New England 2014 Congressional Races

[free my dawg]

Dump everything involving all the competitive New England races here.

In NH-2, candidate Gary Lambert is in a bit of trouble for retweeting this. Democrats are alleging that by this person saying that "we needed a man with military experience" in office as Lambert saying that we needed a man in Congress.

In MA-6, John Tierney has a primary challenger. Seth Moulton, a centrist Iraq veteran, is seeking to run against John Tierney, and has picked up VoteVets' endorsement. He previously weighed an independent bid in 2012.

No fundraising totals yet, but there are a few competitive races that we can watch here.

[free my dawg]

I'd say MA-6 Leans D with Tierney, Likely D with Moulton. Really depends on whether people still care about the gambling scandal his family was implicated in, but considering how many Republicans crossed over to Tisei, Tierney will probably go down in the primary if that's still relevant.

[free my dawg]

Kuster doesn't impress me too much, but Lambert (and other candidates i know in NH-02) seem too conservative to me in this Democratic-leaning district in more-less neutral year. Republicans would need some social moderate (Bob Odell?) here.

In NH-01 Guinta will, most likely, win primary, though Innis would be, most likely, better general election candidate

*Odell would be a good candidate, but he's really getting up there in age. He'll be 70 by 2014, so he obviously won't be around for that long. Jeannie Forrester would be a good candidate as well, and Morse would be good too if he wasn't freshly elected as Senate President. Lambert and Garcia are too conservative for the district.

*Like I've been saying, Innis is a nonfactor. Not only did he vote in the Democratic primary in 2012, he voted for the more liberal candidate who ran on instating an income tax because they worked together. Considering this is a state that's fairly economically conservative, I don't see a plausible path to victory for Innis.

And in other news, Susan Collins' primary challenger, Erick Bennett, has been caught blaming everyone else but him for his domestic violence conviction.

Something tells me an MRA who's openly squawking about LE MISANDRY won't win in the primary.

[free my dawg]

Kuster doesn't impress me too much, but Lambert (and other candidates i know in NH-02) seem too conservative to me in this Democratic-leaning district in more-less neutral year. Republicans would need some social moderate (Bob Odell?) here.

In NH-01 Guinta will, most likely, win primary, though Innis would be, most likely, better general election candidate

Jeannie Forrester would be a good candidate as well

Is not she a social conservative? If so - not especially good recommendations for this district.

Actually I'm wrong. Forrester's in Meredith, which is just inside NH-1.

[free my dawg]

Their best bet was Chuck Morse, but he's not running. The Republicans' bench here is very weak.

At this point they might as well run Charlie Bass again.

[free my dawg]

Scott Brown appearing at a campaign kickoff. In Massachusetts. For MA-9 candidate John Chapman.

If he's looking to prove he's a New Hampshirite, he's doing a horrible job.

[free my dawg]

Coming from someone's who closely follows New Hampshire politics, I don't take WMUR polls seriously at all - even the Shaheen result. While they were spot-on at the end of the election, they're always all over the place before it. Looking at their congressional poll in mid-October right now, it had Shea-Porter up on Guinta by 16 (48-32). Now we're supposed to believe that a former incumbent's gained over an eighth of the district's support while Shea-Porter's hemmorhaging voters?

I'm not trying to say Guinta's a paper tiger like the Republicans in NH-2, but if a poll has a 22-point swing over three months, it's undeniably junk. Garcia and Lambert are both too conservative for NH-2, and the latter had no chance of keeping his seat in 2012, so I'm not worried about Kuster at all. Those candidates aren't Bob Odell or Charlie Bass.