Flo's and ElectionGuy's Maps
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Author Topic: Flo's and ElectionGuy's Maps  (Read 16244 times)
Flake
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« on: December 23, 2013, 02:40:38 AM »
« edited: January 12, 2014, 02:40:00 PM by Flo »

I kind of took over Sol's thread so I'm going to post a bunch of random redistricting maps.

Here's my crack at Delaware's 41 Legislative districts.





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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #1 on: December 23, 2013, 02:57:03 AM »

Mind if I butt in?

Iowa Congressional: Republican Gerrymander



1 (red): 62-36 Obama.
2 (blue): 58-40 Obama.
3 (yellow): 49-49 Obama.
4 (green): 52-46 McCain.
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Flake
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« Reply #2 on: December 23, 2013, 03:49:45 AM »



Here's my safe Democratic Utah district (a Jim Matheson paradise)

Obama won it in 2008 by 16 points!

Obama: 56.7%
McCain: 40.5%
Other: 2.8%

Demographics:
68.8% White
21.1% Hispanic
5.4% Asian
2.2% Other
1.8% Black
0.8% Native
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Flake
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« Reply #3 on: December 23, 2013, 04:12:28 AM »



Three district Democratic sweep:

1 (blue): 55-44 Obama
2 (green): 56-43 Obama
3 (purple): 60-39 Obama
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Flake
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« Reply #4 on: December 23, 2013, 04:50:47 AM »






Democratic sweep

1 (blue): 52-46 Obama
2 (green): 51-46 Obama
3 (purple): 59-39 Obama
4 (red): 60-38 Obama
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muon2
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« Reply #5 on: December 23, 2013, 05:11:11 AM »






Democratic sweep

1 (blue): 52-46 Obama
2 (green): 51-46 Obama
3 (purple): 59-39 Obama
4 (red): 60-38 Obama

Are these are the 2008 numbers from DRA? If so then the PVIs of the CDs are 4 points more Pub than the 2-party vote in the presidential race. For example the list above would be R+2, R+3, D+5, D+6 abd would favor a 2-2 delegation. To be more precise the PVI can be estimated from the 2008 presidential vote by taking Obama's share of the two party vote and subtracting 3.7%.
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Flake
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« Reply #6 on: December 23, 2013, 06:17:14 AM »

So this is my proudest achievement so far...

I got three Mississippi districts to vote for Obama over McCain (and they all swung to Obama in the 2012 election)



Here it is without county borders for easier viewing:




Mississippi 1 (blue):

Obama: 162,284 (50.2%)
McCain: 158,631 (49.1%)

Obama by 3,653 votes.

Mississippi 2 (green)Sad

Obama: 172,179 (49.9%)
McCain: 170,559 (49.4%)

Obama by 1,620 votes

Mississippi 3 (purple):

Obama: 153,907 (49.6%)
McCain: 153,839 (49.6%)

Obama by 68 votes

Mississippi 4 (red)Sad

McCain: 241,504 (77.6%)
Obama: 66,112 (21.3%)

McCain by 175,392 votes

Demographics of each district (entire population shown):

Mississippi 1:

49.9% White
45.8% Black
2.7% Hispanic
1.7% Other

Mississippi 2:

48.3% White
47.5% Black
2.2% Hispanic
2.0% Other

Mississippi 3:

52.4% White
41.5% Black
3.3% Hispanic
2.8% Other

Mississippi 4:

81.5% White
12.7% Black
2.9% Hispanic
2.8% Other
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #7 on: December 23, 2013, 07:53:20 AM »

So this is my proudest achievement so far...

I got three Mississippi districts to vote for Obama over McCain (and they all swung to Obama in the 2012 election)


Nothing new under the sun, ever, young man. Smiley

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=143100.0






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Flake
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« Reply #8 on: December 23, 2013, 10:23:39 AM »

So this is my proudest achievement so far...

I got three Mississippi districts to vote for Obama over McCain (and they all swung to Obama in the 2012 election)


Nothing new under the sun, ever, young man. Smiley

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=143100.0

Nice job!
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Miles
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« Reply #9 on: December 23, 2013, 06:00:12 PM »

Kinda boring, but I tried to 'clean up' the current LA map. I made the districts cleaner but went for a minimal change effect.



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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #10 on: December 23, 2013, 06:14:00 PM »

Look out! This is messy:



My challenge here was to make an Obama district and three >70% McCain districts. And that I did.

1 (red): 53-47 Obama. 58% White
2 (blue): 64-36 McCain. 69% White
3 (yellow): 70-30 McCain. 78% White
4 (green): 71-29 McCain. 79% White
5 (orange): 72-28 McCain. 80% White
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Flake
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« Reply #11 on: December 23, 2013, 08:48:36 PM »
« Edited: December 27, 2013, 09:22:17 PM by Flo »



Decided to see a 10 district North Dakota -- Obama won 5 and McCain won 5.

It's safe to assume a few Obama districts moved to the Romney column.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #12 on: December 23, 2013, 10:07:28 PM »

My take on Wisconsin:




1 (Milwaukee/Red): 74-25 Obama. 51.5% White, 30.4% Black, 12.9% Hispanic. Safe D
2 (Racine/Kenosha/Suburbs/Blue): 50-49 Obama. 84.8% White, 6.5% Hispanic, 5.1% Black. Lean R
3 (Madison/Janesville/Yellow): 70-28 Obama. 86.7% White, 4.7% Hispanic, 3.9% Black. Safe D
4 (La Crosse/Eau Claire/Stevens Point/Green): 60-39 Obama. 94.4% White. Likely D
5 (Superior/Wausau/Orange): 54-44 Obama. 94.4% White. Toss-Up
6 (Green Bay/Purple): 53-45 Obama. 92.0% White.  Toss-Up
7 (Oshkosh/Fond du Lac/Sheboygan/Green): 51-47 Obama. 92.6% White, 3.0% Hispanic. Likely R
8 (Waukesha/West Bend/Exurbs/Brown): 59-40 McCain. 93.0% White, 3.9% Hispanic. Safe R

Just remember how deceptive these Obama 2008 numbers are. These are similar to the ones they have now, and yes this is favorable to republicans, but I don't care, Its looks nice and clean. Instead of Paul Ryan's current district, I put a southeastern based district in the way. And for Sensenbrenner, he still has a safe Waukesha based district, but he gets Walworth county in there. And the 2nd district (Pocan) gets Janesville and almost everything in Rock County.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #13 on: December 26, 2013, 01:56:27 AM »



3 Obama districts in Louisiana!

The yellow was actually won quite decisively at 53-46. The other two were won by one point.
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Flake
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« Reply #14 on: December 26, 2013, 03:10:34 AM »

This one took me so long.... but four districts in Alabama that Obama won in 2008.



District 1 (blue):
72.3% McCain
26.6% Obama

District 2 (green):
49.9% Obama
49.4% McCain

District 3 (purple):
49.9% Obama
49.7% McCain

District 4 (red):
49.7% Obama
49.7% McCain (50 vote difference)

District 5 (yellow):
50.0% Obama
49.3% McCain

District 6 (teal):
73.9% McCain
25.4% Obama

District 7 (silver):
77.8% McCain
21.2% Obama
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Anti Democrat Democrat Club
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« Reply #15 on: December 26, 2013, 05:09:40 AM »
« Edited: December 26, 2013, 06:12:35 AM by 4:20: Now With Weapons »



The fairest NH map possible. 54.7% O for the both of the districts. One of them has 600 more Obama votes than the other.

If we're talking about congressional results, each situation flipflops. Shea-Porter winds up winning by 5 in this district, while Kuster only wins by about 2 or 3 points.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #16 on: December 26, 2013, 05:18:57 AM »







Not a three, not four, but five Obama districts in South Carolina!! This is ridiculous and can't believe I pulled this off. And yes, everything here is legally connected. Here is the info:

1 (red): 49.4% Obama, 49.2% McCain. 61.2% White, 30.3% Black, 6.0% Hispanic
2 (blue): 50.2% Obama, 48.7% McCain. 65.1% White, 26.1% Black, 6.2% Hispanic
3 (yellow): 50.1% Obama, 48.8% McCain. 57.0% White, 36.8% Black.
4 (green): 49.8% Obama, 49.2% McCain. 61.6% White, 30.3% Black.
5 (orange): 70.3% McCain, 28.0% Obama. 86.4% White, 7.9% Black.
6 (purple): 61.9% McCain, 36.9% Obama. 76.5% White, 17.0% Black.
7 (lime green): 50.0% Obama, 48.9% McCain. 59.1% White, 36.1% Black.

Unbe[inks]inglievable
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #17 on: December 26, 2013, 05:41:03 AM »

That purple district is a work of high art! *love it*
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« Reply #18 on: December 26, 2013, 08:53:42 AM »

Here's my Utah gerrymander. D gerrymander, of course.



CD-1 (blue):

88.1% white, 0.7% black, 7.3% Hispanic, 1.9% Asian, 0.9% Native American
72.2% McCain, 24.6% Obama

CD-2 (green):

71.1% white, 1.5% black, 19.8% Hispanic, 5.3% Asian, 0.8% Native American
48.9% Obama, 48% McCain

CD-3 (purple):

86.4% white, 0.4% black, 9.3% Hispanic, 2.0% Asian, 0.7% Native American
77.4% McCain, 19% Obama

CD-4 (red):

85% white, 0.8% black, 8.8% Hispanic, 2.6% Asian, 1.5% Native American
52.9% McCain, 44.6% Obama

CD-4 is supposed to be Matheson Country (I think he's fairly safe here, considering this is most of his old district), and CD-2 is for someone who can step in like Luz Robles.

No idea how 2012 data goes, but I'd imagine CD-1 to be in the low teens and CD-3 to be in the single digits for Obama.
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Flake
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« Reply #19 on: December 26, 2013, 05:59:25 PM »
« Edited: December 26, 2013, 06:41:47 PM by Flo »



Obama 78-21, it's Denver County, plus a few suburb counties, and the average % for a Democrat is 74%.

Satan could run as a Democrat and win in this district.
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Flake
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« Reply #20 on: December 26, 2013, 07:37:13 PM »



Tried a nine-district Maryland with McCain winning the majority of districts.

1 (blue):
McCain: 49.8%
Obama: 48.7%

2 (green):
McCain: 49.5%
Obama: 48.9%

3 (purple):
49.9% McCain
48.3% Obama

4 (red):
50.8% McCain
48.1% Obama

5 (yellow):
51.8% McCain
46.7% Obama

6 (teal):
85.9% Obama
13.1% McCain

7 (silver):
83.2% Obama
16.0% McCain

8 (purplish blue (next to the cyan district)):
85.4% Obama
13.8% McCain

9 (cyan):
71.0% Obama
27.9% McCain

Districts 6 and 7 have a majority black population (57% and 58%) and District 8 has a plurality black district (47%).

District 9 is the only white-majority district where Obama won (53% white).

The five McCain districts are all around 70% white. (1 is 74%, 2 is 73%, 3 is 70%, 4 is 69%, 5 is 75%)
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CatoMinor
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« Reply #21 on: December 26, 2013, 09:43:24 PM »

If you guys are going to gerrymander, do it like MEN. Here is an older one I did of 12 Obama districts in Georgia.

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Flake
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« Reply #22 on: December 27, 2013, 09:20:32 PM »
« Edited: December 27, 2013, 09:25:12 PM by Flo »

Flo's Maps: Now with Labels!



I wanted to make a map with a majority of districts voting 54%+ Obama so it would go to him in the 2012 election, with the remaining Republican districts grossly and unnecessarily gerrymandered.

And I think I accomplished that.

Missouri 1:
54.5% Obama
44.3% McCain

Missouri 2:
54.7% Obama
44.4% McCain

Missouri 3:
55.4% Obama
43.5% McCain

Missouri 4:
53.6% Obama
44.9% McCain

Missouri 5:
54.8% McCain
43.5% Obama

Missouri 6:
60.0% Obama
38.9% McCain

Missouri 7:
64.6% McCain
33.9% Obama

Missouri 8:
64.0% McCain
34.5% Obama
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muon2
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« Reply #23 on: December 27, 2013, 09:53:36 PM »

Flo's Maps: Now with Labels!



I wanted to make a map with a majority of districts voting 54%+ Obama so it would go to him in the 2012 election, with the remaining Republican districts grossly and unnecessarily gerrymandered.

And I think I accomplished that.

Missouri 1:
54.5% Obama
44.3% McCain

Missouri 2:
54.7% Obama
44.4% McCain

Missouri 3:
55.4% Obama
43.5% McCain

Missouri 4:
53.6% Obama
44.9% McCain

Missouri 5:
54.8% McCain
43.5% Obama

Missouri 6:
60.0% Obama
38.9% McCain

Missouri 7:
64.6% McCain
33.9% Obama

Missouri 8:
64.0% McCain
34.5% Obama

Since 5, 7, and 8 are all McCain CDs, why the need to gerrymander them? Your others are all reasonably shaped. As a map for the Dems, there's no reason to give the Pubs grounds for a challenge no matter how slim the chance, and the gerrymanders really only affect the Pubs.
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Flake
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« Reply #24 on: December 28, 2013, 06:39:10 AM »

Flo's Maps: Now with Labels!



I wanted to make a map with a majority of districts voting 54%+ Obama so it would go to him in the 2012 election, with the remaining Republican districts grossly and unnecessarily gerrymandered.

And I think I accomplished that.

Missouri 1:
54.5% Obama
44.3% McCain

Missouri 2:
54.7% Obama
44.4% McCain

Missouri 3:
55.4% Obama
43.5% McCain

Missouri 4:
53.6% Obama
44.9% McCain

Missouri 5:
54.8% McCain
43.5% Obama

Missouri 6:
60.0% Obama
38.9% McCain

Missouri 7:
64.6% McCain
33.9% Obama

Missouri 8:
64.0% McCain
34.5% Obama

Since 5, 7, and 8 are all McCain CDs, why the need to gerrymander them? Your others are all reasonably shaped. As a map for the Dems, there's no reason to give the Pubs grounds for a challenge no matter how slim the chance, and the gerrymanders really only affect the Pubs.
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