Michigan

[zorkpolitics]

Bush lost MI by 3.5%, an improvement from his 5% loss there in 2000 (Dole lost MI by 13% in 1996).  Bush actually won the majority of the congressional districts (10 of the 15 ), up from winning only 7 out of 16 in 2000.
Which Republicans have a good chance to carry MI in 2008? 

[No more McShame]

With the right candidates.  I don't see madame Hilliary being able to carry Michigan unless she's running against Falwell or something.

[Smash255]

With the right candidates.  I don't see madame Hilliary being able to carry Michigan unless she's running against Falwell or something.

She would win the state against Santorum, Frist & some others/  Also depends on her running mate, someone like Bayh or Feingold on the ticket in MI would win the state.  Also have to look at how it compares to the National average.  Compared to the National average MI actually moved slighly Dem.  In 2000 they were 4.5% more Dem than the National average in 2004 they were 6% more Dem than the national average

[Keystone Phil]

With the right candidates.  I don't see madame Hilliary being able to carry Michigan unless she's running against Falwell or something.

She would win the state against Santorum

I think it would be a tossup but likely to go Clinton.

[nclib]

Bush actually won the majority of the congressional districts (10 of the 15 ), up from winning only 7 out of 16 in 2000.

This is due to the gerrymander of MI's districts. Under the new districts, Bush actually would also have won 10 of the 15 districts in 2000.

[Moooooo]

Tim Pawlenty or Mitt Romney could win Michigan.  Actually, Pawlenty and Romney would make Minnesota, Michigan, and Wisconsin tossup states.

[Leif Ericson]

Liberal Republicans, or midwestern ones. A guy like Frist wouldn't come close.

[ian]

Does that region of the country (forgot what it's called--MI, WI, IO, MN) have any regional pride like the South does?

[Jake]

Does that region of the country (forgot what it's called--MI, WI, IO, MN) have any regional pride like the South does?

Great Lakes maybe

[Dave from Michigan]

Does that region of the country (forgot what it's called--MI, WI, IO, MN) have any regional pride like the South does?

not really

[Smash255]

Does that region of the country (forgot what it's called--MI, WI, IO, MN) have any regional pride like the South does?

If someone like Feingold ran, he would take all 4 probably pretty easily (5+)

[Nym90]

Does that region of the country (forgot what it's called--MI, WI, IO, MN) have any regional pride like the South does?

not really

Actually, the Midwest and Great Lakes does have regional pride, perhaps not as much as the South, but a candidate from this area would certainly have an effect here. A Southern Republican wouldn't win Michigan; it would take a moderate, preferably from the Midwest or Northeast.

[Dave from Michigan]

Does that region of the country (forgot what it's called--MI, WI, IO, MN) have any regional pride like the South does?

not really

Actually, the Midwest and Great Lakes does have regional pride, perhaps not as much as the South, but a candidate from this area would certainly have an effect here. A Southern Republican wouldn't win Michigan; it would take a moderate, preferably from the Midwest or Northeast.

I suppose you are most likely right, I just didn't see any major trend of all the midwest/ Great lakes states going for a midwest candidate.

[Erc]

If there's any fondness for his father, Romney has a good shot there.

[Gustaf]

Michigan hasn't moved a lot and seem to have a pretty firm Democratic structure (Democratic governor, Democratic senators, etc). I say Michigan remains in the Dem column for 2008.

[Nym90]

If there's any fondness for his father, Romney has a good shot there.

Eh, I don't know how much impact that would have. His father's governorship will have been 40 years in the past by then; most people don't remember him anymore.

He was popular at the time, but the whole "brainwashing" comment pretty much ruined his chances.