UK local by-elections 2014

[doktorb]

There are 12 (twelve) local authority byelections this Thursday

[Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever]

There are 12 (twelve) local authority byelections this Thursday

Don't I know it   The previews are with Kris now, thank goodness.

[ObserverIE]

Holy Words here and here.

Melton, Asfordby

Con 54.3 (+15.7)
Lab 26.4 (-7.0)
UKIP 19.3 (+19.3)

East Yorkshire, Willerby and Kirk Ella

Con 55.6 (+9.3)
UKIP 25.5 (+25.5)
Lab 18.8 (+3.2)

Hillingdon, Charville

Lab 39.2 (+6.1)
Con 38.3 (+7.2)
UKIP 19.3 (-4.4)
TUSC 1.7 (-1.4)
Lib Dem 1.5 (+1.5)

Oxfordshire, The Leys

Lab 71.0 (-10.5)
UKIP 13.6 (+13.6)
Con 6.2 (-1.4)
Green 4.6 (-2.8)
Lib Dem 2.4 (-1.1)
TUSC 2.2 (+2.2)

Oxford, Blackbird Leys

Lab 78.9 (+11.6)
UKIP 11.8 (-8.7)
Con 3.5 (-2.2)
Green 2.7 (-1.8)
TUSC 1.7 (+1.7)
Lib Dem 1.4 (-0.6)

Oxford, Northfield Brook

Lab 70.6 (-1.0)
Con 11.4 (-0.1)
Green 8.8 (-2.5)
TUSC 6.0 (+6.0)
Lib Dem 3.2 (-2.4)

East Yorkshire, Bridlington Central and Old Town

UKIP 30.8 (+30.8)
Con 27.1 (-4.0)
Ind Dealtry 16.7
Ind Dixon 16.5
Ind Tate 8.9

East Yorkshire, Howdenshire (changes in italics since May 2013 by-election)

Con 46.2 (+0.1) (+2.6)
UKIP 40.3 (+40.3) (+5.4)
Lab 13.5 (-2.4) (-2.1)

Orkney, Kirkwall West and Orphir

Ind Manson 57.5
Ind Skuse 25.0
Ind McBrearty 12.6
Ind Leonard 4.9

Huntingdonshire, St. Neots Priory Park

Con 45.5 (-2.9)
UKIP 34.2 (+7.4)
Lab 20.2 (+5.4)

Aberdeenshire, Troup

SNP 46.1 (+6.4)
Con 22.8 (+1.9)
Ind Still 15.5
Lib Dem 5.6 (+3.6)
Lab 5.6 (-0.9)
Green 2.7 (+2.7)
Ind Mitchell 1.7

Midlothian, Midlothian East

Lab 32.9 (-2.7)
SNP 32.1 (-10.8)
Ind 19.8
Con 8.4 (-0.7)
Green 5.0 (+5.0)
Lib Dem 1.7 (+1.7)

Con gain Asfordby from Lab
UKIP gain Bridlington Central and Old Town from SDP
SNP gain Troup from Con
Lab hold Midlothian East

[Phony Moderate]

Those Tory c**nts.

[Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever]

Orkney, Kirkwall West and Orphir

Ind Manson 57.5
Ind Skuse 25.0
Ind McBrearty 12.6
Ind Leonard 4.9

Leonard actually died shortly before polling day; but as he was an independent the election went ahead anyway.  This may well be the first time the Cormack amendment has been used.

[ObserverIE]

This week's Holy Word here.

Thurrock, Aveley and Uplands

UKIP 41.0 (-6.2)
Con 28.5 (-1.2)
Lab 18.6 (+2.4)
Ind 11.9

Mansfield, Netherfield

Lab 57.7 (+12.1)
UKIP 37.4 (+37.4)
TUSC 4.8 (+4.8)

Rossendale, Longholme

Lab 43.8 (+0.9)
Con 33.8 (+0.5)
UKIP 22.4 (-1.4)

Adur, St. Mary's

Con 38.4 (+1.3)
Lab 25.2 (+2.6)
UKIP 24.4 (+3.2)
Green 12.0 (-0.7)

Lab gain Netherfield from Mansfield Ind

[joevsimp]

This week's Holy Word here.

Thurrock, Aveley and Uplands

UKIP 41.0 (-6.2)
Con 28.5 (-1.2)
Lab 18.6 (+2.4)
Ind 11.9

I think I might have gone to school with the Ukip candidate's daughter

[EPG]

Not that I doubt you, but I thought he was about 30.

[joevsimp]

so he is, must be her brother then

[ObserverIE]

An entire sentence of Holy Words here, here and here.

Sunderland, Washington East

Lab 38.3 (-3.0)
Con 29.4 (+4.1)
UKIP 25.0 (-1.1)
Green 4.6 (+4.6)
Lib Dem 2.6 (-2.2)

Broxtowe, Toton and Chilwell Meadows (change in italics since October 2012 by-election)

Con 54.6 (+5.5) (+6.9)
Lab 26.0 (-3.7) (+3.9)
UKIP 19.5 (+9.4) (+6.4)

Argyll and Bute, South Kintyre

SNP 62.2 (+37.2)
Lib Dem 14.1 (-0.1)
Con 13.4 (-32.5)
Lab 10.3 (+10.3)

Lincolnshire, Stamford North

UKIP 31.5 (+31.5)
Lab 21.1 (+0.1)
Con 20.5 (-11.1)
Lincs Ind 15.7 (-31.7)
Lib Dem 11.3 (+11.3)

Carmarthenshire, Trelech

PC 68.3 (+33.6)
Ind 20.7
Lib Dem 11.0 (-3.4)

Windsor and Maidenhead, Cox Green

Con 50.7 (-1.8)
Lib Dem 21.6 (-11.2)
UKIP 19.1 (+19.1)
Lab 8.5 (-0.8)

Halton, Kingsway

Lab 73.2 (-2.3)
UKIP 22.3 (-2.2)
Con 3.0 (+3.0)
Lib Dem 1.5 (+1.5)

Aylesbury Vale, Gatehouse

Lib Dem 35.6 (-6.2)
UKIP 32.2 (+15.2)
Con 13.6 (-8.3)
Lab 13.6 (-5.8)
Green 3.4 (+3.4)
Ind 1.4

Aylesbury Vale, Southcourt

Lib Dem 42.3 (+7.4)
UKIP 26.2 (+11.8)
Lab 17.2 (-13.7)
Con 11.0 (-8.9)
Green 3.3 (+3.3)

New Forest, Bransgore and Burley

Con 77.3 (+13.0)
UKIP 15.8 (+15.8)
Lab 6.9 (-8.0)

Moray, Elgin City North

SNP 38.0 (-5.3)
Ind 24.6
Lab 15.0 (-14.9)
Con 14.2 (-3.3)
UKIP 4.2 (+4.2)
Green 4.0 (+4.0)

SNP	728	748	764	773	850
Ind	472	483	499	595	693
Lab	287	305	316	368
Con	273	280	299
UKIP	81	84
Green	77

            

SNP hold South Kintyre
UKIP gain Stamford North from Lincs Ind
PC gain Trelech from Ind
Lib Dem gain Southcourt from Lab
SNP gain Elgin City North from Lab

[Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever]

There was also a by-election we all missed in Skem North.  Given that it's Skem, I'll only give you one guess as to what happened.

[freefair]

That's the most baffling set of results I've ever seen.
What happened to the Tory vote in South Kintyre? I shall have to Mull it over...

[EPG]

Look at that tiny Conservative -> SNP transfer rate.

[ObserverIE]

That's the most baffling set of results I've ever seen.
What happened to the Tory vote in South Kintyre? I shall have to Mull it over...

Choosing a candidate from 50 miles away can have that effect.

[ObserverIE]

There was also a by-election we all missed in Skem North.  Given that it's Skem, I'll only give you one guess as to what happened.

West Lancashire, Skelmersdale North

Lab 87.9 (-1.8)
Con 12.1 (+1.8)

[YL]

That's the most baffling set of results I've ever seen.
What happened to the Tory vote in South Kintyre? I shall have to Mull it over...

I think it's a personal vote for the sitting councillor, hence its disappearance when he's not on the ballot.

[ObserverIE]

The final Holy Word of 2014 is here.

Nottinghamshire, Ollerton

Lab 56.4 (-2.0)
Con 25.7 (+4.1)
UKIP 16.7 (-3.3)
Lib Dem 1.3 (+1.3)

Kingston-upon-Thames, St. James

Con 42.9 (+5.5)
Lib Dem 33.0 (+10.2)
Lab 13.5 (-3.3)
UKIP 7.9 (-4.0)
Green 2.7 (-4.1)