DS0816
Sr. Member
Posts: 3,143
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« on: January 04, 2014, 04:04:19 AM » |
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« edited: January 22, 2014, 06:27:56 AM by DS0816 »
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It depends on what the state-after-state margins were in one election cycle; the shift in order to get to that 5-point national margin of victory also having impact on first election cycle; and from there you present an electoral-map model of what a five-point victory looks like for either side.
In 2008, had Barack Obama won not by 7+ but by 5+ percentage points, nationwide, his electoral map would have been what it turned out to be for his re-election in 2012.
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