Generic Congressional Ballot Polls Thread

[Devils30]

For all the GOP wave talk, the R+11 poll seems to be a big outlier. Most of the recent polls are pretty much split down the middle.

[Devils30]

If Dems win or tie the congressional vote they sure are not losing the 12 seats that the media seems to be expecting.

[Devils30]

The RCP average of GOP up 2.5 does seem plausible though. Still, it's surprising to see everyone downgrading Democratic seats in the house even though the national state of things and senate races haven't changed in 6 weeks.

[Devils30]

If the GOP thinks R+1 in a midterm is a good result they're delusional. Adjusting for presidential turnout means the Dems would go into 2016 favored in the presidential race easily. If Rs only have a slight lead like that the Senate won't be more than 52-53 R.