Humphrey vs Nixon 1972
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  Humphrey vs Nixon 1972		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Humphrey vs Nixon 1972  (Read 2176 times)
Ebowed
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« on: March 17, 2005, 02:26:45 AM »
Let's say that McGovern doesn't survive the sudden momentum that Hubert Humphrey gets after winning the Pennsylvania and Ohio primaries, and the nomination again goes to Humphrey.  Does he do better or worse?
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BRTD
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« Reply #1 on: March 17, 2005, 02:33:21 AM »
Humphrey/Nixon

No one could've beaten Nixon in 1972, which made the fact that he cheated all the more ridiculous. Why the hell did he cheat against McGovern anyway, who probably could've only got 45% against him, tops? He could've easily coasted to reelection, and instead had to unnecesarily create a scandal that brought him down.
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True Democrat
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: March 17, 2005, 07:45:12 AM »
Humphrey does better than McGovern (who wouldn't), but still loses by about 12 points.
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King
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« Reply #3 on: March 17, 2005, 04:26:46 PM »
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Ebowed
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« Reply #4 on: March 17, 2005, 05:18:24 PM »
Humphrey would win WV and WA definitely.
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Rob
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« Reply #5 on: March 17, 2005, 06:55:23 PM »

Humphrey would lose Oregon, California, and Iowa; he'd carry West Virginia, Hawaii, and possibly New Jersey.
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Erc
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« Reply #6 on: March 17, 2005, 08:23:23 PM »
« Edited: March 17, 2005, 08:27:35 PM by Erc »
5-pt swing to Humphrey (excepting South Dakota)



7-pt swing drops CA & OR

9-pt swing drops MI, NY, and IA
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nclib
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« Reply #7 on: March 17, 2005, 10:51:40 PM »
I'd vote Humphrey, but Nixon would win, though it would be closer.
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Ebowed
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« Reply #8 on: March 17, 2005, 11:09:32 PM »
Quote from: Erc on March 17, 2005, 08:23:23 PM
5-pt swing to Humphrey (excepting South Dakota)



7-pt swing drops CA & OR

9-pt swing drops MI, NY, and IA
Humphrey would still win West Virginia; he was immensely popular there.  After he lost the 1960 primary to John Kennedy he'd win every single contest with his name on it in the state for the rest of his life.

I wouldn't rule out Connecticut and Hawaii either.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
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« Reply #9 on: March 20, 2005, 12:26:18 AM »
How did Humphrey manage to win Texas in 1968 anyway (considering he lost the election)?
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Ebowed
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« Reply #10 on: March 20, 2005, 11:03:18 PM »
Quote from: Populist3 on March 20, 2005, 12:26:18 AM
How did Humphrey manage to win Texas in 1968 anyway (considering he lost the election)?
He was LBJ's vice president.  The Texas voters were loyal and gave the state, albeit narrowly, to Humphrey.
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Notre Dame rules!
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« Reply #11 on: March 21, 2005, 10:26:20 PM »
Quote from: Nation of Ulysses on March 17, 2005, 02:33:21 AM
Humphrey/Nixon

No one could've beaten Nixon in 1972, which made the fact that he cheated all the more ridiculous. Why the hell did he cheat against McGovern anyway, who probably could've only got 45% against him, tops? He could've easily coasted to reelection, and instead had to unnecesarily create a scandal that brought him down.


Paranoia.  The same paranoia that drove Clinton to steal the FBI files of 900 Reublicans.
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Rob
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« Reply #12 on: March 21, 2005, 10:30:26 PM »
Quote from: Ebowed on March 20, 2005, 11:03:18 PM
Quote from: Populist3 on March 20, 2005, 12:26:18 AM
How did Humphrey manage to win Texas in 1968 anyway (considering he lost the election)?
He was LBJ's vice president.  The Texas voters were loyal and gave the state, albeit narrowly, to Humphrey.

The small town Democratic machines held many rural counties in line for Humphrey. If RFK had been the nominee, LBJ would have opposed him and he would have lost Texas by at least 3-5 points.
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