Washington Post on Georgia Turning Purple

[Sol]

If I recall, Black turnout in Georgia actually fell in 2012- probably due to voter ID. However, the demographic changes in Georgia aren't the kind that will be canceled out by any potentially decreased turnout- they'll make up for lowered turnout an then some.

That's assuming, as Mechaman has pointed out, that current trends will continue with no modification thanks to changes in the parties. However, I actually think the trends in Georgia are more likely to put the state in the D-column long term than those in NC and VA. That's simply because in the latter 2, the shift is more dependent on moderate white suburbanites.

[Sol]

Carmona certainly had a lot of faults, but he also was a very good campaigner, against someone who was much less skilled- and also much more conservative than the state (I recall some article or something that said Flake was one of the most right-wing congressmen of all time).