States that won't be battlegrounds in the next 20 years

[Person Man]

Missouri will become Lean/Likely GOP; whereas Nevada, Virginia, and New Hampshire probably will not be competitive for the Republicans, but those loses will be off-set by GOP gains in PA and the "Industrial" Midwest.

fixed. 

The safest bet is that any state west of the Missouri that is 1) predominately Mormon or has fewer than 2 congressional districts and any state south of the Ohio that Obama never broke 43% in that is not Texas.

[Person Man]

The South is really interesting in what could happen there. Perhaps the "solid south" will totally be broken up by 2030 or could simply reassert itself as strong local GOPs and the Democrats eventually settling with making the west competitive and the Midwest solid though there's probably way for that to happen, especially if the Republicans resolidify the South.

[Person Man]

Interesting thoughts on Maine, thanks for sharing.

So if the Dems take the Southwestern and/or Southeastern states, presumably the national Republican Party would be forced to move towards the center, at least in some ways, in order to compete in the Midwest (and/or win over swing voters in the SW and SE). If, in the future, the GOP's electoral strength stems from the Midwest and Interior West, where would the GOP target next?

I guess they would try to solidify the rust belt. This would be enough now. But will it be after the 2040 reapportionment?