Most Likely Person from Each State to be on a 2016 Presidential Ticket

[Del Tachi]

What is each state's "best hope" for getting on a 2016 presidential ticket?  

NOTE TO MOD:  Feel free  to move to 2016 presidential election board if you think its a better fit there.

My take, one from each party:

Alabama - Marthy Roby (R)
Alaska - Mark Begich (D)
Arizona - Jeff Flake (R)
Arkansas - Tom Cotton (R)
California - Kamala Harris (D)
Colorado - John Hickenlooper (D)
Connecticut - Chris Murphy (R)
Delaware - Joe Biden (D)
Florida - Marco Rubio (R)
Georgia - Michelle Nunn (D)
Hawaii - Mazie Hirono (D)
Idaho - Raul Labrador (R)
Illinois - Mark Kirk (R)
Indiana - Joe Donnelly (D)
Iowa - Bruce Braley (D)
Kansas - Sam Brownback (R)
Kentucky - Rand Paul (R)
Louisiana - Bobby Jindal (R)
Maine - Chellie Pingree (D)
Maryland - Martin O'Malley (D)
Massachusetts - Elizabeth Warren (D)
Michigan - Mark Schauer (D)
Minnesota - Amy Klobuchar (D)
Mississippi - Roger Wicker (R)
Missouri - Claire McCaskill (D)
Montana - Brian Schweitzer (D)
Nebraska - Deb Fischer (R)
Nevada - Brian Sandoval (R)
New Hampshire - Kelly Ayotte (R)
New Jersey - Chris Christie (R)
New Mexico - Martin Heinrich (D)
New York - Hillary Clinton (D)
North Carolina - Richard Burr (R)
North Dakota - Heidi Heitkamp (D)
Ohio - Rob Portman (R)
Oklahoma - Tom Coburn (R)
Oregon - Ron Wyden (D)
Pennsylvania - Rick Santorum (R)
Rhode Island - Jack Reed (D)
South Carolina - Nikki Haley (R)
South Dakota - John Thune (R)
Tennessee - Bob Corker (R)
Texas - Ted Cruz (R)
Utah - Mike Lee (R)
Vermont - Bernie Sanders (D)
Virginia - Mark Warner (D)
Washington - Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R)
West Virginia - Shelly Moore Capito (R)
Wisconsin - Paul Ryan (R)
Wyoming - Matt Mead (R)

[Nichlemn]

Indiana - Mitch Daniels?

[Mr. Morden]

Sanders says he hasn't decided whether, should he run for president, he would do so as a Democrat or an Independent.  He has virtually no shot of being on the ticket as a Democrat, but obviously he could run on a ticket as an Indy if he wanted to.  Does that count for the purposes of this thread, or are you only counting the presidential tickets of the two major parties?

(And if you do include other parties, then you should probably replace some of these choices with the likely Libertarian, Green Party, etc. candidates.)

[LeBron]

Alabama - Jeff Sessions (R)
Alaska - Sean Parnell (R)
Arizona - Janet Napolitano (D)
Arkansas - Mike Huckabee (R)
California - Jerry Brown (D)
Colorado - John Hickenlooper (D)
Connecticut - Richard Blumenthal (D)
Delaware - Joe Biden (D)
Florida - Marco Rubio (R)
Georgia - Phil Gingrey (R)
Hawaii - Brian Schatz (D)
Idaho - Raul Labrador (R)
Illinois - Richard Durbin (D)
Indiana - Mike Pence (R)
Iowa - Terry Branstad (R)
Kansas - Tim Huelskamp (R)
Kentucky - Rand Paul (R) - (Although he would really just be better off running for re-election)
Louisiana - Bobby Jindal (R)
Maine - Mike Michaud (D)
Maryland - Martin O'Malley (D)
Massachusetts - Joe Kennedy (D) - (Warren already publicly announced that she isn't running)
Michigan - Mark Schauer (D)
Minnesota - Amy Klobuchar (D) - (Bachmann also might)
Mississippi - Roger Wicker (R)
Missouri - Jay Nixon (D)
Montana - Brian Schweitzer (D) - (Unfortunately)
Nebraska - Chuck Hagel (R)
Nevada - Dean Heller (R) - (Sandoval will most likely run for Senate)
New Hampshire - Kelly Ayotte (R)
New Jersey - Chris Christie (R) - (Unfortunately)
New Mexico - Susana Martinez (R)
New York - Hillary Clinton (D) - (Andrew Cuomo is 2nd followed by Gillibrand and Peter King)
North Carolina - Mark Meadows (R)
North Dakota - Heidi Heitkamp (D)
Ohio - Ed FitzGerald (D) - (This is assuming Kasich goes down of course)
Oklahoma - Markwayne Mullin (R)
Oregon - Ron Wyden (D)
Pennsylvania - Rick Santorum (R)
Rhode Island - Sheldon Whitehouse (D) (Only fitting )
South Carolina - Nikki Haley (R)
South Dakota - John Thune (R)
Tennessee - Marsha Blackburn (R)
Texas - Ted Cruz (R) - (Rick Perry would be 2nd most likely)
Utah - Mike Lee (R)
Vermont - Bernie Sanders (D)
Virginia - Mark Warner (D)
Washington - James McDermott (D)
West Virginia - Joe Manchin (D) (Again....unfortunately)
Wisconsin - Paul Ryan (R) - (He has a better chance than Scott Walker since Walker might not even be Governor come primary season)
Wyoming - John Barrasso (R)

[The Free North]

Chris Shays is a republican and would never be a legit candidate

[Del Tachi]

Chris Shays is a republican and would never be a legit candidate

Ooops I meant Murphy

[7,052,770]

Mississippi - Roger Wicker (R)

Mississippi - Roger Wicker (R)

You both picked an irrelevant moron with no national name recognition over much more obvious choices like Haley Barbour or even Ray Mabus? Remember, Barbour was likely Guiliani's VP had he gotten the nomination.

[LeBron]

Mississippi - Roger Wicker (R)

Mississippi - Roger Wicker (R)

You both picked an irrelevant moron with no national name recognition over much more obvious choices like Haley Barbour or even Ray Mabus? Remember, Barbour was likely Guiliani's VP had he gotten the nomination.

To be fair, it's Mississippi. The only nationally known current politician in office from there is Thad Cochran and he would never run at his age and I doubt Barbour would to come 2016. Nobody has any idea who their 4 Reps. are, their Governor's name is easily forgettable, and Ray Mabus....maybe. Wicker is one of the only logical choices here.

[free my dawg]

Georgia - Phil Gingrey (R)

I only hope.

Anyways:

Alabama - Martha Roby (R)
Alaska - Lisa Murkowski (R)
Arizona - Janet Napolitano (D)
Arkansas - Tom Cotton (R)
California - Jerry Brown (D)
Colorado - John Hickenlooper (D)
Connecticut - Chris Murphy (D)
Delaware - Joe Biden (D)
Florida - Marco Rubio (R)
Georgia - Karen Handel (R) (if we're doing hypotheticals then Handel is the only woman with real conservative cred, if not, then Barrow (D))
Hawaii - Brian Schatz/Colleen Hanabusa (D) (I'd say the primary's a tossup, but yeah, one of these two)
Idaho - Raul Labrador (R)
Illinois - Mark Kirk (R)
Indiana - Mike Pence (R)
Iowa - Terry Branstad (R) (my darkhorse)
Kansas - Tim Huelskamp (R)
Kentucky - Rand Paul (R)
Louisiana - Bobby Jindal (R)
Maine - Mike Michaud (D)
Maryland - Martin O'Malley (D)
Massachusetts - Elizabeth Warren (D)
Michigan - Rick Snyder (R) (even if he loses)
Minnesota - Amy Klobuchar (D)
Mississippi - Gene Taylor (D)
Missouri - Claire McCaskill (D)
Montana - Brian Schweitzer (D)
Nebraska - Deb Fischer (R) (again, not much to choose from)
Nevada - Brian Sandoval (R)
New Hampshire - Kelly Ayotte (R)
New Jersey - Chris Christie (R)
New Mexico - Susana Martinez (R)
New York - Hillary Clinton (D)
North Carolina - Kay Hagan (D)
North Dakota - Heidi Heitkamp (D)
Ohio - Rob Portman (R)
Oklahoma - Tom Coburn (R)
Oregon - Jeff Merkley (D)
Pennsylvania - Pat Toomey (R)
Rhode Island - Sheldon Whitehouse (D) (another darkhorse would be Angel Taveras if he wins the governor's mansion)
South Carolina - Nikki Haley (R)
South Dakota - John Thune (R)
Tennessee - Marsha Blackburn (R)
Texas - Ted Cruz (R)
Utah - Mike Lee (R)
Vermont - Bernie Sanders (D/G)
Virginia - Mark Warner (D)
Washington - Maria Cantwell (D)
West Virginia - Joe Manchin (D)
Wisconsin - Paul Ryan (R)
Wyoming - Matt Mead (R)

[Mister Mets]

What is each state's "best hope" for getting on a 2016 presidential ticket?  

NOTE TO MOD:  Feel free  to move to 2016 presidential election board if you think its a better fit there.

My take, one from each party:

Alabama - Marthy Roby (R)
Alaska - Mark Begich (D)
Arizona - Jeff Flake (R)
Arkansas - Tom Cotton (R)
California - Kamala Harris (D)
Colorado - John Hickenlooper (D)
Connecticut - Chris Murphy (R)
Delaware - Joe Biden (D)
Florida - Marco Rubio (R)
Georgia - Michelle Nunn (D)
Hawaii - Mazie Hirono (D)
Idaho - Raul Labrador (R)
Illinois - Mark Kirk (R)
Indiana - Joe Donnelly (D)
Iowa - Bruce Braley (D)
Kansas - Sam Brownback (R)
Kentucky - Rand Paul (R)
Louisiana - Bobby Jindal (R)
Maine - Chellie Pingree (D)
Maryland - Martin O'Malley (D)
Massachusetts - Elizabeth Warren (D)
Michigan - Mark Schauer (D)
Minnesota - Amy Klobuchar (D)
Mississippi - Roger Wicker (R)
Missouri - Claire McCaskill (D)
Montana - Brian Schweitzer (D)
Nebraska - Deb Fischer (R)
Nevada - Brian Sandoval (R)
New Hampshire - Kelly Ayotte (R)
New Jersey - Chris Christie (R)
New Mexico - Martin Heinrich (D)
New York - Hillary Clinton (D)
North Carolina - Richard Burr (R)
North Dakota - Heidi Heitkamp (D)
Ohio - Rob Portman (R)
Oklahoma - Tom Coburn (R)
Oregon - Ron Wyden (D)
Pennsylvania - Rick Santorum (R)
Rhode Island - Jack Reed (D)
South Carolina - Nikki Haley (R)
South Dakota - John Thune (R)
Tennessee - Bob Corker (R)
Texas - Ted Cruz (R)
Utah - Mike Lee (R)
Vermont - Bernie Sanders (D)
Virginia - Mark Warner (D)
Washington - Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R)
West Virginia - Shelly Moore Capito (R)
Wisconsin - Paul Ryan (R)
Wyoming - Matt Mead (R)

Interesting challenge. I think Gavin Newsom (young guy who backed Hillary in 2008, executive experience as big-city mayor) and Xavier Becerra (Hispanic who can help a Democrat's relationship with congress) have a better shot than Kamala Harris of being on the 2016 ticket.

I'd also rate Bennet above Hickenlooper in Colorado. He's younger, a Senator (Democrats love nominating Senators for Veep) and has expertise on a key policy issue. He's a stronger pick for Veep.

I see Nunn's chances of being Senator in Georgia as equivalent to Karen Handel's. And a few top-tier Republican presidential nominees are more likely to pick a socially conservative woman, than HRC is to pick a female Senator with a famous family.

In Hawaii, I'd probably rate Brian Schatz above an elderly buddhist, even though both are very unlikely.

Current scuttlebutt has Scott Walker as a more likely presidential contender than Ryan, who would likely not be chosen for veep a second time.

There's more demand in the Republican party for Susanna Martinez as Veep, but Heinrich may be more likely to say yes.

Peter Shumlin and Howard Dean probably have a better shot at being on a national (R/D) ticket than Bernie Sanders. Although I guess if you're including independent bids, Sanders has a shot.

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

Alabama - Martha Roby (R)
Alaska - Sarah Palin (R) Close to impossible, but a more likely nominee than Murkowski or Begich.
Arizona - Janet Napolitano (D)
Arkansas - Tom Cotton (R) Only if he wins in 2014. If not him, then whoever wins Governor next year.
California - Gavin Newsom (D) Would probably need higher office first, but more likely candidate than Jerry Brown.
Colorado - John Hickenlooper (D)
Connecticut - Chris Murphy (D)
Delaware - Joe Biden (D)
Florida - Marco Rubio (R)
Georgia - Michelle Nunn (D) Again, only if she wins 2014. If not her, Barrow.
Hawaii - Brian Schatz (D) If he wins the primary. If not then Hanabusa.
Idaho - Raul Labrador (R)
Illinois - Richard Durbin (D) About 0% chance of this happening but Kirk is probably going to run for reelection, and wouldn't win the R primary.
Indiana - Mike Pence (R)
Iowa - Bruce Braley (D) Darkhorse if he wins 2014. If not, Branstad.
Kansas - Sam Brownback (R)
Kentucky - Rand Paul (R)
Louisiana - Bobby Jindal (R)
Maine - Mike Michaud (D) If he wins 2014, if not Chellie Pingree.
Maryland - Martin O'Malley (D)
Massachusetts - Elizabeth Warren (D) She might get drafted, although it's unlikely.
Michigan - Justin Amash (R) Snyder and Schauer seem like obvious picks but I have doubts that either of them will run. Amash I guess could be a major longshot for VP.
Minnesota - Amy Klobuchar (D) Or Michelle Bachmann, but she wouldn't win the nomination.
Mississippi - Haley Barbour (D) He's old news, but no MS Dems are making it on the ticket, and Wicker seems happy in the Senate.
Missouri - Claire McCaskill (D)
Montana - Brian Schweitzer (D)
Nebraska - Deb Fischer (R) Only real option.
Nevada - Brian Sandoval (R) Probably will run for Senate in 2016, but is a minor possibility nonetheless.
New Hampshire - Kelly Ayotte (R)
New Jersey - Chris Christie (R) Duh.
New Mexico - Gary Johnson (L) If he runs for the Libertarian nomination again he gets it. If we're talking major party candidates, Susana Martinez (R) by far.
New York - Hillary Clinton (D) If she opts out or runs from AR then Gillibrand or Cuomo get it. But they wouldn't run if she does.
North Carolina - Kay Hagan (D)
North Dakota - Heidi Heitkamp (D)
Ohio - John Kasich (R) If he loses in 2014, then Rob Portman.
Oklahoma - Mary Fallin (R)
Oregon - Jeff Merkley (D)
Pennsylvania - Pat Toomey (R)
Rhode Island - Sheldon Whitehouse (D) Lincoln Chafee running as an (I) is also a possibility, although a minuscule one.
South Carolina - Nikki Haley (R)
South Dakota - John Thune (R)
Tennessee - Marsha Blackburn (R)
Texas - Ted Cruz (R) If not him then Rick Perry.
Utah - Mike Lee (R) Huntsman seems like a possibility but he will never come close to touching the nomination. Doubt he'll get picked for VP either
Vermont - Bernie Sanders (I) No point putting a (D) in there because the only way he makes it is as an Independent. Howard Dean is also an option.
Virginia - Mark Warner (D)
Washington - Maria Cantwell (D)
West Virginia - Shelley Moore Capito (R) Manchin may be popular but there is no way he will ever be on the Democratic ticket.
Wisconsin - Scott Walker (R)
Wyoming - Matt Mead (R)

[Orser67]

The Republican is listed first, followed by the Democrat

Alabama - Marthy Roby, whoever runs for governor
Alaska - Sean Parnell, Mark Begich
Arizona - Jeff Flake, Janet Napolitano
Arkansas - Tom Cotton, Mike Ross
California - Devin Nunes, Xavier Becerra
Colorado - Whoever wins the gov primary, Michael Bennet
Connecticut - Tom Foley, Chris Murphy
Delaware - Michael Castle, Joe Biden
Florida - Marco Rubio, Kathy Castor
Georgia - Whoever wins the Senate primary, Jason Carter
Hawaii - Linda Lingle, Mazie Hirono
Idaho - Raul Labrador, I have no idea
Illinois - Pete Roskam, Tammy Duckworth
Indiana - Mike Pence, Joe Donnelly
Iowa - Terry Branstad, Tom Vilsack
Kansas - Sam Brownback, Paul Davis
Kentucky - Rand Paul, Alison Grimes
Louisiana - Bobby Jindal, Mary Landrieu
Maine - Susan Collins, Mike Michaud
Maryland - Andrew Harris, Martin O'Malley
Massachusetts - Whoever wins the gov primary, Elizabeth Warren
Michigan - Terri Lynn Land, Mark Schauer
Minnesota - Tim Pawlenty, Amy Klobuchar
Mississippi - Roger Wicker, Travis Childers
Missouri - Ann Wagner, Jay Nixon
Montana - Steve Daines, Brian Schweitzer
Nebraska - Deb Fischer, Chuck Hassebrook
Nevada - Brian Sandoval, Steven Horsford
New Hampshire - Kelly Ayotte, Maggie Hassan
New Jersey - Chris Christie, Cory Booker
New Mexico - Susana Martinez, Martin Heinrich
New York - Peter King, Hillary Clinton
North Carolina - Pat McCrory, Kay Hagan
North Dakota - John Hoeven, Heidi Heitkamp
Ohio - Rob Portman, Ed Fitzgerald
Oklahoma - Mary Fallin, Brad Henry
Oregon - Greg Walden, Ron Wyden
Pennsylvania - Pat Toomey, Bob Casey
Rhode Island - Allan Fung, Angel Taveras/Gina Raimondo
South Carolina - Tim Scott, Vincent Sheheen
South Dakota - John Thune, Rick Weiland
Tennessee - Bil Haslam, Steve Cohen
Texas - Ted Cruz, Wendy Davis
Utah - Mia Love, Jim Matheson
Vermont - Phil Scott, Peter Welch
Virginia - Eric Cantor, Mark Warner
Washington - Cathy McMorris Rodgers, Maria Cantwell
West Virginia - Shelly Moore Capito, Joe Manchin
Wisconsin - Paul Ryan, Tammy Baldwin
Wyoming - Matt Mead, idk

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Alabama- Jeff Sessions (R)
Alaska- Mark Begich (D)
Arizona- Jeff Flake (R)
Arkansas- Mike Beebe (D)
California- Jerry Brown (D)
Colorado- Michael Bennet (D)
Connecticut- Chris Murphy (D)
Delaware- Joe Biden (D)
Florida- Marco Rubio (R)
Georgia- Phil Gingrey (R)
Hawaii- Neil Abercrombie (D)
Idaho- Raul Labrador (R)
Illinois- Bobby Rush (D)
Indiana- Joe Donnelly (D)
Iowa- Steve King (R)
Kansas- Jerry Moran (R)
Kentucky- Rand Paul (R)
Louisiana- Bobby Jindal (R)
Maine- Mike Michaud (D)
Maryland- Martin O'Malley (D)
Massachusetts- Deval Patrick (D)
Michigan- Gary Peters (D)
Minnesota- Amy Klobuchar (D)
Mississippi- Roger Wicker (R)
Missouri- Claire McCaskill (D)
Montana- Brian Schweitzer (D)
Nebraska- Deb Fischer (R)
Nevada- Brian Sandoval (R)
New Hampshire- Kelly Ayotte (R); Jeanne Shaheen (D); Maggie Hassan (D)
New Jersey- Cory Booker (D); Chris Christie (R)
New Mexico- Susana Martinez (R); Martin Heinrich (D)
New York- Kirsten Gillibrand (D)
North Carolina- Kay Hagan (D)
North Dakota- John Hoeven (R)
Ohio- Rob Portman (R); Ted Strickland (D)
Oklahoma- Tom Coburn (R)
Oregon- Jeff Merkeley (D)
Pennsylvania- Pat Toomey (R)
Rhode Island- Patrick Kennedy (D); Lincoln Chafee (D/I)
South Carolina- Jim DeMint (R)
Tennessee- Marsha Blackburn (R); Zach Wamp (R)
Texas- Ted Cruz (R); Rick Perry (R)
Utah- Mike Lee (R); Jon Huntsman (R)
Vermont- Peter Shumlin (D); Peter Welch (D)