I quite honestly think that Abercrombie is going to be a one-term governor either way. He's either going to lose to David Ige and the Governor's Mansion stays Democratic, or he's going to win the primary and lose badly to Duke Aiona. I'm hoping for a primary loss.
The polls don't seem to suggest that, as Ige trails Aiona even worse than Abercrombie does. An before anyone says the polls in Hawaii suck - In 2010's Gubernatorial Election: PPP totally blew it, but Rasmussen had it right, which is pretty much the reverse of any other state.