SWEDEN - September 14, 2014 - GUIDE and THREAD

[Franzl]

Looking forward to hearing more

[Franzl]

Sifo's May poll:

S: 30,9% (-1,2)
V: 7,3% (-1,1)
MP: 10,3% (-0,3)
TOTAL = 48,5% (-2,6)

M: 23,2% (-1,3)
C: 5,0% (+1,2)
FP: 7,0% (+0,3)
KD: 3,5% (-0,1)
TOTAL = 38,7% (+0,1)

SD: 8,8% (+0,5)
FI: 2,9% (+1,6)


Red-Green slipping below 50%...

So it begins! 

That would be particularly awesome if the Alliance turned things around....again. Never say never, though...

[Franzl]

Has Sweden just decided to troll the Left the past couple of elections?

[Franzl]

The most likely scenario is:

"Well, I don't really like the current center-right government, but the economy isn't actually doing so badly and there's an election coming up where my vote actually counts (other than in some poll) and I'm not wasting it on the Left."

A probable explanation, yes. Unfortunately, 51% of people doing well tends to be enough in a wallet voter system.

Pretty sure far more than 51% of Swedes are doing well.

[Franzl]

Watch the Alliance finish above Red-Greens tomorrow evening

Don't think it'll happen, but it would be so damn hilarious.

[Franzl]

It seems kind of strange. Wouldn't it be a lot easier just to distribute ballot papers and have the voters mark them?

[Franzl]

Ballot secrecy is absolutely respected as long as voters have the possibility to keep their vote secret. If someone wants to make their vote known, I don't see what's the problem.

The problem is that if someone can make their vote public, then they can also be coerced to make their vote public. The secret ballot isn't really secret unless there's no way for a voter to prove that they cast a ballot for a particular party; otherwise, the possibility of voter intimidation is always present.

This is why voting by mail is so problematic.

Of course, in the era of smartphones....it seems like even perfect systems would be open to this problem.