West German federal election, November 1962
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  Talk Elections
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  Individual Politics (Moderator: The Dowager Mod)
  West German federal election, November 1962
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Poll
Question: You're lucky to be alive.  Vote.
#1
German Peace Union
 
#2
Social Democratic Party of Germany
 
#3
All-German People's Party
 
#4
Free Democratic Party
 
#5
Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union
 
#6
All-German Alliance
 
#7
German Reich Party
 
#8
German Community
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 43

Author Topic: West German federal election, November 1962  (Read 2332 times)
Peter the Lefty
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« on: December 03, 2013, 07:07:06 PM »

      The federal election of May 1962 finally created a gridlock which seemed insurmountable.  The left and the right were literally TIED.  Neither the center-left bloc of the SPD and GVP nor the center-right-to-right-wing bloc of the CDU/CSU, FDP, and GDB had a majority of the seats in the Bundestag.  Were Brandt to set out to form a left-wing government (consisting of the SPD, the GVP, and the DFU), it would literally have half of the seats in the Bundestag.  At any rate, bringing the DFU into the government was unthinkable, and Brandt was categorically opposed to the mere mention of any cooperation with the SED's West German satellite.  Were Erhard to attempt to break an even bigger taboo in West German society by inviting the all-too-openly Neo-Nazi German Reich Party to join the CDU/CSU, FDP, and GDB in a coalition, he would also have literally half of the Bundestag's seats. 
      The SPD had managed to gain a few votes which came primarily from the FDP.  Mende's election as leader had not managed to prevent losses of middle-class, left-leaning FDP supporters who were turned off by Adenauer's blunders on the world stage (and saw the post-Bad Godesburg SPD as a better alternative) from switching to the Social Democrats.  Brandtmania had helped to win them over, it would seem.  Yet on the other hand, the Bad Godesburg program also alienated a few of the SPD's more left-wing voters, leading to a surge in support for the DFU, allowing it to cross the threshold for parliamentary representation for the first time. 
      Meanwhile, the CDU and CSU had managed to counter Brandtmania with Erhardmania, and stopped a massive drainage of votes which might have occured had Adenauer opted to lead the bloc again.  Erhard campaigned as an economic mastermind and as an experienced government minister (as opposed to Brandt, whom he called an "inexperienced and illegitimate upstart.")  He played heavily on questions regarding Brandt's background, as the latter was a working-class illegitimate child who had not only fled Germany for Norway during the Nazizeit, but worked for the Norwegian government and even briefly wore a Norwegian uniform.  Not to mention his Norwegian wife (not that this is xenophobic, or anything).  Erhard also managed to win at least a few right-wing FDP members who opposed Mende's ascension to the leadership of their party of choice, and feared he might throw his lot in behind the "foreign" Brandt.  It was just enough to make up for a general flow of "Union"-ers to the far-right. 
      Even the GVP managed to gain a few middle class FDP voters who perhaps still had qualms about voting for a "Marxist" party.  The FDP was the victim of a collapse which simply could not be prevented.  Had Blücher not been ousted as the leader, the losses to the SPD would've been greater.  It was simply doomed to be a bad election for the Liberals. 
      The All-German Alliance managed to surge to a point very near the 10% mark.  The primary source of its new voters was the CDU/CSU, which had appeared to waffle on the Oder-Neisse question.  Erhard's xenophobic attacks against Brandt may not have been enough to make up for the general perception among much of the far right that German Conservatism had been hijacked by the Western Allies. 

      Brandt was first given the mandate to form a government.  He appeared to have two options: another grand coalition with the "Union," or a SPD-FDP-GVP government.  The first option would be far more secure, as the "Union" was relatively united under Erhard's leadership, whereas Mende was having extreme difficulty in keeping his party together.  Yet a deal with the CDU/CSU would likely be much more difficult to hammer out, and the partnership would be far more awkward.  On the other hand, an SPD-FDP-GVP coalition would clearly have one dominating party, and would not be burdened by the inevitable awkwardness which would come about in the event of Brandt and Erhard sitting in the same cabinet.  Yet getting the FPD on board would be quite a task, and Mende would have a difficult task were he to venture out to convince his party to join the SPD in a coalition.  And even if he were to succeed, he'd have a very difficult job in preventing a split on the part of the Liberals (or his own ouster from the party's leadership). 
      Brandt first decided to risk the second option.  He did not want to have to deal with Erhard so soon after the latter had echoed Adenauer's charges that Brandt was ineligible to hold public office due to his illegitimate birth.  That Erhard was also more free-market oriented than Adenauer was also an issue.  Upon meeting Mende, he was told that the FDP would still have a very averse reaction to any extensive domestic reforms enacted by the Brandt government.  Foreign policy was also a very tense issue, and Brandt had to agree to drop his idea for a gradual easing of tensions with the East before even talking to Mende (who was virulently against the idea).  Mende was also a free-marketer in his heart, and his differences with Adenauer had nearly all been based on foreign policy.  In spite of long negotiations, Brandt was incapable of winning the FDP over–yet the process had lasted over two months.
      Next, Brandt met with his rival, Erhard, and asked him if the CDU and CSU would be willing to join the SPD in a grand coalition.  Erhard flatly told him that there was no chance he would do so unless all other options for a government were exhausted.  The mandate to form a government then fell to Erhard. 
      Erhard managed to patch up the old wounds with the FDP rather quickly, and assured the GDB that he would stand "firm and proud" for "German territory in the East."  Yet he would need to find a way to sure up enough support to make his government a majority one.  He turned to the GVP (a CDU breakaway itself) and asked Heinemann to join his government.  Heinemann told him that his party would be "open to it."  And so the next round of coalition talks began.
      Erhard was unwilling to allow for any disarmament, and his commitment to the NATO alliance was absolute.  And in order to accommodate the GDB, he needed to keep tensions with the East where they currently were.  It became clear from the off that Erhard could not manage to win the GVP over.  The mandate was then withdrawn, and all-out cross-party talks began.  This had taken two months as well.
      The deal for a grand coalition was in the process of being hammered out for a month.  The SPD was urging many progressive reforms which Erhard could not accept.  The tension between Brandt and Erhard was also quite clear.  Some recommended that a Social Democrat other than Brandt (i.e. Carlo Schmid) become Chancellor instead of Brandt in order to avoid the personal animosity that would arise with Erhard as Vice-Chancellor.  Some even recommended that Gerhard Schröder, Heinrich von Brentano, or Franz Joseph Strauss become Vice Chancellor in addition.  First, it was decided that the nuts and bolts should be hammered out. 
      It was agreed that this government would only last until 1963, but that a few reductions in sales taxes would be passed in addition to a few new housing projects, health care reforms, and other initiatives of that nature.  It appeared that Brandt and Erhard might be able to tolerate one another after all. 
      It was moving in this direction until the fateful moment in October when U.S. President John F. Kennedy announced the discovery of Soviet missiles in Cuba.  Adenauer had continued to serve as a caretaker Chancellor throughout this entire period, and now realized that he might be the last Chancellor of Germany.  Knowing that the Soviets may attempt to hit another sensitive target somewhere else in the world in the case of a provocation or air strike (and Berlin was perhaps the most sensitive spot in the world), Brandt returned to Berlin and withdrew from the negotiations.  Carlo Schmid took up the reigns as the leader of the SPD's negotiators (and would-be Chancellor). 
      A new government was agreed upon instantly.  It would have only one purpose: to govern West Germany throughout the crisis and up to its end (should that end be peaceful).  Sensing war, the CDU/CSU backed Schmid to become "Emergency Chancellor."  Erhard would take the Vice Chancellory, and Struass the Defense Ministry.  Brandt returned to West Berlin to a hero's welcome, and assured the city that he would not allow it to become a victim of Communist aggression.  The "24-hour government," as it was known, was on high alert in Frankfurt throughout the entire crisis.  Finally, on October 28, Soviet Premier Nikita Khrushchev announced that the USSR would dismantle its nuclear missiles in exchange for the American pledge not to invade or attack Cuba.  The government in Frankfurt disbanded, the Bundestag was dissolved, and new elections were called. 
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Peter the Lefty
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« Reply #1 on: December 03, 2013, 07:28:23 PM »

      The Social Democratic Party of Germany (SPD) is running Chancellor Carlo Schmid as its Kanzlerkandidat.  Brandt declared himself "exhausted" from the endless coalition negotiations and the subsequent Cuban Missile Crisis, and said that he would, at least for now, not attempt to become Chancellor.  Schmid is running to continue on as Chancellor of West Germany, promising a stronger welfare state with new affordable housing provisions, more health care coverage, better schools and infrastructure, and more social spending.  He is also calling for attempts to diffuse tensions with the East in order to ensure that an event like the Cuban Missile Crisis can never happen again.  He is also backing European integration. 
      The Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union (CDU/CSU) is running Ludwig Erhard for the Chancellory for the second time.  Erhard is not repeating the "personal attacks" track which he used against Brandt.  There appears to be an "era of good feelings," in the aftermath of the crisis, even though it will not last very long.  Erhard is running as the "father of the economic miracle" again, promising to keep a social safety net, but to boost German industry, trade, and competition through tax cuts and European integration.  Still an Americanophile, he is wary of immediate diffusion of tension with the East.
      The Free Democratic Party (FDP) is supporting limited nuclear disarmaments, but is not nearly as keen on reconciliation with the East as the SPD.  It is once again stressing secularism, personal liberties, social justice, capitalism, and peace.  Mende is now seen as a right-winger within the party, and is facing a tide of left-liberals lead by Walter Scheel. 
      The All-German People's Party (GVP) is still lead by Gustav Heinemann.  It is once again stressing Christian and nonsectarian social justice and world peace, and is using the missile crisis as an example of the need for reconciliation with the Communist powers of the world. 
      The All-German Alliance (GDB) is running once again on nationalist and völkish themes.  It wants to restore the full federalism that existed before the South Schleswig autonomy referendum, and to recover the lost territories in the East.  It also staunchly supports unregulated capitalism. 
      The German Peace Union (DFU) is still running on a platform of socialization of industry and a reunification with the GDR (under the flag of Communism).  It supports the USSR in the Cold War, and blames the Americans entirely for the Cuban Missile Crisis. 
      The German Community (DG) is again calling for a Fourth Reich and a "white nationalist" approach to the world.  The most openly Neo-Nazi party in this election once again. 
      The German Reich Party (DRP) isn't as radical as the DG, but is still calling for a restoration of "German territory" and "national pride."  It is more radical than the GDB.  The name is all that you need to know.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #2 on: December 03, 2013, 07:32:22 PM »

CDU as usual.
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H. Ross Peron
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« Reply #3 on: December 03, 2013, 08:12:19 PM »

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Goldwater
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« Reply #4 on: December 03, 2013, 09:10:21 PM »

CDU.
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Deus Naturae
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« Reply #5 on: December 03, 2013, 09:57:37 PM »

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Wake Me Up When The Hard Border Ends
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« Reply #6 on: December 03, 2013, 10:48:51 PM »

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Dr. Cynic
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« Reply #7 on: December 04, 2013, 12:34:21 AM »

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Cassius
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« Reply #8 on: December 04, 2013, 03:20:49 AM »

CDU again
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freefair
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« Reply #9 on: December 04, 2013, 08:52:28 AM »


CD/SUknow it makes sense.
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Njall
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« Reply #10 on: December 04, 2013, 10:53:41 AM »

SPD
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Supersonic
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« Reply #11 on: December 04, 2013, 01:01:36 PM »

After the indecision of the last election, I'm going with CDU/CSU for stability.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #12 on: December 04, 2013, 01:48:36 PM »

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Peter the Lefty
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« Reply #13 on: December 04, 2013, 10:32:30 PM »

Well this is surprising
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Goldwater
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« Reply #14 on: December 04, 2013, 10:33:33 PM »

Cheesy
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #15 on: December 04, 2013, 10:37:08 PM »

I assume the CDU/CSU would prefer the liberals as coalition partners to the nationalists?
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Lumine
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« Reply #16 on: December 04, 2013, 10:43:14 PM »

A working Centre-Right coalition without nazis and a credible majority? Now that is truly awesome!
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Wake Me Up When The Hard Border Ends
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« Reply #17 on: December 05, 2013, 05:05:18 AM »

A working Centre-Right coalition without nazis and a credible majority? Now that is truly awesome!
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Peter the Lefty
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« Reply #18 on: December 06, 2013, 07:06:02 PM »

Sorry for the delay.  A couple hours for last-minute voters.
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freefair
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« Reply #19 on: December 06, 2013, 08:41:37 PM »
« Edited: December 06, 2013, 08:43:40 PM by freefair »

Woah, a real surge of Union support here! heading for a majority or a coalition? I think they should try to govern alone anyhow.
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