By-elections of the 44th Australian Parliament (2013-2016)

[YL]

How likely do you think it is that there's another minor party (or the Sports Party again) benefitting from a preference cascade?

[YL]

ABC live blog

Some very, very early results look good, on first sight, for the Greens and for Palmer.  But I don't know what sort of places they're coming from.

[YL]

Putting the current ABC projections (based on 8.9% counted) of Lib 34.4, Lab 19.7, Green 18.1, Palmer 11.6, Nat 3.3, Lib Dem 1.7 (I didn't adjust shares for parties below that) into the Senate calculator gave Lib 3 Lab 1 Green 1 Palmer 1, with the last seat being quite close between the third Liberal and second Labor candidates.

[YL]

The ABC projection (using the senate calculator) has now flipped to Labor winning the last seat (2/2/1/1).  56% counted.

[YL]

Have one of these: http://www.abc.net.au/news/federal-election-2013/results/senate/wa/ been placed on the ABC website yet? They were fun

Yes, here.  It's gone back to giving the third seat to the Liberals, though it's very close on the last count: 625 votes out of over 280,000.  (68.7% counted.)