2014 state legislature (general) elections
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  2014 state legislature (general) elections
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Author Topic: 2014 state legislature (general) elections  (Read 16369 times)
Boston Bread
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« Reply #100 on: November 05, 2014, 11:07:58 PM »

About 37% of union members voted R. So the unions clearly aren't making their case strongly enough to their own members.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #101 on: November 05, 2014, 11:25:53 PM »

About 37% of union members voted R. So the unions clearly aren't making their case strongly enough to their own members.

And the other 63% are like me and didn't.
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user12345
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« Reply #102 on: November 05, 2014, 11:26:27 PM »

If the West Virginia GOP pursues "right-to-work", how much will it harm their future prospects in that state?

Probably not at all. The West Virginia Democratic Party died last night.
Not even life support can save it now.
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jfern
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« Reply #103 on: November 05, 2014, 11:30:23 PM »

If the West Virginia GOP pursues "right-to-work", how much will it harm their future prospects in that state?

Probably not at all. The West Virginia Democratic Party died last night.

As long as the scary black man's party isn't in power, WV doesn't care.
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RedSLC
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« Reply #104 on: November 06, 2014, 12:56:25 AM »

Results are nearly all in (waiting on Washington and Colorado at NCSL). Oregon wasn't too bad actually; Republicans lost two, maybe three, seats from some of their popular incumbents in Obama districts retiring. Democrats picked up 1 seat in the OR state house (now 35D-25R) and 1 (maybe 2 once counting is fully complete) in the OR state senate (now at least 17D-12R): http://gov.oregonlive.com/election/

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This means automatic voter registration could pass next year; the Oregon Secretary of State says she wants to try passing it again as, in 2013, it passed the state house but failed 15-15 in the state senate (then 16D-14R) when a Democrat sided with Republicans to vote against it. That bill could register hundreds of thousands of new voters.

Good to at least know that horrible DINO can't screw it up now. I would honestly vote for a republican over her just to boot her out and get a real progressive in the district.
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Frodo
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« Reply #105 on: November 06, 2014, 12:56:31 AM »

I wonder how low Democrats will go after the 2015 elections in the South, particularly in the Louisiana, Mississippi, and Virginia legislatures...  
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Smash255
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« Reply #106 on: November 06, 2014, 01:09:20 AM »

Apparently WV would rather vote for 18-year olds over Democrats.
wsj.com/articles/BL-WB-50413

Was a GOP seat previously (she knocked off the Incumbent in the GOP Primary)
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jd1433
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« Reply #107 on: November 06, 2014, 12:32:11 PM »

Dems have slight odds to retain Colorado State House.


After reading the write up on that 18 year old, I found her pretty endearing. I particularly loved how she put $4k of her own money in the race so it "showed others she had skin in the game." Impressive to see someone at 18 be that wise.

At the risk of sounding like a cradle robber (me being 27) I'm kind of curious if she has a boyfriend.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #108 on: November 06, 2014, 12:33:53 PM »

Here's a good running count of the CO House and Senate seats: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kvSCx7-trOot0Y0y6Et_KMuu4NRQQtSRm5i0kXRx7JA/edit#gid=0
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greenforest32
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« Reply #109 on: November 07, 2014, 08:37:53 PM »
« Edited: November 09, 2014, 06:08:49 PM by greenforest32 »

http://www.ncsl.org/research/elections-and-campaigns/statevote-2014-interactive-map-before-election.aspx

The results are in. Changes from the 2012 state legislative elections:

Legislature flips to Democrats (0) -
Legislature flips to Republicans (3) - Nevada (H, S), West Virginia (H, S), New Hampshire (H).
Legislature flips to split-control (6) - Washington (S), Colorado (S), New Mexico (H), Minnesota (H), New York (S), Maine (S).

All legislative chambers that flipped were because of Republican gains. The Virginia senate flipped from tied to Republicans earlier this year due to a special election so I didn't include that above since the chamber's general elections are in odd years with four-year intervals (2011, 2015, etc).

Projected post-2013/2014 elections partisan control map:



Relevant to opposite-party governors: Democrats have large enough majorities to override the gubernatorial veto in Massachusetts, Illinois, and Maryland (both IL and MD are 3/5 override rather than 2/3). The same is true for Republicans in Missouri and West Virginia.
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jaichind
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« Reply #110 on: November 08, 2014, 08:17:47 AM »
« Edited: November 08, 2014, 08:20:37 AM by jaichind »

In NY State Senate which went 32-31 for the GOP it seems the 5 member Independent Democratic Conference which all got re-elected and led by Klein has decided to continue their alliance with the GOP.  In addition to that Democrat Felder of Brooklyn will also continue to Caucus with the GOP.  So now it will be 38-25 majority for GOP/IDC.  The GOP in theory does not need this alliance but they are looking forward to 2016 where they might lose their majority again and will need the IDC to continue their control.    For for all 6 Democrats they completely scammed their party.  They promised De Blasio, WFP, and the Liberal wing of the NY State Democrats to return to the Dem fold if the Democrats retain (on paper) control of the NY State Senate.  Cuomo who supported the IDC alliance with GOP also got the WFP line in return for his promise to get the IDC to come back into the Dem fold.  All 6 Democrats as a result did not face any real primary nor general election challenge funded/supported by De Blasio, WFP, and the Liberal win of the Democrats.  They also got no or very token opposition from the GOP and pretty much sleepwalked to reelection.  Cuomo who was suppose to campaign hard to get the Dems the NY State Senate majority pretty much did nothing and sat out the election.  After the election when it turns out the GOP win a majority the IDC and Felder all went back to GOP who welcome them with open arms.  To be fair, in 2016 it will be a different affair as all 6 will face major challenges from the Liberal win of the Democrats although they are more likely to get direct support from GOP.  2016 NY State Senate election will be fun.
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Panda Express
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« Reply #111 on: November 08, 2014, 08:47:31 AM »

In NY State Senate which went 32-31 for the GOP it seems the 5 member Independent Democratic Conference which all got re-elected and led by Klein has decided to continue their alliance with the GOP.  In addition to that Democrat Felder of Brooklyn will also continue to Caucus with the GOP.  So now it will be 38-25 majority for GOP/IDC.  The GOP in theory does not need this alliance but they are looking forward to 2016 where they might lose their majority again and will need the IDC to continue their control.    For for all 6 Democrats they completely scammed their party.  They promised De Blasio, WFP, and the Liberal wing of the NY State Democrats to return to the Dem fold if the Democrats retain (on paper) control of the NY State Senate.  Cuomo who supported the IDC alliance with GOP also got the WFP line in return for his promise to get the IDC to come back into the Dem fold.  All 6 Democrats as a result did not face any real primary nor general election challenge funded/supported by De Blasio, WFP, and the Liberal win of the Democrats.  They also got no or very token opposition from the GOP and pretty much sleepwalked to reelection.  Cuomo who was suppose to campaign hard to get the Dems the NY State Senate majority pretty much did nothing and sat out the election.  After the election when it turns out the GOP win a majority the IDC and Felder all went back to GOP who welcome them with open arms.  To be fair, in 2016 it will be a different affair as all 6 will face major challenges from the Liberal win of the Democrats although they are more likely to get direct support from GOP.  2016 NY State Senate election will be fun.

lol. De Blasio not looking too smart right now
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Frodo
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« Reply #112 on: November 08, 2014, 10:58:13 AM »

Results are nearly all in (waiting on Washington and Colorado at NCSL). Oregon wasn't too bad actually; Republicans lost two, maybe three, seats from some of their popular incumbents in Obama districts retiring. Democrats picked up 1 seat in the OR state house (now 35D-25R) and 1 (maybe 2 once counting is fully complete) in the OR state senate (now at least 17D-12R): http://gov.oregonlive.com/election/

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This means automatic voter registration could pass next year; the Oregon Secretary of State says she wants to try passing it again as, in 2013, it passed the state house but failed 15-15 in the state senate (then 16D-14R) when a Democrat sided with Republicans to vote against it. That bill could register hundreds of thousands of new voters.

Good to see.  Smiley

Also, why are Democrats doing better in Oregon than they are in Washington state?  
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ottermax
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« Reply #113 on: November 08, 2014, 12:02:08 PM »



Also, why are Democrats doing better in Oregon than they are in Washington state? 

In WA Republicans have been lucky / Democrats unlucky in several Obama voting areas (LD-41 is D+10, yet has elected a Republican in both 2010 and 2012), especially in the suburbs of Seattle to the East, SouthEast, and around Tacoma/Pierce County. Some excellent candidates this time around with Tom Steyer money didn't seem to make it through. I remember in 2010 when so many Democrats in swingy suburban districts lost seats, and this time the GOP dominated against some fairly strong candidates. Democrats do have a lot of fodder against them for mismanaging the budget under Gregoire, but not sure why they can't seem to win any of the fairly easy Eastside districts, and have completely lost a hold of more exurban King/Pierce/Kitsap county districts. Unfortunately most of the vulnerable districts are not up for election again until 2018.

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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #114 on: November 08, 2014, 12:05:34 PM »

If it's any indication that eastern Kentucky isn't really trending GOP, a Republican incumbent there lost.

Also, I'm pretty sure that the Elliott County Judge-Executive (the county's top public official) had recently switched from Republican to Democratic. I'm not 100% sure of this though.
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Frodo
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« Reply #115 on: November 11, 2014, 02:33:35 PM »



Also, why are Democrats doing better in Oregon than they are in Washington state? 

In WA Republicans have been lucky / Democrats unlucky in several Obama voting areas (LD-41 is D+10, yet has elected a Republican in both 2010 and 2012), especially in the suburbs of Seattle to the East, SouthEast, and around Tacoma/Pierce County. Some excellent candidates this time around with Tom Steyer money didn't seem to make it through. I remember in 2010 when so many Democrats in swingy suburban districts lost seats, and this time the GOP dominated against some fairly strong candidates. Democrats do have a lot of fodder against them for mismanaging the budget under Gregoire, but not sure why they can't seem to win any of the fairly easy Eastside districts, and have completely lost a hold of more exurban King/Pierce/Kitsap county districts. Unfortunately most of the vulnerable districts are not up for election again until 2018.



So are Republicans just structurally stronger in Washington state compared to their counterparts in Oregon? 
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