2014 state legislature (general) elections
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Author Topic: 2014 state legislature (general) elections  (Read 16401 times)
USSP
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« Reply #75 on: November 05, 2014, 02:08:36 AM »

As of right now the vote in the Colorado State House is R:34 D:31
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jaichind
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« Reply #76 on: November 05, 2014, 06:10:35 AM »

My prediction is that they will fail and the GOP will retake control of the NY state senate 32-31.

At this point it is exactly GOP 32-31 so I nailed this one.  One of the Dem winners most likely will caucus with GOP giving GOP de facto 33-30 control. 
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #77 on: November 05, 2014, 11:35:46 AM »

The Lexington Herald-Leader reports Kentucky will be 54-46 D after all - slightly better than the 53-47 that was reported earlier. In other words, no net loss.

The "right-to-work" bull was toxic for the GOP's Kentucky House candidates.
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user12345
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« Reply #78 on: November 05, 2014, 11:55:48 AM »

New Mexico House has gone to the Republicans. 37-33
Republicans control the House and Senate in NH.
Colorado House tied, Senate goes to Republicans.
http://www.ncsl.org/research/elections-and-campaigns/statevote-2014-interactive-map-before-election.aspx
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #79 on: November 05, 2014, 12:03:00 PM »

Didn't the seats in the Colorado Senate that the NRA had the do-over flip back to the Democrats?
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #80 on: November 05, 2014, 12:03:25 PM »

Republicans have picked up at least 3 seats in the Kansas House, with 3 more likely headed to recounts. This might be the most surprising thing from last night - I fully expected Republicans to lose quite a few seats.
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Mr. Reactionary
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« Reply #81 on: November 05, 2014, 02:02:55 PM »

So not all state house races have been reported yet, but by my current tally here are the Democrat losses in each of the state legislatures. Asterisk denotes that not all races have been called. This is a MINIMUM casualty list and can climb higher once other results come in.

State Senate Seats: -49,+4 [Net Loss -45]
State House Seats: -208,+5 [Net Loss -203]
Legislatures lost: ME-S (Likely), NH-H, NY-S, WV-H, MN-H, CO-H, CO-S, NV-H, NV-S, NM-H

AL [-3 S/-6H]
AK [-1S/+ H]*
AZ [-2S/ H]*
AR [-2S/-12 H]
CA [-4S/-10H ]*
CO [-2S/-7H]*
CT [-3S/-11H]*
DE [-1S/-2 H]
FL [-0S/-8H]
GA [-0S/-1H]
HI [-0S/-1H]
ID [-0S/+1H]
IL [-1S/-0H]
IN [-3S/-1H]
IA [-0S/-4H]
KS [-5H]*
KY [-1S,-1i/-0H]*
ME [/]* Not enough data
MD [-2S/-6H]*
MA [-2S/-5H]*
MI [/]* Not enough data
MN [-10H]*
MO [-0S/-7H]
MT [/]* Not enough data
NV [-1S/-12H]
NH [-1S/-52H]*
NM [-4H]
NY [-2S/-1H]
NC [-1S/+3H]
ND [+2S/-0H]
OH [-0S/-4H]*
OK [-3S/-0H]
OR [+1S/-0H]*
PA [-3S/-8H]
RI [-0S/-6H]
SC [-0H]
SD [+1S/-4H]*
TN [-1S/-1H]
TX [-1S/-3H]
UT [-0S/+1H]*
VT [/]* Not enough data
WA [/]* Not enough data
WV [-7S/-15H]*
WI [-1S/-1H]*
WY [0S/-1H]

Bright spots for the Dems: OR Senate is now harder for Rs to poach; Also Dems seem to have bottomed out in ID, UT and ND. Other than that, not much else to brag over.

Updates when available.
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muon2
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« Reply #82 on: November 05, 2014, 04:02:34 PM »

Another bright spot for the Dems was maintaining their supermajority in IL. With a Pub governor coming in, even one lost seat would have meant losing the ability to override vetoes.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #83 on: November 05, 2014, 04:05:24 PM »

KY House was quite significant too. They held up as Grimes collapsed.
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greenforest32
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« Reply #84 on: November 05, 2014, 04:22:51 PM »
« Edited: November 05, 2014, 04:32:13 PM by greenforest32 »

Results are nearly all in (waiting on Washington and Colorado at NCSL). Oregon wasn't too bad actually; Republicans lost two, maybe three, seats from some of their popular incumbents in Obama districts retiring. Democrats picked up 1 seat in the OR state house (now 35D-25R) and 1 (maybe 2 once counting is fully complete) in the OR state senate (now at least 17D-12R): http://gov.oregonlive.com/election/

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This means automatic voter registration could pass next year; the Oregon Secretary of State says she wants to try passing it again as, in 2013, it passed the state house but failed 15-15 in the state senate (then 16D-14R) when a Democrat sided with Republicans to vote against it. That bill could register hundreds of thousands of new voters.

On the other hand, I was expecting Republicans to win the Iowa state senate and then have a trifecta which would mean they'd be able to eliminate Iowa's same-day registration like they've done in other states (Maine, Ohio, North Carolina, Montana, etc). Surprised that it looks like Democrats held it.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #85 on: November 05, 2014, 04:28:40 PM »

The NH, ME, MN, NV, NM, CO losses are from districts which waft back and forth in off years. Regaining most of them in 2016 is certain if a Democrat wins the white house.
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Vega
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« Reply #86 on: November 05, 2014, 05:37:46 PM »

Republicans gained a seat in the Hawaii House of Representatives. So now they have a whopping 8 Reps.
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user12345
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« Reply #87 on: November 05, 2014, 06:50:47 PM »

Oh Colorado... http://www.lgbtqnation.com/2014/11/meet-dr-chaps-colorados-new-anti-gay-demon-hunting-state-legislator/
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Miles
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« Reply #88 on: November 05, 2014, 07:10:47 PM »

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Veto overrides in WV only need a simple majority.
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Frodo
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« Reply #89 on: November 05, 2014, 09:02:04 PM »

KY House was quite significant too. They held up as Grimes collapsed.

Gerrymandering can do wonders in staving off the inevitable.  We'll see if that eventually falls to the Republicans too before the end of this decade.  It is the one remaining southern chamber that doesn't already have a GOP majority.  They have everything else in the region, now that the West Virginia Senate has gone blue.  
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user12345
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« Reply #90 on: November 05, 2014, 09:08:48 PM »

@DavidALieb: Democratic Rep. Linda Black switches to GOP. Republican majority in Missouri House grows to 118 seats. @AP: http://t.co/13ah7natsT
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rbt48
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« Reply #91 on: November 05, 2014, 09:54:56 PM »
« Edited: November 05, 2014, 10:02:46 PM by rbt48 »

After yesterday's elections, Democrats will control five chambers south of the Mason-Dixon line and east of Colorado/New Mexico:
Delaware House and Senate (2)
Maryland House and Senate (2)
Kentucky House (1)

The West Virginia Senate will be tied, 17 - 17.

All other chambers are Republican controlled:
Virginia (2)
North Carolina (2)
South Carolina (2)
Georgia (2)
Florida (2)
West Virginia (1)
Kentucky (1)
Tennessee (2)
Alabama (2)
Mississippi (2)
Missouri (2)
Arkansas (2)
Louisiana (2)
Texas (2)
Oklahoma (2)
Kansas (2)

If my arithmetic is correct, that is 30 - 5 - 1.

Now, how the Republicans managed to avoid seizing the State H of R is beyond me.  They upped their control of the S Senate to 26 - 12 but still trail in the House 53 -46 - 1 (U).
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Ab1234mdusr
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« Reply #92 on: November 05, 2014, 09:58:38 PM »

Apparently WV would rather vote for 18-year olds over Democrats.
wsj.com/articles/BL-WB-50413
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« Reply #93 on: November 05, 2014, 10:05:53 PM »

Republicans taking the Minnesota House wasn't that unexpected: http://www.minnpost.com/community-voices/2014/10/why-dfl-will-lose-minnesota-house

It was mostly a loss of rural seats where Democratic turnout clearly cratered. Even Dayton did kind of poorly in these areas all things considered, the map isn't all that impressive considering how safe he was considered, he even lost every non-Twin City metro county, the very bellwether-ish Olmsted county, and even some DFL-leaningish rural ones. Johnson didn't do that bad in hindsight, he basically matched Romney's numbers in fact.

But the good news is we already got marriage equality, medical marijuana and the more progressive tax structure, and the Senate means they can't go crazy with the amendment sh!t as a bypass around Dayton's veto like before.
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jd1433
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« Reply #94 on: November 05, 2014, 10:17:50 PM »

Republicans taking the Minnesota House wasn't that unexpected: http://www.minnpost.com/community-voices/2014/10/why-dfl-will-lose-minnesota-house

It was mostly a loss of rural seats where Democratic turnout clearly cratered. Even Dayton did kind of poorly in these areas all things considered, the map isn't all that impressive considering how safe he was considered, he even lost every non-Twin City metro county, the very bellwether-ish Olmsted county, and even some DFL-leaningish rural ones. Johnson didn't do that bad in hindsight, he basically matched Romney's numbers in fact.

But the good news is we already got marriage equality, medical marijuana and the more progressive tax structure, and the Senate means they can't go crazy with the amendment sh!t as a bypass around Dayton's veto like before.

Actually it was pretty expected. A lot of money flew into that for a state chamber and it was very high on GOP's target list.
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jd1433
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« Reply #95 on: November 05, 2014, 10:20:35 PM »

After yesterday's elections, Democrats will control five chambers south of the Mason-Dixon line and east of Colorado/New Mexico:
Delaware House and Senate (2)
Maryland House and Senate (2)
Kentucky House (1)

The West Virginia Senate will be tied, 17 - 17.

All other chambers are Republican controlled:
Virginia (2)
North Carolina (2)
South Carolina (2)
Georgia (2)
Florida (2)
West Virginia (1)
Kentucky (1)
Tennessee (2)
Alabama (2)
Mississippi (2)
Missouri (2)
Arkansas (2)
Louisiana (2)
Texas (2)
Oklahoma (2)
Kansas (2)

If my arithmetic is correct, that is 30 - 5 - 1.

Now, how the Republicans managed to avoid seizing the State H of R is beyond me.  They upped their control of the S Senate to 26 - 12 but still trail in the House 53 -46 - 1 (U).


As reported above WV is now a GOP majority Senate chamber due to party switch. Now reports that the guy "isn't expected to be the only one". So supposedly the GOP might actually have a decent majority in the WV senate of 2 or more seats.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #96 on: November 05, 2014, 11:01:21 PM »

If the West Virginia GOP pursues "right-to-work", how much will it harm their future prospects in that state?
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KCDem
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« Reply #97 on: November 05, 2014, 11:02:18 PM »

If the West Virginia GOP pursues "right-to-work", how much will it harm their future prospects in that state?

Probably not at all. The West Virginia Democratic Party died last night.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #98 on: November 05, 2014, 11:02:26 PM »

If the West Virginia GOP pursues "right-to-work", how much will it harm their future prospects in that state?

Judging from the results in Michigan and Wisconsin, it would actually help them. Unions are dead.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #99 on: November 05, 2014, 11:07:04 PM »

If the West Virginia GOP pursues "right-to-work", how much will it harm their future prospects in that state?

Judging from the results in Michigan and Wisconsin, it would actually help them. Unions are dead.

It hurt them in the Kentucky House. "Right-to-work" was about all they talked about, and look what it did for them.
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