WA-04: Doc Hastings retiring

[Vosem]

I'd love for Maureen Walsh to run. I'm sure she'd have little chance of winning the primary, unfortunately. I'm also sure the Ds will put up a candidate. They actually got within a few points of taking out Hastings in 2006 and within 10 points in 2008.

Wikipedia says Hastings won 60-40 in 2006 and and 63-37 in 2008; basically, this is a noncompetitive district, though it used to be up until the mid-1990s (Hastings was kept within single digits for the last time in 1996).

[Seattle]

I'd love for Maureen Walsh to run. I'm sure she'd have little chance of winning the primary, unfortunately. I'm also sure the Ds will put up a candidate. They actually got within a few points of taking out Hastings in 2006 and within 10 points in 2008.

Wikipedia says Hastings won 60-40 in 2006 and and 63-37 in 2008; basically, this is a noncompetitive district, though it used to be up until the mid-1990s (Hastings was kept within single digits for the last time in 1996).

Damn. I hate when people mess with Wiki. Last time I checked, it showed way closer margins for 06 and 08.

[Vosem]

I'd love for Maureen Walsh to run. I'm sure she'd have little chance of winning the primary, unfortunately. I'm also sure the Ds will put up a candidate. They actually got within a few points of taking out Hastings in 2006 and within 10 points in 2008.

Wikipedia says Hastings won 60-40 in 2006 and and 63-37 in 2008; basically, this is a noncompetitive district, though it used to be up until the mid-1990s (Hastings was kept within single digits for the last time in 1996).

Damn. I hate when people mess with Wiki. Last time I checked, it showed way closer margins for 06 and 08.

Our Campaigns corroborates my numbers -- Hastings has not faced a close race since 1996.

In other news, the first Republican candidate -- Janea Holmquist Newbry -- has just announced her candidacy.

[Seattle]

Our Campaigns corroborates my numbers -- Hastings has not faced a close race since 1996.

In other news, the first Republican candidate -- Janea Holmquist Newbry -- has just announced her candidacy.

I don't doubt you! I'm just peeved that I've been duped by Wikipedia.

I'm sure Didier will announce soon. Out of the potential candidates, I definitely *like* Newbry the best.

[publicunofficial]

Our Campaigns corroborates my numbers -- Hastings has not faced a close race since 1996.

In other news, the first Republican candidate -- Janea Holmquist Newbry -- has just announced her candidacy.

I don't doubt you! I'm just peeved that I've been duped by Wikipedia.

I'm sure Didier will announce soon. Out of the potential candidates, I definitely *like* Newbry the best.

Didier is in and so is Sharon Brown.

[publicunofficial]

Franklin County Commissioner Brad Peck (R) is in. Geographically, he cuts into Didier's base. No idea where he stands ideologically.


State Rep. Matt Manweller, State Rep. David Taylor, and Yakima Mayor Micah Cawley have all declined bids, with Cawley endorsing Newbry.

[Meeker]

Geographically, he cuts into Didier's base. No idea where he stands ideologically.

I was under the impression Didier was from Grant County (Ephrata). It seems Peck getting in hurts Sharon Brown more than him.

While we're on the subject of geography, it's worth noting most of Newbry Holmquist's district isn't in this CD (it's split between the 8th and the 5th). And if Didier is from Ephrata, all she really has is Moses Lake (population 21,000).

If I were a Republican officeholder from Yakima County, I'd get in this thing quick.

[publicunofficial]

Geographically, he cuts into Didier's base. No idea where he stands ideologically.

I was under the impression Didier was from Grant County (Ephrata). It seems Peck getting in hurts Sharon Brown more than him.

While we're on the subject of geography, it's worth noting most of Newbry Holmquist's district isn't in this CD (it's split between the 8th and the 5th). And if Didier is from Ephrata, all she really has is Moses Lake (population 21,000).

If I were a Republican officeholder from Yakima County, I'd get in this thing quick.

Didier is from Connell, but currently lives in Eltopia.

[Meeker]

Geographically, he cuts into Didier's base. No idea where he stands ideologically.

I was under the impression Didier was from Grant County (Ephrata). It seems Peck getting in hurts Sharon Brown more than him.

While we're on the subject of geography, it's worth noting most of Newbry Holmquist's district isn't in this CD (it's split between the 8th and the 5th). And if Didier is from Ephrata, all she really has is Moses Lake (population 21,000).

If I were a Republican officeholder from Yakima County, I'd get in this thing quick.

Didier is from Connell, but currently lives in Eltopia.

Ah, ok. So Newbry Holmquist has Grant County all to herself. That'll help.

Yakima County still the big wildcard.

[publicunofficial]

Geographically, he cuts into Didier's base. No idea where he stands ideologically.

I was under the impression Didier was from Grant County (Ephrata). It seems Peck getting in hurts Sharon Brown more than him.

While we're on the subject of geography, it's worth noting most of Newbry Holmquist's district isn't in this CD (it's split between the 8th and the 5th). And if Didier is from Ephrata, all she really has is Moses Lake (population 21,000).

If I were a Republican officeholder from Yakima County, I'd get in this thing quick.

Didier is from Connell, but currently lives in Eltopia.

Ah, ok. So Newbry Holmquist has Grant County all to herself. That'll help.

Yakima County still the big wildcard.

Well here's your Yakima candidate. Dan Newhouse is in.


State Rep. Judy Warnick, meanwhile, will run for Newbry's Senate seat.

[smoltchanov]

It seems to me - too many "establishment conservatives". Can it lead to situation of 2 "tea partiers" in general?

[publicunofficial]

It seems to me - too many "establishment conservatives". Can it lead to situation of 2 "tea partiers" in general?

The Tea Party doesn't have a huge presence in Washington besides Didier (As I've said before, the Tea Party Wave never really hit the west coast). If another Tea Party guy gets into the race, it'll be an absolute nobody.

[smoltchanov]

It seems to me - too many "establishment conservatives". Can it lead to situation of 2 "tea partiers" in general?

The Tea Party doesn't have a huge presence in Washington besides Didier (As I've said before, the Tea Party Wave never really hit the west coast). If another Tea Party guy gets into the race, it'll be an absolute nobody.

Good. I can live with "normal establishment conservative Republican" in THIS district.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

If I recall correct, Hastings was one of the ones that Hastert stacked the ethics committee with in order to shield Delay.

That sort of makes me long for an outsider here.

[smoltchanov]

If I recall correct, Hastings was one of the ones that Hastert stacked the ethics committee with in order to shield Delay.

That sort of makes me long for an outsider here.

An outsider in such district is, usually, an extremely conservative outsider. You know - i am not a big fan of such political candidates (though almost the same i can say for "far left" as well)...

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

If I recall correct, Hastings was one of the ones that Hastert stacked the ethics committee with in order to shield Delay.

That sort of makes me long for an outsider here.

An outsider in such district is, usually, an extremely conservative outsider. You know - i am not a big fan of such political candidates (though almost the same i can say for "far left" as well)...

That wasn't the case in LA-05 though, clearly.

[smoltchanov]

If I recall correct, Hastings was one of the ones that Hastert stacked the ethics committee with in order to shield Delay.

That sort of makes me long for an outsider here.

An outsider in such district is, usually, an extremely conservative outsider. You know - i am not a big fan of such political candidates (though almost the same i can say for "far left" as well)...

That wasn't the case in LA-05 though, clearly.

I wouldn't call him moderate either. But, probably the best that you can get from such district

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

If I recall correct, Hastings was one of the ones that Hastert stacked the ethics committee with in order to shield Delay.

That sort of makes me long for an outsider here.

An outsider in such district is, usually, an extremely conservative outsider. You know - i am not a big fan of such political candidates (though almost the same i can say for "far left" as well)...

That wasn't the case in LA-05 though, clearly.

I wouldn't call him moderate either. But, probably the best that you can get from such district

He was more moderate than the establishment guy though.

[smoltchanov]

If I recall correct, Hastings was one of the ones that Hastert stacked the ethics committee with in order to shield Delay.

That sort of makes me long for an outsider here.

An outsider in such district is, usually, an extremely conservative outsider. You know - i am not a big fan of such political candidates (though almost the same i can say for "far left" as well)...

That wasn't the case in LA-05 though, clearly.

I wouldn't call him moderate either. But, probably the best that you can get from such district

He was more moderate than the establishment guy though.

Yes. That happens. But - very rarely. I am at loss about second such case in the last years. Usually it's the way i formulated above - politics REALLY became much more polarized as of late. So much so, that there is a serious danger of having "2 nations", with absolutely no overlap, in one state

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

If I recall correct, Hastings was one of the ones that Hastert stacked the ethics committee with in order to shield Delay.

That sort of makes me long for an outsider here.

An outsider in such district is, usually, an extremely conservative outsider. You know - i am not a big fan of such political candidates (though almost the same i can say for "far left" as well)...

That wasn't the case in LA-05 though, clearly.

I wouldn't call him moderate either. But, probably the best that you can get from such district

He was more moderate than the establishment guy though.

Yes. That happens. But - very rarely. I am at loss about second such case in the last years. Usually it's the way i formulated above - politics REALLY became much more polarized as of late. So much so, that there is a serious danger of having "2 nations", with absolutely no overlap, in one state

KS-02 2008 maybe and KS-03 2010 primaries in some ways count as such as well. MI 2010 Gubernatorial primary also.

[smoltchanov]

If I recall correct, Hastings was one of the ones that Hastert stacked the ethics committee with in order to shield Delay.

That sort of makes me long for an outsider here.

An outsider in such district is, usually, an extremely conservative outsider. You know - i am not a big fan of such political candidates (though almost the same i can say for "far left" as well)...

That wasn't the case in LA-05 though, clearly.

I wouldn't call him moderate either. But, probably the best that you can get from such district

He was more moderate than the establishment guy though.

Yes. That happens. But - very rarely. I am at loss about second such case in the last years. Usually it's the way i formulated above - politics REALLY became much more polarized as of late. So much so, that there is a serious danger of having "2 nations", with absolutely no overlap, in one state

KS-02 2008 maybe and KS-03 2010 primaries in some ways count as such as well. MI 2010 Gubernatorial primary also.

Agree on MI-GOV-2010. Will look on Kansas. But Jenkins turned out to be much more conservative then i expected, and Yoder severely disappoints me too

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

If I recall correct, Hastings was one of the ones that Hastert stacked the ethics committee with in order to shield Delay.

That sort of makes me long for an outsider here.

An outsider in such district is, usually, an extremely conservative outsider. You know - i am not a big fan of such political candidates (though almost the same i can say for "far left" as well)...

That wasn't the case in LA-05 though, clearly.

I wouldn't call him moderate either. But, probably the best that you can get from such district

He was more moderate than the establishment guy though.

Yes. That happens. But - very rarely. I am at loss about second such case in the last years. Usually it's the way i formulated above - politics REALLY became much more polarized as of late. So much so, that there is a serious danger of having "2 nations", with absolutely no overlap, in one state

KS-02 2008 maybe and KS-03 2010 primaries in some ways count as such as well. MI 2010 Gubernatorial primary also.

Agree on MI-GOV-2010. Will look on Kansas. But Jenkins turned out to be much more conservative then i expected, and Yoder severely disappoints me too

Politicians tend to disappoint once in office in general.

[publicunofficial]

State Sen. Sharon Brown is out.