Canadian by-elections, 2014

[MaxQue]

Harper's popularity with the Jewish community is a Thornhill factor.

About CPC and provincial politics, do CPC MPs are usually involving in PC provincial campaigns?

[MaxQue]

NF is frustrating. A little more effort or OLP bleeding another way... but I'll take a solid Thornhill win. Plus we all hate Gritdom, right?

I'm very much prefering Wynne than Hudak.

[MaxQue]

Or a full-term minority parliament, which seems absurd.

What's absurd is than parties are too petty to agree on things.

[MaxQue]

Terrible spinning. The real loser is Hudak.

[MaxQue]

Too early to start talking about Premier Horwath?

Yes, way too early. Niagara area isn't quite representative of Ontario. And Thornhill result was terrible.

[MaxQue]

Barlow wins There is hope for gun country

Perhaps not. Despite people setting the race as "moderate vs. right-wing", it seems it finished as "local vs. outsider".

[MaxQue]

Are there any other socially conservative liberals in the riding who can replace Karygiannis?

I doubt there is much social conservatives left in the Liberal Party. Trudeau isn't attractive to them.

[MaxQue]

On imperialism, wasn't Conservatives for and Liberals against?

[MaxQue]

I wonder if Flaherty's wife will run?

It must be shock to suddenly lose a spouse like this - I wonder more whether she might not run federally OR provincially (given that if there is an Ontario election this spring she'd have to run for re-election)

It wouldn't be the first time a wife ran to fill her husband's seat after he dies.

His wife is alreayd the MPP for Whitby-Oshawa and deputy PC leader (and a sure minister if Hudak win). I don't see why she would do that.

[MaxQue]

I doubt than his anti bar crusade will be popular with young inhabitants.

[MaxQue]

Another question- Are Toronto Wards simply half-ridings?

Yes. Also, I would suppose than there will be a rewarding before 2018 elections.

[MaxQue]

Another question- Are Toronto Wards simply half-ridings?

Yes. Also, I would suppose than there will be a rewarding before 2018 elections.

Probably. They're done more haphazardly in Ontario, we don't change them every 4 years like in Quebec.

We don't change them every 4 years. Yes, they must be reviewed every 4 years, but no change is usually done if the numbers are good enough. We also had cases where the city kept its map, but it was refused by Elections Quebec.

[MaxQue]

Another question- Are Toronto Wards simply half-ridings?

Yes. Also, I would suppose than there will be a rewarding before 2018 elections.

Probably. They're done more haphazardly in Ontario, we don't change them every 4 years like in Quebec.

We don't change them every 4 years. Yes, they must be reviewed every 4 years, but no change is usually done if the numbers are good enough. We also had cases where the city kept its map, but it was refused by Elections Quebec.

OK, a review must happen every 4 years. That doesn't happen in Ontario. Ottawa last changed its boundaries in 2006, and Toronto in 2000.

Reviews isn't an appropriate word. Last time, the "review" was the city passing a resolution adopting 2009 map for 2013, without any consultation or anything similar. It was a simple procedural move noticed by no one.

[MaxQue]

That post is probably the worst Liberal hackness piece I ever read.

[MaxQue]

What are the numbers? I used up my 10 free articles.

They aren't written in the article.

[MaxQue]

Would the ruling on citizens living in foreign countries would apply to those by-elections (context: a Court ruled than removing the right of vote to citizens living in foreign coutries since more than 5 years was unconstitionnal. That would lead to one million of persons possibly added on rolls.)?

[MaxQue]

Would the ruling on citizens living in foreign countries would apply to those by-elections (context: a Court ruled than removing the right of vote to citizens living in foreign coutries since more than 5 years was unconstitionnal. That would lead to one million of persons possibly added on rolls.)?

I am guessing in this case they would go by the last riding one lived in when they left Canada.  My question is what about those who have never lived in Canada but got citizenship by being born to a Canadian born parent, what happens then?

No clue. Most likely government or Elections Canada will have to find a solution (or appeal, as the judge refused to grant them a stay).

[MaxQue]

Which hour the polls close?

[MaxQue]

1st pollin Fort McMurray is also Liberal (91%!). Mostly a reservation, like in Macleod.

[MaxQue]

Trinity-Spadina has 349 polling stations! I never saw a riding with so much.

[MaxQue]

First complete results from a riding, Scarborough-Agincourt.

Arnold Chan (Liberal): 12829 votes (59.3%)
Trevor Ellis (Conservative): 6344 votes (29.3%)
Elizabeth Ying Long (NDP): 1844 votes (8.5%)
Kevin Clarke (Independent): 315 votes (1.5%)
Shahbaz Mir (Green): 307 votes (1.4%)

Turnout: 29%

[MaxQue]

Trinity-Spadina

Adam Vaughan (Liberal): 18434 votes (53.4%)
Joe Cressy (NDP): 11823 votes (34.3%)
Benjamin Sharma (Conservative): 2000 votes (5.8%)
Camille Labchuk (Green): 1919 votes (5.6%)
Linda Groce-Gibbons (Christian Heritage): 174 votes (0.5%)
John "The Engineer" Turmel (Independent): 141 votes (0.4%)

Turnout: 32%

[MaxQue]

A by-election was called in the provincial riding of Lévis, in Quebec City southern suburbs. Christian Dubé, CAQ spokesman for finances, resigned to become executive vice-president for Quebec of the Caisse de dépot et placement du Québec (Quebec Deposit and Investment Fund).

2014 results:

Christian Dubé (CAQ) 14131 votes (40.49%)
Simon Turmel (PLQ) 12188 votes (34.93%)
Sylvie Girard (PQ) 5797 votes (16.61%)
Yv Bonnier Viger (QS) 2147 votes (6.15%)
Sébastien Roy (Conservative) 274 votes (0.79%)
Nicolas Belley (Option Nationale) 252 votes (0.72%)
Paul Biron (Parti unité nationale) 107 votes (0.31%)

Conservative is a small party, more libertarian than conservative.
Option are left-wing and hardline independantists.
Parti unité nationale, formely the Christian-Democrat Party was a Catholic fundamentalist party, his goal being to put the social goals of the Catholic Church into law. They since moved away from that, took a name looking like Union Nationale and now have a social conservatism and regional development goal.

[MaxQue]

Judging from the polls, looks like a CAQ hold.

Most likely, but he had a sizeable personal vote (he was the only CAQ MNA in Quebec City area to increase his share of vote in 2014).

[MaxQue]

Lévis by-election will be on October 20.