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Bush Set to Fight An Electoral College Loss
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Topic: Bush Set to Fight An Electoral College Loss (Read 7338 times)
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jfern
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Posts: 29154
Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36
Bush Set to Fight An Electoral College Loss
«
on:
March 14, 2005, 07:05:03 pm »
NY Daily News November 1, 2000
They're not only thinking the unthinkable, they're planning for it.
Quietly, some of George W. Bush's advisers are
preparing for the ultimate "what if" scenario:
What happens if Bush wins the popular vote for President, but loses
because Al Gore's won the majority of electoral votes?
"Then we win," says a Gore aide. "You play by the rules in force
at the time. If the nation were really outraged by the possibility,
then the system would have been changed long ago. The history is clear."
Yes it is, and it's fascinating. Twice before, Presidents have been
elected after losing the popular vote. In 1876, New York Gov.
Samuel Tilden won the popular vote (51% to 48%) but lost the
presidency to Rutherford Hayes, who won by a single electoral
vote. Twelve years later, in 1888, Grover Cleveland won the
popular vote by a single percentage point, but lost his reelection
bid to Benjamin Harrison by 65 electoral votes.
The same thing almost happened in 1976 when Jimmy Carter
topped Gerald Ford by about 1.7 million votes. Back then, a
switch of about 5,500 votes in Ohio and 6,500 votes in
Mississippi would have given those states to Ford, enough for an
Electoral College victory. But because it didn't happen, the upset
over its having almost happened faded rapidly.
Why do we even have the Electoral College? Simply put, the
Founding Fathers didn't imagine the emergence of national
candidates when they wrote the Constitution, and, in any event,
they didn't trust the people to elect the President directly.
A lot has changed since then, including the anachronistic view that
the majority should be feared. But the Electoral College remains.
So what if Gore wins such crucial battleground states as Florida,
Michigan and Pennsylvania and thus captures the magic 270
electoral votes while Bush wins the overall nationwide popular vote?
"The one thing we don't do is roll over," says a Bush aide. "We fight."
How? The core of the emerging Bush strategy assumes a popular
uprising, stoked by the Bushies themselves, of course.
In league with the campaign — which is preparing talking points
about the Electoral College's essential unfairness — a massive
talk-radio operation would be encouraged. "We'd have ads, too,"
says a Bush aide, "and I think you can count on the media to fuel
the thing big-time.
Even papers that supported Gore might turn
against him because the will of the people will have been thwarted."
Local business leaders will be urged to lobby their customers, the
clergy will be asked to speak up for the popular will and Team
Bush will enlist as many Democrats as possible to scream as loud
as they can. "You think 'Democrats for Democracy' would be a
catchy term for them?" asks a Bush adviser.
The universe of people who would be targeted by this insurrection
is small — the 538 currently anonymous folks called electors,
people chosen by the campaigns and their state party organizations
as a reward for their service over the years.
If you bother to read the small print when you're in the booth,
you'll notice that when you vote for President you're really
selecting presidential electors who favor one candidate or the other.
Generally, these electors are not legally bound to support the
person they're supposedly pledged to when they gather in the
various state capitals to cast their ballots on Dec. 18. The rules
vary from state to state, but enough of the electors could
theoretically switch to Bush if they wanted to — if there was
sufficient pressure on them to ratify the popular verdict.
And what would happen if the "what if" scenario came out the
other way? "Then we'd be doing the same thing Bush is apparently
getting ready for," says a Gore campaign official. "They're just
further along in their contingency thinking than we are. But we
wouldn't lie down without a fight, either."
http://www.bartcop.com/111tie.htm
Logged
12th Doctor
supersoulty
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 20864
Political Matrix
E: 1.38, S: -1.74
Re: Bush Set to Fight An Electoral College Loss
«
Reply #1 on:
March 14, 2005, 10:47:05 pm »
NY Daily News November 1, 2000
They're not only thinking the unthinkable, they're planning for it.
Quietly, some of George W. Bush's advisers are
preparing for the ultimate "what if" scenario:
What happens if Bush wins the popular vote for President, but loses
because Al Gore's won the majority of electoral votes?
"Then we win," says a Gore aide. "You play by the rules in force
at the time. If the nation were really outraged by the possibility,
then the system would have been changed long ago. The history is clear."
Yes it is, and it's fascinating. Twice before, Presidents have been
elected after losing the popular vote. In 1876, New York Gov.
Samuel Tilden won the popular vote (51% to 48%) but lost the
presidency to Rutherford Hayes, who won by a single electoral
vote. Twelve years later, in 1888, Grover Cleveland won the
popular vote by a single percentage point, but lost his reelection
bid to Benjamin Harrison by 65 electoral votes.
The same thing almost happened in 1976 when Jimmy Carter
topped Gerald Ford by about 1.7 million votes. Back then, a
switch of about 5,500 votes in Ohio and 6,500 votes in
Mississippi would have given those states to Ford, enough for an
Electoral College victory. But because it didn't happen, the upset
over its having almost happened faded rapidly.
Why do we even have the Electoral College? Simply put, the
Founding Fathers didn't imagine the emergence of national
candidates when they wrote the Constitution, and, in any event,
they didn't trust the people to elect the President directly.
A lot has changed since then, including the anachronistic view that
the majority should be feared. But the Electoral College remains.
So what if Gore wins such crucial battleground states as Florida,
Michigan and Pennsylvania and thus captures the magic 270
electoral votes while Bush wins the overall nationwide popular vote?
"The one thing we don't do is roll over," says a Bush aide. "We fight."
How? The core of the emerging Bush strategy assumes a popular
uprising, stoked by the Bushies themselves, of course.
In league with the campaign — which is preparing talking points
about the Electoral College's essential unfairness — a massive
talk-radio operation would be encouraged. "We'd have ads, too,"
says a Bush aide, "and I think you can count on the media to fuel
the thing big-time. Even papers that supported Gore might turn
against him because the will of the people will have been thwarted."
Local business leaders will be urged to lobby their customers, the
clergy will be asked to speak up for the popular will and Team
Bush will enlist as many Democrats as possible to scream as loud
as they can. "You think 'Democrats for Democracy' would be a
catchy term for them?" asks a Bush adviser.
The universe of people who would be targeted by this insurrection
is small — the 538 currently anonymous folks called electors,
people chosen by the campaigns and their state party organizations
as a reward for their service over the years.
If you bother to read the small print when you're in the booth,
you'll notice that when you vote for President you're really
selecting presidential electors who favor one candidate or the other.
Generally, these electors are not legally bound to support the
person they're supposedly pledged to when they gather in the
various state capitals to cast their ballots on Dec. 18. The rules
vary from state to state, but enough of the electors could
theoretically switch to Bush if they wanted to — if there was
sufficient pressure on them to ratify the popular verdict.
And what would happen if the "what if" scenario came out the
other way? "Then we'd be doing the same thing Bush is apparently
getting ready for," says a Gore campaign official. "They're just
further along in their contingency thinking than we are. But we
wouldn't lie down without a fight, either."
http://www.bartcop.com/111tie.htm
Logged
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Gabu
YaBB God
Posts: 28774
Political Matrix
E: -4.32, S: -6.52
Re: Bush Set to Fight An Electoral College Loss
«
Reply #2 on:
March 15, 2005, 12:28:30 am »
Holy crap, shut up about Gore's losing in 2000 already. I cannot believe we're still discussing this.
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jfern
YaBB God
Posts: 29154
Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36
Re: Bush Set to Fight An Electoral College Loss
«
Reply #3 on:
March 15, 2005, 12:33:55 am »
Quote from: Senator Supersoulty on March 14, 2005, 10:47:05 pm
"Then we win," says a Gore aide. "You play by the rules in force
at the time. If the nation were really outraged by the possibility,
then the system would have been changed long ago. The history is clear."
Gore won Florida
Logged
skybridge
YaBB God
Posts: 1936
Re: Bush Set to Fight An Electoral College Loss
«
Reply #4 on:
March 15, 2005, 10:46:18 am »
Quote from: jfern on March 15, 2005, 12:33:55 am
Quote from: Senator Supersoulty on March 14, 2005, 10:47:05 pm
"Then we win," says a Gore aide. "You play by the rules in force
at the time. If the nation were really outraged by the possibility,
then the system would have been changed long ago. The history is clear."
Gore won Florida
Unfortunately not officially.
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Elitist Northern Liberal.
ilikeverin
YaBB God
Posts: 14762
Re: Bush Set to Fight An Electoral College Loss
«
Reply #5 on:
March 15, 2005, 04:55:27 pm »
-_-
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Recognized National Treasure of Atlasia
12th Doctor
supersoulty
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 20864
Political Matrix
E: 1.38, S: -1.74
Re: Bush Set to Fight An Electoral College Loss
«
Reply #6 on:
March 16, 2005, 07:07:21 pm »
Quote from: jfern on March 15, 2005, 12:33:55 am
Quote from: Senator Supersoulty on March 14, 2005, 10:47:05 pm
"Then we win," says a Gore aide. "You play by the rules in force
at the time. If the nation were really outraged by the possibility,
then the system would have been changed long ago. The history is clear."
Gore won Florida
Well, since a study conducted after the election proved that Gore would have lost under almost any precevable method of counting, I think your claim is bullsh**t, Mr. Moore.
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jfern
YaBB God
Posts: 29154
Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36
Re: Bush Set to Fight An Electoral College Loss
«
Reply #7 on:
March 16, 2005, 08:37:07 pm »
Quote from: Senator Supersoulty on March 16, 2005, 07:07:21 pm
Well, since a study conducted after the election proved that Gore would have lost under almost any precevable method of counting, I think your claim is bullsh**t, Mr. Moore.
If the media had actually tried out all the combinations under Set Standards and Ballot Design here, they'd have found that Gore wins most ways. Also the 2 What If ways that involve a statewide recount result in a Gore victory.
http://www.nytimes.com/images/2001/11/12/politics/recount/
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PBrunsel
YaBB God
Posts: 9644
Re: Bush Set to Fight An Electoral College Loss
«
Reply #8 on:
March 17, 2005, 07:32:39 pm »
We all know Alan Keyes beat Obama. It was those crooked Libertarians that spolied the election for Keyes.
Mayor Daley stole the election from Keyes.
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"I know that the Lord is always on the side of the right. But it is my constant anxiety and prayer that I and this nation should be on the Lord's side."
-President Abraham Lincoln, December 1862
Jake
dubya2004
YaBB God
Posts: 18852
Political Matrix
E: -0.90, S: -0.35
Re: Bush Set to Fight An Electoral College Loss
«
Reply #9 on:
March 18, 2005, 10:20:21 pm »
Quote from: jfern on March 15, 2005, 12:33:55 am
Quote from: Senator Supersoulty on March 14, 2005, 10:47:05 pm
"Then we win," says a Gore aide. "You play by the rules in force
at the time. If the nation were really outraged by the possibility,
then the system would have been changed long ago. The history is clear."
Gore won Florida
Alot more likely than Kerry winning Ohio, but still, I'm LOL at that.
Logged
Keystone Phil
YaBB God
Posts: 49381
Re: Bush Set to Fight An Electoral College Loss
«
Reply #10 on:
March 19, 2005, 12:56:07 am »
Quote from: Jake on March 18, 2005, 10:20:21 pm
Quote from: jfern on March 15, 2005, 12:33:55 am
Quote from: Senator Supersoulty on March 14, 2005, 10:47:05 pm
"Then we win," says a Gore aide. "You play by the rules in force
at the time. If the nation were really outraged by the possibility,
then the system would have been changed long ago. The history is clear."
Gore won Florida
I'm still convinced that Bush stole Kansas and Wyoming.
Logged
Quote from: Representative Wyodon on May 06, 2013, 04:31:05 pm
And you're a f
u
cking asshole. How about you try actually contributing something to a debate at some point, or are you too busy kissing Rick Santorum's ass?
PBrunsel
YaBB God
Posts: 9644
Re: Bush Set to Fight An Electoral College Loss
«
Reply #11 on:
March 19, 2005, 01:30:37 pm »
In 2000 45 percent of all Black Voters in Florida were turned away from the polls for being black. This is a fact I just made up.
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"I know that the Lord is always on the side of the right. But it is my constant anxiety and prayer that I and this nation should be on the Lord's side."
-President Abraham Lincoln, December 1862
Akno21
YaBB God
Posts: 9161
Re: Bush Set to Fight An Electoral College Loss
«
Reply #12 on:
March 19, 2005, 05:15:59 pm »
Quote from: PBrunsel on March 19, 2005, 01:30:37 pm
In 2000 45 percent of all Black Voters in Florida were turned away from the polls for being black. This is a fact I just made up.
It's not a fact.
Logged
PBrunsel
YaBB God
Posts: 9644
Re: Bush Set to Fight An Electoral College Loss
«
Reply #13 on:
March 19, 2005, 07:42:53 pm »
Quote from: Akno21 on March 19, 2005, 05:15:59 pm
Quote from: PBrunsel on March 19, 2005, 01:30:37 pm
In 2000 45 percent of all Black Voters in Florida were turned away from the polls for being black. This is a fact I just made up.
It's not a fact.
Nobody gets my jokes!
Logged
"I know that the Lord is always on the side of the right. But it is my constant anxiety and prayer that I and this nation should be on the Lord's side."
-President Abraham Lincoln, December 1862
Gabu
YaBB God
Posts: 28774
Political Matrix
E: -4.32, S: -6.52
Re: Bush Set to Fight An Electoral College Loss
«
Reply #14 on:
March 20, 2005, 02:32:01 am »
Quote from: PBrunsel on March 19, 2005, 01:30:37 pm
In 2000 45 percent of all Black Voters in Florida were turned away from the polls for being black. This is a fact I just made up.
That's nothing; in 2004, every single election worker were Republicans and burned each vote for Kerry. Then the media just made up percentages so people would be convinced that Bush won.
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"To me, 'underground' sounds like subway trains. That's the only sound I associate with 'underground'." - Everett
J. J.
YaBB God
Posts: 31872
Re: Bush Set to Fight An Electoral College Loss
«
Reply #15 on:
March 20, 2005, 11:33:05 pm »
Quote from: Akno21 on March 19, 2005, 05:15:59 pm
Quote from: PBrunsel on March 19, 2005, 01:30:37 pm
In 2000 45 percent of all Black Voters in Florida were turned away from the polls for being black. This is a fact I just made up.
It's not a fact.
I would be j
FRAUD
Bizarro Universe.
Actually, the Press
did
recount the ballots, and by all but the most restrictive standard, Bush won; if you completely disregarded the intent of the voter standard, no questionable vote counted, Gore won by 3 votes. If the chad was mostly out, partly out, sorta out, Bush won.
Logged
J. J.
"Actually, .. now that you mention it...."
- Londo Molari
"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke
"Wa sala, wa lala."
(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
J. J.
YaBB God
Posts: 31872
Re: Bush Set to Fight An Electoral College Loss
«
Reply #16 on:
March 20, 2005, 11:48:22 pm »
Here is what was actually concluded:
http://www.cnn.com/SPECIALS/2001/florida.ballots/stories/main.html
Florida Court Standards:
Using the NORC data, the media consortium examined what might have happened if the U.S. Supreme Court had not intervened. The Florida high court had ordered a recount of all undervotes that had not been counted by hand to that point. If that recount had proceeded under the standard that most local election officials said they would have used, the study found that Bush would have emerged with 493 more votes than Gore.
Gore's own standard:
Suppose that Gore got what he originally wanted -- a hand recount in heavily Democratic Broward, Palm Beach, Miami-Dade and Volusia counties. The study indicates that Gore would have picked up some additional support but still would have lost the election -- by a 225-vote margin statewide.
Now this was a very close election, the only way that Gore "wins" is that if you count people who voted for two or more candidates, or you count people whose intent was not clearly manifested.
Now, I would have
favored
a statewide recount, but Gore didn't, at least at first. I really would
not
favor giving one person two votes for President in the same election.
Logged
J. J.
"Actually, .. now that you mention it...."
- Londo Molari
"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke
"Wa sala, wa lala."
(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
TX_1824
YaBB God
Posts: 535
Political Matrix
E: 8.06, S: 2.17
Re: Bush Set to Fight An Electoral College Loss
«
Reply #17 on:
March 30, 2005, 06:29:33 pm »
Quote
Gore won Florida
Quote
Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz.......
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Hi. I'm from New York!
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jfern
YaBB God
Posts: 29154
Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36
Re: Bush Set to Fight An Electoral College Loss
«
Reply #18 on:
March 30, 2005, 06:36:09 pm »
Quote from: J. J. on March 20, 2005, 11:33:05 pm
Quote from: Akno21 on March 19, 2005, 05:15:59 pm
Quote from: PBrunsel on March 19, 2005, 01:30:37 pm
In 2000 45 percent of all Black Voters in Florida were turned away from the polls for being black. This is a fact I just made up.
It's not a fact.
I would be j
FRAUD
Bizarro Universe.
Actually, the Press
did
recount the ballots, and by all but the most restrictive standard, Bush won; if you completely disregarded the intent of the voter standard, no questionable vote counted, Gore won by 3 votes. If the chad was mostly out, partly out, sorta out, Bush won.
I've stated real facts very clearly, and they haven't been refuted. I know you Republicans would rather argue do straw man arguments.
Speaking of facts and arguments, some of you Republicans have serious problems with those. Hint to J.J., don't get into an argument on statistics.
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King
intermoderate
YaBB God
Posts: 22212
Re: Bush Set to Fight An Electoral College Loss
«
Reply #19 on:
April 02, 2005, 12:11:42 am »
Quote from: jfern on March 30, 2005, 06:36:09 pm
I've stated real facts very clearly, and they haven't been refuted. I know you Republicans would rather argue do straw man arguments.
Mycollectivelyinterestingpaljfern73 has no credibility problems!
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jfern
YaBB God
Posts: 29154
Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36
Re: Bush Set to Fight An Electoral College Loss
«
Reply #20 on:
April 02, 2005, 12:51:36 am »
Quote from: King on April 02, 2005, 12:11:42 am
Quote from: jfern on March 30, 2005, 06:36:09 pm
I've stated real facts very clearly, and they haven't been refuted. I know you Republicans would rather argue do straw man arguments.
Mycollectivelyinterestingpaljfern73 has no credibility problems!
State some facts to back up that conspiracy theory.
Logged
12th Doctor
supersoulty
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 20864
Political Matrix
E: 1.38, S: -1.74
Re: Bush Set to Fight An Electoral College Loss
«
Reply #21 on:
April 02, 2005, 04:13:40 pm »
Quote from: jfern on April 02, 2005, 12:51:36 am
Quote from: King on April 02, 2005, 12:11:42 am
Quote from: jfern on March 30, 2005, 06:36:09 pm
I've stated real facts very clearly, and they haven't been refuted. I know you Republicans would rather argue do straw man arguments.
Mycollectivelyinterestingpaljfern73 has no credibility problems!
State some facts to back up that conspiracy theory.
Well, the fact that you chose to attack him rather than denying it might be one.
Logged
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J. J.
YaBB God
Posts: 31872
Re: Bush Set to Fight An Electoral College Loss
«
Reply #22 on:
April 02, 2005, 06:19:04 pm »
Quote from: jfern on March 30, 2005, 06:36:09 pm
Quote from: J. J. on March 20, 2005, 11:33:05 pm
Quote from: Akno21 on March 19, 2005, 05:15:59 pm
Quote from: PBrunsel on March 19, 2005, 01:30:37 pm
In 2000 45 percent of all Black Voters in Florida were turned away from the polls for being black. This is a fact I just made up.
It's not a fact.
I would be j
FRAUD
Bizarro Universe.
Actually, the Press
did
recount the ballots, and by all but the most restrictive standard, Bush won; if you completely disregarded the intent of the voter standard, no questionable vote counted, Gore won by 3 votes. If the chad was mostly out, partly out, sorta out, Bush won.
I've stated real facts very clearly, and they haven't been refuted. I know you Republicans would rather argue do straw man arguments.
Speaking of facts and arguments, some of you Republicans have serious problems with those. Hint to J.J., don't get into an argument on statistics.
Hint to J
FRAUD
, don't make up stuff, at least that can be independently verified.
Logged
J. J.
"Actually, .. now that you mention it...."
- Londo Molari
"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke
"Wa sala, wa lala."
(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
chadnat1019
Newbie
Posts: 16
Re: Bush Set to Fight An Electoral College Loss
«
Reply #23 on:
April 06, 2005, 04:07:46 pm »
Its been over 4 years sence that election. So much has happened to our country sence them. Let me repeat (OUR COUNTRY).
Please Dems, get over it
You guys are still a major party, and have some ideas that Americans want to hear. But when you keep living in the past the future will pass you by.
Logged
PBrunsel
YaBB God
Posts: 9644
Re: Bush Set to Fight An Electoral College Loss
«
Reply #24 on:
April 06, 2005, 07:01:41 pm »
Hayes Set to Fight an Elecoral College Loss
November 6,1876
As reported by the New West Liberty Chronicle
Republican Presidential nominee Governor Rutherford B. Hayes of Ohio prepared a group of former Grant Administration Lawyers to fight an electoral loss today. The Hayes Campaign states that they will, "Fight any voting irregularities in South Carolina, Louisiana, or Florida at any expense." The fear that Governor Samuel Tilden (D-NY) will attempt to "steal" the election is a constant fear for the GOP. "If he tries to steal Ohio or Florida," Congressman James Garfield (R-OH) stated, "Than he will ahve to answer to our legal team."
The last time a recount was called in American Presidential Politics was when General McClellan decided to recount New York in 1864, but he would have lost anyway so it was forgotten about.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
This above article is a s relevant as the real article we are talking about now.
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"I know that the Lord is always on the side of the right. But it is my constant anxiety and prayer that I and this nation should be on the Lord's side."
-President Abraham Lincoln, December 1862
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