doc/178109125/VA-Gov-PPP-for-LCV-Oct-2013-Early-Voters-Only

[ElectionsGuy]

Not sure why they only polled early voters, but it's a good-sized sample (724) of them.

McAuliffe: 57
Cuccinelli: 39
Sarvis: 3

McDonnell won early voters in 2009 by a similar 18-point margin.

http://www.scribd.com/doc/178109125/VA-Gov-PPP-for-LCV-Oct-2013-Early-Voters-Only

Early voters have always leaned Democratic, this is not going to be similar or nearly as big as a McDonnell win.

[Brittain33]

Sodomy +1

[Maxwell]

I'm not sure Republicans will even win the Attorney's General. Obenshain is close, but if turnout goes the way I'm thinking it will, he could lose.

[publicunofficial]

McDonnell won early voters in 2009

Early voters have always leaned Democratic

[IceSpear]

I'm not sure Republicans will even win the Attorney's General. Obenshain is close, but if turnout goes the way I'm thinking it will, he could lose.

Obenshain will definitely outperform Cuccinelli/Jackson, but if McAuliffe really does win by 7-10 points, he probably will still lose.

[Maxwell]

I'm not sure Republicans will even win the Attorney's General. Obenshain is close, but if turnout goes the way I'm thinking it will, he could lose.

Obenshain will definitely outperform Cuccinelli/Jackson, but if McAuliffe really does win by 7-10 points, he probably will still lose.

In a normal year, a candidate like Obenshain would be dominating.

[pbrower2a]

Not sure why they only polled early voters, but it's a good-sized sample (724) of them.

McAuliffe: 57
Cuccinelli: 39
Sarvis: 3

McDonnell won early voters in 2009 by a similar 18-point margin.

http://www.scribd.com/doc/178109125/VA-Gov-PPP-for-LCV-Oct-2013-Early-Voters-Only

Those votes are set in stone.

This is a very liberal-leaning bloc, as shown by the 57-41 divide between Obama and Romney voters. (Virginia went about 51-47 on the whole).

Cuccinelli may win among other voters -- which obviously won't matter. 

[Kaine for Senate '18]

In a normal year, a candidate like Obenshain would be dominating.

Not necessarily.

[Badger]

Not sure why they only polled early voters, but it's a good-sized sample (724) of them.

McAuliffe: 57
Cuccinelli: 39
Sarvis: 3

McDonnell won early voters in 2009 by a similar 18-point margin.

http://www.scribd.com/doc/178109125/VA-Gov-PPP-for-LCV-Oct-2013-Early-Voters-Only

Those votes are set in stone.

This is a very liberal-leaning bloc, as shown by the 57-41 divide between Obama and Romney voters. (Virginia went about 51-47 on the whole).

Cuccinelli may win among other voters -- which obviously won't matter. 

This seems to make sense on its face, but still doesn't jive with or explain McDonnell winning early voters by the same margin as his statewide total.