Alex Sink running for Bill Young's old house seat
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  Alex Sink running for Bill Young's old house seat		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Alex Sink running for Bill Young's old house seat  (Read 40806 times)
ag
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« Reply #175 on: March 11, 2014, 06:12:10 PM »
Will be very close.
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Flake
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« Reply #176 on: March 11, 2014, 06:14:17 PM »
http://enr.votepinellas.com/FL/Pinellas/50891/125031/en/summary.html

Much faster result reporting Tongue
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #177 on: March 11, 2014, 06:14:59 PM »
Am I lagging behind here? I'm only watching AP and seems to be minutes behind what you guys are reporting.


Thanks
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Badger
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« Reply #178 on: March 11, 2014, 06:15:03 PM »
Quote from: ajc0918 on March 11, 2014, 06:07:52 PM

Absentee Votes:

David W. Jolly (REP)   59,950      
Alex Sink (DEM)   62,978      
Lucas Overby (LPF)   6,629      
WRITE-IN    262   

If I understood earlier posts, don't Republicans usually lose this district even if they have a couple points advantage in absentee balloting?
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ag
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« Reply #179 on: March 11, 2014, 06:16:18 PM »
Quote from: Badger on March 11, 2014, 06:15:03 PM
Quote from: ajc0918 on March 11, 2014, 06:07:52 PM

Absentee Votes:

David W. Jolly (REP)   59,950      
Alex Sink (DEM)   62,978      
Lucas Overby (LPF)   6,629      
WRITE-IN    262   

If I understood earlier posts, don't Republicans usually lose this district even if they have a couple points advantage in absentee balloting?

I think it is the other way around.

Sink lead is down to about 500 votes, with half the precincts reporting smthg
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #180 on: March 11, 2014, 06:16:54 PM »
47-47-5 Sink
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ag
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« Reply #181 on: March 11, 2014, 06:17:33 PM »
And now Jolly ahead by a 1000 votes.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #182 on: March 11, 2014, 06:17:44 PM »
Jolly 48-47 with 151/225 precincts.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #183 on: March 11, 2014, 06:18:18 PM »
Looks like Jolly is gonna win. Sad
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LeBron
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« Reply #184 on: March 11, 2014, 06:18:36 PM »
Don't worry Dems. According to X, the precincts coming in now are some temporary Republican ones. Jolly leads by less than 1,000 votes 47-47 with 151 of 225 precincts reporting. (79,000 to 78,000). Overby is taking about 5% of the vote.
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Miles
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« Reply #185 on: March 11, 2014, 06:19:35 PM »
Overby is getting 5%. Pretty good, as some were predicting his collapse.
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Miles
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« Reply #186 on: March 11, 2014, 06:20:03 PM »
47.96/47.00 Jolly with 169/225.
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I Will Not Be Wrong
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« Reply #187 on: March 11, 2014, 06:20:26 PM »
Come on Jolly!!
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #188 on: March 11, 2014, 06:20:31 PM »
Yep, whoever the winner will be will get <50%
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #189 on: March 11, 2014, 06:21:40 PM »
Jolly's lead is 2400 and growing.
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Badger
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« Reply #190 on: March 11, 2014, 06:21:48 PM »
Quote from: ag on March 11, 2014, 06:16:18 PM
Quote from: Badger on March 11, 2014, 06:15:03 PM
Quote from: ajc0918 on March 11, 2014, 06:07:52 PM

Absentee Votes:

David W. Jolly (REP)   59,950      
Alex Sink (DEM)   62,978      
Lucas Overby (LPF)   6,629      
WRITE-IN    262   

If I understood earlier posts, don't Republicans usually lose this district even if they have a couple points advantage in absentee balloting?

I think it is the other way around.

Sink lead is down to about 500 votes, with half the precincts reporting smthg

Quote from: Lіef on February 24, 2014, 03:46:55 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on February 23, 2014, 05:15:26 AM
Quote from: Mardi Gras Miles on February 20, 2014, 06:10:04 PM
66K early votes have been cast. The split is 42R/39D/19I which is similar to the overall registration.


Yeah, those numbers look encouraging:

In 2012, 7% more Republicans than Democrats turned out - but Obama won the district.

Since then, the numbers have gotten worse for Jolly. Republicans lead Democrats in absentees only 42-40 now: http://www.tampabay.com/news/politics/stateroundup/republican-lead-in-absentee-ballots-too-slim-to-comfort-jolly/2166900

The GOP lead for absentees grew some in the final days after this was posted, but if Sink actually won the absentee vote.

Admittedly, the current actual results on the ground don't support this theory, but....
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Miles
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« Reply #191 on: March 11, 2014, 06:21:51 PM »
Jolly up by over a point...48.1-46.9. (2046 votes)

187/225 in.
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ag
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« Reply #192 on: March 11, 2014, 06:21:58 PM »
Quote from: Appointee MW Representative Adam C. FitzGerald on March 11, 2014, 06:18:36 PM
Don't worry Dems. According to X, the precincts coming in now are some temporary Republican ones. Jolly leads by less than 1,000 votes 47-47 with 151 of 225 precincts reporting. (79,000 to 78,000). Overby is taking about 5% of the vote.

All kinds of precincts have come in. And Jolly is ahead by a couple of thousand votes.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #193 on: March 11, 2014, 06:23:26 PM »
Reminder that the automatic recount is 0.5%. Smith says he's seeing many precincts where Sink is underperforming Obama '12.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #194 on: March 11, 2014, 06:23:56 PM »
Jolly has got this, I think. Almost all in. Its comin in quick!
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Badger
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« Reply #195 on: March 11, 2014, 06:24:16 PM »
About 90% in with Jolly up by 2.5%. Looks good for Jolly.
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Miles
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« Reply #196 on: March 11, 2014, 06:24:23 PM »
Sink is constantly falling...down to 46.7% now.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #197 on: March 11, 2014, 06:24:28 PM »
Jolly Jolly sinks Sink.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #198 on: March 11, 2014, 06:24:32 PM »
Gerrymandering works, what a freaking surprise.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #199 on: March 11, 2014, 06:25:23 PM »
Wasserman says he thinks Jolly has this. No calls yet.
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