NY-4 Is the third time the charm for Frank Scuturro?

[NewYorkExpress]

Rice should clear the field for the Democrats;


Rice vs Kate Murray; Likely D (Murray's whole town is this district so she could make it a race... but Rice would still be favored)
Rice vs Ed Ra; Likely D (Ra has a solid local profile as a State Assemblyman, so he could make this a race, but Albany's unpopularity means this also could be a blowout)
Rice vs James Darcy; Likely D (Darcy is a town legislator and former Assemblyman so he may have some name recognition)
Rice vs George Maragos; Safe D (Like Rice he's clearly ambitious having run for Senate in 2010 (and finished third) but he has more of a history)
Rice vs Fran Becker; Likely D (Being a candidate in 2010 and 2012 gives him an advantage in a primary should he run again... but that's about it)
Rice vs Vincent Muscarella; Safe D (He's a county legislator and unlikely to run)
Rice vs Maureen O'Connell Safe D (She's the County Clerk and a former Assemblywoman, and she's very unlikely to wade into a contested primary, oh and she lives outside the district)
Rice vs Thomas McKevitt; Lean D (He's young, he's in the heavily Democratic State Assembly, And he's a moderate. Problem is if he ran, a more conservative candidate could outflank him easily)
Rice vs Ed Mangano; Lean D (He'd be a strong opponent, but he doesn't live near the district)

Kevan Abrahams vs Maragos; Likely D
Kevan Abrahmas vs Murray; Likely D
Kevan Abrahams vs Becker; Likely D
Kevan Abrahams vs McKevitt; Tossup Tilt/D
Kevan Abrahams vs Mangano Tossup Tilt/D
Kevan Abrahams vs Ra; Lean D

[Paul Kemp]

Kate Murray is out.

[Smash255]

Kate Murray is out.

Not surprising.  The Town of Hempstead has a very strong GOP machine which she has benefited from, but there is a major difference between running in a local race and national race in the area and the Democrats have the strongest possible candidate.  Once Rice declared this was over, so its not surprising she has decided not to run right after Rice declared.

[hopper]

No its a D+3 district not D+5.

[Smash255]

No its a D+3 district not D+5.

I think Cook is even confused.  He has the 2008 #'s at 55-44 but Obama by 8   Rounding can make it a 1 point difference such as the 2012 #'s of 56-43 showing as +12, but 55-44 a +8??

Regardless, once Rice declared this was over..