Ontario municipal elections, (October 27, 2014) - Master thread

[DL]

I guess Toronto Liberals have found their candidate, and it's not Olivia Chow.

Amazing that John Tory could actually win an election.

Toronto Liberals better be careful about wishing for something - it might happen. John Tory is a lifelong dyed in the wool Ontario PC and federal CPC member and supporter. He is a big fan of Stephen Harper and he would LOVE to see the ontario PCs back in the game. if he becomes mayor of TO - he could do a lot to help the Ontario PCs reestablish themselves in Toronto and win back all the moderate conservative votes that have drifted to the liberals - thins could be lethal to the ontario liberals in 2018.

[RogueBeaver]

Ford has a tumour.

[adma]

Amazing that John Tory could actually win an election.

Actually, not so amazing, if one considers how well Tory's 2003 mayoral campaign was received; that Miller won was more the post-Lastman luck of the draw than a measure of John Tory's failure.

In a way, municipal leadership might have been his true comfort zone all along--unfortunately campflauged by the fact that he *didn't* win in 2003, and then proceeded to blow it as provincial PC leader...

[lilTommy]

http://www.thestar.com/news/city_hall/toronto2014election/2014/09/12/giorgio_mammoliti_in_close_fight_in_york_west_poll_suggests.html

Toronto Council races, Forum poll, small sizes, marin is 7%

Ward 7
Mammoliti 37% (crazy reactionist conservative type)
Nick DiNizio 33% (looks conservative, just not as ridiculous as mammo)

Ward 2
Michael Ford 50% (Doug Fords son, Rob's nephew, populist conservative obviously)
Andray Domise 30% (progressive, Liberal I believe)

Ward 30
Paula Fletcher 56% (established NDP candidate)
Liz West 18% (moderate centrist type)
Jane Farrow 13% (another leftist, grassroots, non-aligned so left liberals might like her)

Ward 32
Mary-Margaret McMahon 60% (moderately progressive, more centrist with left tendencies)
Sandra Bussin 21% (former Councillor, NDP)

Ward 20
Joe Cressy 47% (established left NDP)
while other candidates (26 or so) are stuck in single digits (not sure if that including Thomson)

[DL]

Ward 20
Joe Cressy 47% (established left NDP)
while other candidates (26 or so) are stuck in single digits (not sure if that including Thomson)

Yeah they had Sarah Thomson second at 9% and she gets massive DISapproval - even from Liberals.

[Hatman 🍁]

Ottawa's newest mayoral candidate: https://twitter.com/RebaforMayor

She has my vote (probably)

[DL]

Rob Ford has dropped out due to his health. His brother Doug Ford is running instead.

[RogueBeaver]

Rob Ford withdraws, Doug probably runs in his place. Mike Ford drops out, perhaps Rob files for Ward 2 council?

[andrew_c]

CONFIRMED:

Doug Ford running for mayor.
Rob Ford running for council in Ward 2.

[DC Al Fine]

Rob Ford withdraws, Doug probably runs in his place. Mike Ford drops out, perhaps Rob files for Ward 2 council?

What the...?

Can we please have Rob Ford 2018?!?!?!

[lilTommy]

CONFIRMED:

Doug Ford running for mayor.
Rob Ford running for council in Ward 2.

Michael Ford running for School Trustee now

[MaxQue]

Rob Ford withdraws, Doug probably runs in his place. Mike Ford drops out, perhaps Rob files for Ward 2 council?

What the...?

Can we please have Rob Ford 2018?!?!?!

You should rather hope (and pray) than Rob Ford is still alive in 2018. What I heard about his health wasn't sounding very good.

[Hatman 🍁]

Of all the things that could possibly kill him, who'da thunk a tumour would be high on it?

[Hash]

Drug user replaced by drug dealer. Excellent!

[Smid]

Of all the things that could possibly kill him, who'da thunk a tumour would be high on it?

I see what you did there. Very good.

[Hatman 🍁]

Of all the things that could possibly kill him, who'da thunk a tumour would be high on it?

I see what you did there. Very good.

Haha. I wish I was that clever

[RogueBeaver]

TO-Mayor: Snap Forum poll has Tory 41, Ford 34, Chow 19.

[Lief 🗽]

TO-Mayor: Snap Forum poll has Tory 41, Ford 34, Chow 19.

Ummm how are the two Conservative candidates winning 75% of the vote??

[trebor204]

There is a total of 65 candidates running for mayor in Toronto.
A total of 20 candidates withdrew. A candidate by the name of "Happy Happy" withdrawn twice. And Wally Schwauss withdrawn and later reapplied.

http://app.toronto.ca/vote/searchCandidateByOfficeType.do?criteria.officeType=1

[Hatman 🍁]

TO-Mayor: Snap Forum poll has Tory 41, Ford 34, Chow 19.

Ummm how are the two Conservative candidates winning 75% of the vote??

Well, it's safe to say 75% of Torontonians generally support conservative parties in other elections

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

So, why is the NDP collapsing in Toronto? In the by-elections, then the provincial election and now Chow's plummet ... demographic changes, or the Trudeau Effect?

[Linus Van Pelt]

Toronto is like New York in the sense that mayoral elections are fought on basically nonpartisan lines.  It's not surprising that support for candidates should vary widely from preferences for the parties they belong to.

That still leaves the more specific question as to why non-Ford voters seem to be drifting from Olivia Chow to John Tory. I can't say I understand it; Tory has always struck me as a pretty mediocre figure. But I haven't been following the day-to-day campaign that closely.

[adma]

Ummm how are the two Conservative candidates winning 75% of the vote??

Because there is no Liberal candidate.  (And John Tory's moderate enough for a lot of Liberal-type voters to tolerate.)

[lilTommy]

New poll:
http://globalnews.ca/news/1566237/john-tory-opening-up-big-lead-over-olivia-chow-doug-ford-poll/

Tory - 43% (+2)
Chow - 29% (+ 10)
DFord - 28% (-6)

Three days ago:
http://www.thestar.com/news/city_hall/toronto2014election/2014/09/12/poll_doug_ford_starts_mayoral_campaign_in_competitive_second_place.html

Tory - 41%
DFord - 34%
Chow - 19%

[Linus Van Pelt]

Former MP John Nunziata (who has, by the way, been convicted of assault in the interim for kicking someone in the buttocks) is running for council in Ward 12, York South-Weston.