Northern Virginia population growth

[DS0816]

the states that are dying out (all dem controlled BTW)

What?  I think only Michigan has lost population in the last decade or so, and its state government is largely Republican.

But the parts of Michigan that have grown are largely the god-awful suburban/exurban/faux-rural sprawl (sorry Cathcon! ), which are the places where Republicans of the "Right-Wing Nutjob" variety usually come from.

No and Yes. Oakland County is not largely Republican even though the County Exec is a Republican. Kent County is Republican yes. Livingston is hugely Dem though. Wayne is losing population like crazy.

In Michigan, Livingston County (Howell) is Republican. Kent County (Grand Rapids) is Republican (but did flip Democratic for Barack Obama as he won the state 9.18 percentage points about his national percentage margin. Oakland County (Pontiac) is Democratic with nearly five points a Republican tilt. Kalamazoo County (Kalamazoo) is Democratic with nearly five points a Democratic tilt. (This is referring to presidential outcomes in Michigan. Combine Oakland and Kalamazoo Counties, and you pretty much get the percentage margin by which Michigan will be carried.)

[hopper]

That's an assumption that I don't mind Democrats having. Democrats could not possibly have done better in Fairfax County and the DC Metro area, which is far different from the rest of Virginia as you know.

Democrats can't possibly do better than 08 and 12 elections, just look at Obama's approval ratings. They've hit a peak. Just because NoVa is growing doesn't mean it's only Democrats moving in.

Ken Cuccinelli was abandoned By RINO RNC and nearly pulled off an upset despite being down 10 pts, and this was BEFORE "If you like your plan, you can keep your plan." I love how Democrats win 2 elections, and think it's some permanent thing. Be overconfident all you want!

There is no indication the Dem momentum in NOVA is slowing down anytime soon and while its not only Democrats moving in, hey are certainly moving at a faster clip than Republicans. Cuccinelli lost NOVA by larger margin than Romney did. 

It is also more than just NOVA.  Look at suburban Richmond.  Chesterfield is still GOP, but nowhere near as Republican as it once was, Henrico is almost a carbon copy of Prince William.

The problem for the GOP is the GOP trending areas of the state have seen minimal if any growth and are small in population, the Dem trending areas are large and exploding in population.  There have been little signs of anything changing in that regard.  Hell, Romney is probably the best Republican for NOVA

I don't think Romney is the best Republican for NoVA. Especially not with 47%, self-deportation, and the War on Women.

I think Christie would perform well in NoVa.

Out of the 2012 Presidential Republican Candidates he probably was the best candidate for NOVA other than Jon Huntsman who didn't any traction as a candidate what so ever. That's true his self-deportation comments hurt him in NOVA because a lot of Hispanics and Asians live there. Still what did Romney lose Loudon County by 4% points 51-47%.

You want to see "War On Woman" go to other countries.

[hopper]

the states that are dying out (all dem controlled BTW)

What?  I think only Michigan has lost population in the last decade or so, and its state government is largely Republican.

Well the state did have a Dem Governor for most of the decade of the 2000's. Still MI is largely dependent on Auto Manufacturing because of the Detroit Automakers being based in the state.  This explains the population drop from 2008-2011 because of the Detroit Automakers needing a bailout and bankruptcy to reform their business models. A lot of people left the state because they lost their job in the Auto Manufacturing Sector.

The state did lose population from 2005-2007 as well but that was because the Suburbs around Detroit weren't growing enough population wise to more than offset population losses from the City of Detroit.