Generic Congressional Ballot Polls Thread

[Landon1993]

Considering the Democrats are leading in 2/3 of the generic polls; a situation which did not occur in 2010, a Republican wave in Democratic leaning districts is highly unlikely. My prediction is Dems pick up 1-5 seats in the house. I will also just mention that I underestimated how many seats the Dems would pick up in 2012, a net gain of +8 was at the high end of what I would have predicted.The reason for this is that the Democrats seem to be outperforming the RCP Polling AVG. in recent years

2014 RCP AVG: Dem +1.5% Result: ?
2012 RCP AVG: Rep +0.2% Result: Dem +1.2%
2010 RCP AVG: REP +9.4% Result: Rep +6.8%
2008 RCP AVG: Dem +9.0% Result: Dem +10.7%

[Landon1993]

New Rasmussen poll
Republicans 42%
Democrats 38%

Is the Republican wave materializing? This is the best Rasmussen poll Republicans have has sense after the failed health care.gov roll out last year.

[Landon1993]

I think we need to see the real clear politics average move from D +1 before we say there will be a Republican wave. What we do know is that the democrats  are doing poorly in head to head  match-ups in battleground districts, and not surprisingly polls of individual races which tend to be more accurate in predicting the end result.

[Landon1993]

That Fox Poll showing the Dems +7 is Balogna.