Flo's and ElectionGuy's Maps

[ElectionsGuy]

Texas:



TX-1: 78.8% McCain = Safe R
TX-2: 63.8% Obama = Safe D (Sorry for lack of close-up here, but its pretty much El Paso)
TX-3: 66.6% Obama = Safe D
TX-4: 71.7% Obama = Safe D
TX-7: 58.3% Obama = Likely D (Contains much of Corpus Christi)
TX-15: 64.7% McCain = Safe R
TX-24: 62.0% McCain = Safe R
TX-28: 59.3% McCain = Safe R
TX-30: 69.8% McCain = Safe R
TX-31: 75.3% McCain = Safe R
TX-32: 73.3% McCain = Safe R
TX-33: 78.1% McCain = Safe R
TX-34: 60.9% McCain = Safe R
TX-35: 69.6% McCain = Safe R
TX-36: 67.3% McCain = Safe R
TX-37: 70.0% McCain = Safe R
TX-49: 66.0% McCain = Safe R
TX-51: 68.5% McCain = Safe R
TX-52: 72.1% McCain = Safe R



TX-5: 66.5% Obama = Safe D
TX-6: 65.8% Obama = Safe D



TX-8: 68.7% Obama = Safe D
TX-9: 64.9% Obama = Safe D
TX-10: 56.7% McCain = Likely/Safe R
TX-11: 64.8% McCain = Safe R
TX-12: 66.3% Obama = Safe D
TX-13: 67.2% Obama = Safe D
TX-14: 57.2% McCain = Safe R



TX-16: 66.5% Obama = Safe D
TX-17: 79.6% Obama = Safe D
TX-18: 58.2% McCain = Safe R
TX-19: 76.6% Obama = Safe D
TX-20: 71.2% Obama = Safe D
TX-21: 61.3% McCain = Safe R
TX-22: 70.1% McCain = Safe R
TX-23: 62.1% McCain = Safe R
TX-25: 71.8% McCain = Safe R
TX-26: 61.1% McCain = Safe R
TX-27: 53.2% Obama = Lean D
TX-29: 72.0% McCain = Safe R (kind of unhappy about how this is shaped, but whatever)



TX-38: 63.7% Obama = Safe D
TX-39: 57.3% McCain = Safe R
TX-40: 64.9% McCain = Safe R
TX-41: 81.7% Obama = Safe D
TX-42: 70.9% Obama = Safe D
TX-43: 50.4% McCain = Toss-Up/Lean R
TX-44: 69.6% McCain = Safe R
TX-45: 58.1% McCain = Safe R
TX-46: 52.5% McCain = Lean R (Part of TX-49 goes into Mesquite, just in case you couldn't see)
TX-47: 57.3% McCain = Safe R
TX-48: 60.7% McCain = Safe R
TX-50: 69.8% McCain = Safe R


Overall, I thought it was pretty good and turned out that way. In total, there would be 34 republican districts to 18 democratic districts, making it a 65% republican map.

[RedSLC]

Behold...a whole county Mississippi map - complete with a black-majority district.

[Flake]

CD1 (blue): 60.8% McCain, 38.6% Obama
CD2 (green): 52.0% Obama, 47.6% McCain
CD3 (purple): 60.6% McCain, 38.9% Obama
CD4 (red): 51.4% Obama, 47.9% McCain
CD5 (yellow): 72.0% McCain, 26.8% Obama
CD6 (teal): 64.2% McCain, 34.8% Obama
CD7 (gray): 72.4% McCain, 26.7% Obama

5 Republicans
2 Democrats

[muon2]

CD1 (blue): 60.8% McCain, 38.6% Obama
CD2 (green): 52.0% Obama, 47.6% McCain
CD3 (purple): 60.6% McCain, 38.9% Obama
CD4 (red): 51.4% Obama, 47.9% McCain
CD5 (yellow): 72.0% McCain, 26.8% Obama
CD6 (teal): 64.2% McCain, 34.8% Obama
CD7 (gray): 72.4% McCain, 26.7% Obama

5 Republicans
2 Democrats

This look like you should have been part of our marathon discussion on AL last year.

[ElectionsGuy]

A neater and better version of an Iowa republican gerrymander (My other one is one the first page). Numbers are:

blue: 60.6-37.9 Obama
green: 58.9-39.4 Obama
purple: 51.1-47.3 McCain
red: 49.4-48.7 McCain

[RedSLC]

I recreated a couple of old Texas congressional districts.

First, the 2001-2003 version of TX-01:



To show how republican east TX has become over the last decade, this district would have gone just barely under 70 percent for McCain in 2008, with Romney definitely breaking the threshold in 2012. In fact, it's now a bit more republican the the other old district I recreated:



This is my attempt to recreate the 1991-2001 version of TX-13. It was purposely drawn this way in the 1990's redistricting cycle to shore up then-democratic incumbent Bill Sarpalius. It removed some republican territory in the Texas panhandle (most notably Randall County, which hasn't gone D at the presidential level since 1948), and included two "arms" to pick up democratic enclaves - one into Lubbock County to pick up the minority-heavy parts of Lubbock, and the other into Denton County to pick up the heavily democratic area around North Texas University. Even with these additions, Sarpalius only won one cycle under this map.

By my calculations, the district would have gone about 69 percent for McCain in 2008, with Romney likely breaking the 70 percent mark. It is, however, still a few points more democratic than the current TX-13.

[Flake]

House of Representatives with the cube root and math and... to keep it simple: every district must have around 500,000 constituents per district. (Thanks BK)

Alabama



5-5

Alaska



2-0 McCain in 2008, but most likely 1-1 in 2012.

Arizona



9-5 Obama

(Numbers are Dem/Rep averages when possible)

15 Democrats
11 Republicans

[RedSLC]

I've recently decided to try my hand at city council maps.

Here's one I made for Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Part of my aim was to create as many majority-nonwhite districts as possible:



District 1 (Blue): 82.2% White, 76.5% Obama, 21.4% McCain
District 2 (Green): 51.9% Black, 78.9% Obama, 20.2% McCain
District 3 (Purple): 57.6% Black, 83.0% Obama, 16.2% McCain
District 4 (Red): 74.7% White, 62.4% Obama, 36.0% McCain
District 5 (Yellow): 58.0% Black, 82.2% Obama, 17.0% McCain
District 6 (Teal): 78.4% Black, 92.2% Obama, 7.3% McCain
District 7 (Gray): 82.4% White, 68.6% Obama, 29.6% McCain
District 8 (Gray-blue): 86.4% Black, 96.5% Obama, 3.2% McCain
District 9 (Cyan): 88.0% Black, 98.0% Obama, 1.7% McCain
District 10 (Pink): 72.8% Black, 95.4% Obama, 4.1% McCain
District 11 (Light green): 38.1% Hispanic, 28.5% White, 27.2% Black, 84.0% Obama, 15.0% McCain
District 12 (Light blue): 68.5% Hispanic, 81.6% Obama, 17.4% McCain
District 13 (Salmon): 80.2% White, 53.5% Obama, 44.9% McCain
District 14 (Brown): 54.8% Hispanic, 71.1% Obama, 27.5% McCain
District 15 (Orange): 79.5% White, 57.2% Obama, 41.1% McCain

So, in total, there are seven black-majority districts, five white-majority districts, two Hispanic-majority districts, and one mixed-race coalition district...and Obama won them all.

[ElectionsGuy]

Vermont:



67.8% Obama

Wyoming:



65.2% McCain

So yeah... just in case you guys needed that.

[Flake]

Arkansas: 5-1 Democrats (all Democratic districts were under 50.6%)

Vermont:



67.8% Obama

Wyoming:



65.2% McCain

So yeah... just in case you guys needed that.

21 Democrats
13 Republicans

Note: Use the average Democrat numbers for map making

[ElectionsGuy]

Arkansas: 5-1 Democrats (all Democratic districts were under 50.6%)

I don't think its necessarily fair to use the democrat average number for these districts. I doubt Obama would win even one those districts. It throws off much of the reality now a days especially in the south and northeast.

[Flake]

I don't think its necessarily fair to use the democrat average number for these districts. I doubt Obama would win even one those districts. It throws off much of the reality now a days especially in the south and northeast.

Yes, but Obama over performed in many areas of the country (Midwest, Northeast)  and under performed in large parts of the country (Great Plains, South). So it's not necessarily fair to use Obama's numbers either.

[Miles]

I recreated a couple of old Texas congressional districts.

When I calculated Charlie Stenholm's TX-17 for the 2002 map, I got 80.5% Romney!

There's a good DKE diary on this. The Delaymander was a waste of time, as most of those seats would have flipped anyway in 2010.

[Flake]

Mississippi



5-2 Obama

26 Democrats
15 Republicans

[muon2]

A neater and better version of an Iowa republican gerrymander (My other one is one the first page). Numbers are:

blue: 60.6-37.9 Obama
green: 58.9-39.4 Obama
purple: 51.1-47.3 McCain
red: 49.4-48.7 McCain

If you take the blue district and add Louisa and all of Dubuque counties while dropping Delaware county you get a compact whole county CD still at 60.6% Obama. A CD at 52-46 Obama is R+1, so it seems that the GOP could gamble on splitting the rest of the state into 3 CDs that are all R+1 or R+2. All four CDs went for Obama, but A 3R - 1D split wouldn't be unusual given the competitive districts.

[TJ in Oregon]

Wisconsin:

If the last one made Gass vomit, I can only imagine what this one will make him do


Milwaukee area shot:



1 (blue-Beloit): Obama 50.0%-McCain 48.6%, Likely R
2 (peach-Watertown): McCain 49.8%-Obama 48.9%, Likely R
3 (purple-Madison): Obama 74.0%-McCain 26.4%, Safe D
4 (red-Waukesha): McCain 49.4%-Obama 49.2%, Likely R
5 (gold-Milwaukee): Obama 83.5%-McCain 15.5% Safe D
6 (crimson-Appleton): Obama 51.8%-McCain 46.5% Lean R
7 (lime-Sheboygan): McCain 50.9%-Obama 47.8% Likely R
8 (olive-Racine): Obama 52.0%-McCain 46.6% Lean R
9 (sky-Northern WI): Obama 52.6%-McCain 45.8% Lean R
10 (orange-Superior): Obama 53.2-McCain 45.0% Lean R
11 (green-Green Bay): Obama 54.1%-McCain 44.4%, Lean R
12 (black-Eau Claire): Obama 60.2%-McCain 38.0% Likely D

This is 9-3 on paper (note the McCain numbers in Northern WI are very misleading; the Green Bay seat was carried by Romney). But it's really hard to make them safe with a 9-3 map

[ElectionsGuy]

West Virginia:



1: 54.7% McCain, 43.7% Obama
2: 56.8% McCain, 41.3% Obama
3: 55.6% McCain, 43.0% Obama
4: 55.9% McCain, 42.3% Obama

Delaware:



1: 70.7% Obama, 28.0% McCain
2: 52.3% Obama, 46.7% McCain

Maine:



1: 62.9% Obama, 35.4% McCain
2: 56.9% Obama, 41.2% McCain
3: 52.9% Obama, 45.0% McCain

New Hampshire:



1: 51.0% Obama, 48.1% McCain
2: 52.6% Obama, 46.6% McCain
3: 59.3% Obama, 39.8% McCain

North Dakota:



1: 50.5% Obama, 47.6% McCain
2: 59.1% McCain, 38.8% Obama

South Dakota:



1: 51.0% McCain, 46.9% Obama
2: 55.3% McCain, 42.5% Obama

Idaho:



1: 54.7% McCain, 43.2% Obama
2: 69.8% McCain, 27.6% Obama
3: 60.8% McCain, 36.7% Obama

Hawaii:



1: 71.0% Obama, 27.4% McCain
2: 68.9% Obama, 29.9% McCain
3: 75.2% Obama, 22.9% McCain

Montana:



1: Obama
2: McCain

Rhode Island:



1: Obama
2: Obama

[RedSLC]

Atlanta, Georgia:



District 1 (Blue): 73.3% Black, 94.7% Obama, 4.9% McCain
District 2 (Green): 60.3% White, 85.1% Obama, 13.8% McCain
District 3 (Purple): 95.3% Black, 98.6% Obama, 1.4% McCain
District 4 (Red): 89.7% Black, 97.4% Obama, 2.3% McCain
District 5 (Yellow): 88.1% Black, 96.0% Obama, 3.8% McCain
District 6 (Teal): 53.1% White, 84.8% Obama, 14.1% McCain
District 7 (Gray): 64.2% Black, 91.4% Obama, 8.1% McCain
District 8 (Gray-blue): 61.6% White, 74.9% Obama, 24.2% McCain
District 9 (Cyan): 92.3% Black, 97.7% Obama, 2.0% McCain
District 10 (Pink): 62.4% White, 63.8% Obama, 35.4% McCain
District 11 (Light green): 73.5% White, 50.4% Obama, 48.9% McCain
District 12 (Light blue): 81.7% White, 55.9% McCain, 43.4% Obama

So, six black-majority and six white-majority (probably isn't quite as proportional as it could be). Unlike Milwaukee, McCain actually did win one council district (and came very close to winning another). Both of them are in a very affluent part of the city, which is what differentiates them from the other white-majority districts.

[Flake]

West Virginia:



1: 54.7% McCain, 43.7% Obama
2: 56.8% McCain, 41.3% Obama
3: 55.6% McCain, 43.0% Obama
4: 55.9% McCain, 42.3% Obama

Delaware:



1: 70.7% Obama, 28.0% McCain
2: 52.3% Obama, 46.7% McCain

Maine:



1: 62.9% Obama, 35.4% McCain
2: 56.9% Obama, 41.2% McCain
3: 52.9% Obama, 45.0% McCain

New Hampshire:



1: 51.0% Obama, 48.1% McCain
2: 52.6% Obama, 46.6% McCain
3: 59.3% Obama, 39.8% McCain

North Dakota:



1: 50.5% Obama, 47.6% McCain
2: 59.1% McCain, 38.8% Obama

South Dakota:



1: 51.0% McCain, 46.9% Obama
2: 55.3% McCain, 42.5% Obama

Idaho:



1: 54.7% McCain, 43.2% Obama
2: 69.8% McCain, 27.6% Obama
3: 60.8% McCain, 36.7% Obama

Hawaii:



1: 71.0% Obama, 27.4% McCain
2: 68.9% Obama, 29.9% McCain
3: 75.2% Obama, 22.9% McCain

Montana:



1: Obama
2: McCain

Rhode Island:



1: Obama
2: Obama

7-3 Democrats

47 Democrats
30 Republicans

[TJ in Oregon]

Ohio:

Cleveland Area:


1 (blue-Cincinnati West): McCain 52.7%-Obama 46.3% Likely R
2 (green-Cincinnati East): McCain 52.6%-Obama 46.2% Likely R
3 (purple-Cincinnati North): McCain 52.1%-Obama 46.7% Likely R
4 (red-Dayton): McCain 51.6%-Obama 46.8% Likely R
5 (gold-Columbus): Obama 76.3%-McCain 22.5% Safe D
6 (teal-Beavercreek): McCain 56.2%-Obama 42.4% Safe R
7 (gray-Portsmouth): McCain 53.3%-Obama 44.5% Safe R
8 (light brown-Springfield): McCain 60.1%-Obama 38.5% Safe R
9 (cyan-Lima): McCain 60.4%-Obama 37.7% Safe R
10 (red-Columbus SW): McCain 51.8%-Obama 46.5% Likely R
11 (chartruse-Columbus North): McCain 53.3%- Obama 45.1% Safe R
12 (blue-Steubenville): McCain 51.6%-Obama 46.3% Likely R
13 (maroon-Marietta): McCain 53.6%-Obama 44.2% Safe R
14 (sea green-Newark): McCain 54.4%-Obama 44.1% Safe R
15 (orange-Wooster): McCain 52.2-Obama 45.6% Likely R
16 (lime-Bowling Green): McCain 51.4%-Obama 47.0% Likely R
17 (navy-Cleveland West): Obama 67.7%-McCain 30.8% Safe D
18 (yellow-Cleveland East): Obama 85.8%-McCain 13.5% Safe D
19 (olive-Mansfield): McCain 50.8%-Obama 47.1% Likely R
20 (green-Elyria): McCain 49.3%-Obama 49.2% Likely R
21 (brown-Mentor): McCain 49.6-Obama 48.9% Likely R
22 (tan-Cuyahoga Valley): McCain 51.3%-Obama 47.4% Likely R
23 (sky-Toledo): Obama 69.5%-McCain 28.9% Safe D
24 (purple-Youngstown): Obama 63.0%-McCain 34.9% Safe D
25 (black-Akron): Obama 66.0%-McCain 32.4% Safe D

19-6 Republican

[TJ in Oregon]

Indiana:



1 (blue-Gary): Obama 76.3%-McCain 22.9% Safe D
2 (green-Elkhart): McCain 52.4%-Obama 47.6%Likely R
3 (purple-Valparaiso): McCain 46.6%-Obama 46.3% Lean R
4 (red-Ft. Wayne): McCain 53.2-Obama 46.0% Likely R
5 (gold-Indianapolis): Obama 78.9%-McCain 20.5% Safe D
6 (aqua-Lafayette): McCain 50.9%-Obama 47.9% Likely R
7 (gray-Warsaw): McCain 59.4%-Obama 39.3% Safe R
8 (green-Indianapolis North): McCain 55.7%-Obama 43.6% Safe R
9 (cyan-Muncie): McCain 53.5%-Obama 45.0% Likely R
10 (crimson-Indianapolis South): McCain 53.8%-Obama 45.1% Likely R
11 (chartruse-Bloomington): McCain 51.6%-Obama 47.4% Likely R
12 (blue-Terre Haute): McCain 53.4%-Obama 45.2% Likely R
13 (maroon-New Albany): McCain 54.1%-Obama 44.6% Safe R
14 (tan-Evansville): McCain 52.7%-Obama 46.2% Likely R

12-2 Republican

[ElectionsGuy]

Nebraska:



1: 54.0% Obama, 44.7% McCain
2: 61.6% McCain, 36.9% Obama
3: 51.7% McCain, 46.7% Obama
4: 69.0% McCain, 29.3% Obama

New Mexico:



1: 57.0% Obama, 41.6% McCain
2: 68.3% Obama, 30.4% McCain
3: 51.4% Obama, 47.3% McCain
4: 68.0% Obama, 30.8% McCain
5: 60.8% McCain, 37.8% Obama

Kansas:



1: 52.8% McCain, 45.9% Obama
2: 58.1% Obama, 40.2% McCain
3: 54.5% McCain, 43.6% Obama
4: 61.5% McCain, 36.6% Obama
5: 61.9% McCain, 36.2% Obama
6: 70.9% McCain, 27.3% Obama

[Miles]

West Virginia:



1: 54.7% McCain, 43.7% Obama
2: 56.8% McCain, 41.3% Obama
3: 55.6% McCain, 43.0% Obama
4: 55.9% McCain, 42.3% Obama

[ElectionsGuy]

I'm sorry, is there some rule of yours that's a pet peeve?? As you can see, I almost used all whole counties, only splitting two between the 1st and 4th.

[Miles]

I'm sorry, is there some rule of yours that's a pet peeve?? As you can see, I almost used all whole counties, only splitting two between the 1st and 4th.

There's just no precedent for it and it can be eschewed pretty easily.