Most Conservative Possible District by State
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  Most Conservative Possible District by State
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Author Topic: Most Conservative Possible District by State  (Read 10515 times)
danny
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« Reply #25 on: January 22, 2014, 09:23:30 PM »

Here's a 64.4% Mccain district in New York City:
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traininthedistance
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« Reply #26 on: January 23, 2014, 12:22:33 AM »

Here's a 64.4% Mccain district in New York City:


Damn, beat me to it (You could probably make it a tiny tiny bit more Pub if you added in Howard Beach).  I guess this is the NY State version, then, very similar of course: go out to Garden City and you can goose it to 66.3% McCain/33% Obama.

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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #27 on: January 23, 2014, 10:52:11 AM »



75.2% McCain
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #28 on: January 23, 2014, 11:30:27 AM »

New Mexico:



59.1% McCain. Rest of state went 64.9% Obama.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #29 on: January 23, 2014, 11:38:56 AM »
« Edited: January 23, 2014, 12:57:39 PM by ElectionsGuy »

Utah:



78.2% McCain. Rest of state went 57.5% McCain. Truly possible this could've gone 90+% Romney, as crazy as it sounds.

Idaho:



71.0% McCain. There is a way out for every nook and cranny and everything is connected, btw. Rest of state went 53-45.
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Reginald
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« Reply #30 on: January 23, 2014, 02:27:24 PM »


Made one last night stretching across the state that was about 78-79% McCain, but it was also obviously much more erose. Found it interesting that once you get east of, say, Enid, McCain's precincts are a consistent 65-75% pretty much everywhere. I was expecting to get something upwards of 80 at least, but that got shot down pretty quickly.
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muon2
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« Reply #31 on: January 23, 2014, 03:31:36 PM »


Made one last night stretching across the state that was about 78-79% McCain, but it was also obviously much more erose. Found it interesting that once you get east of, say, Enid, McCain's precincts are a consistent 65-75% pretty much everywhere. I was expecting to get something upwards of 80 at least, but that got shot down pretty quickly.

I was able to find one at 75.4% McCain with whole counties and within 35 of the population quota. From the map by EG, drop all the partial counties as well as Cotton, Jefferson, Love, Carter and Murray. Add Kay, Pawnee, Creek, Lincoln, Okfuskee, Grady, and McClain. If you swap Murray for Okfuskee it goes up to 75.5%, but is about 1300 over population.
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muon2
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« Reply #32 on: January 23, 2014, 04:22:30 PM »

Utah:



78.2% McCain. Rest of state went 57.5% McCain. Truly possible this could've gone 90+% Romney, as crazy as it sounds.

If you take Utah, Duchesne, and all the counties south of there except Juab and the counties that border CO or AZ that whole county district is within 5 of the quota and was 76.7% McCain. That same district gave Romney 89.1% of the two-party vote.
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RedSLC
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« Reply #33 on: January 23, 2014, 05:33:17 PM »

Maryland:



65.0% McCain
33.2% Obama

Rest of state: 66.8% Obama, 32.1% McCain

Including parts of both Western and Eastern Maryland FTW Tongue. And the rest of the state is still technically contiguous!
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Flake
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« Reply #34 on: January 24, 2014, 12:07:32 AM »



72-26 McCain
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #35 on: January 24, 2014, 07:39:50 AM »

Kansas:



70.7% McCain. Rest of state: 52.1% McCain
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traininthedistance
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« Reply #36 on: January 24, 2014, 03:12:42 PM »

Here's a 64.4% Mccain district in New York City:


Damn, beat me to it (You could probably make it a tiny tiny bit more Pub if you added in Howard Beach).  I guess this is the NY State version, then, very similar of course: go out to Garden City and you can goose it to 66.3% McCain/33% Obama.



Wow. I can't even even hit >60% McCain district in Upstate NY. My best attempt is 59.8% with a district that spans from the Southern Tier to the Adirondacks.

There are several districts in Boro Park where Obama didn't break out of single digits.  NYJew-land is as hyper-Republican as Deep South exurbs.
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muon2
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« Reply #37 on: January 24, 2014, 03:53:06 PM »

Kansas:



70.7% McCain. Rest of state: 52.1% McCain

With no split counties you can still exceed 68% McCain.
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Sol
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« Reply #38 on: January 24, 2014, 04:23:01 PM »

What's funny about that NY city district is that it's one Democrats could actually have a chance of winning.
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traininthedistance
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« Reply #39 on: January 24, 2014, 04:27:56 PM »

What's funny about that NY city district is that it's one Democrats could actually have a chance of winning.

Eh... not really.  South Shore SI is pretty damn Republican downballot as well.

However, you can make an all-Southern Brooklyn district that McCain won by double digits and would give the right Dem a shot.
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Sol
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« Reply #40 on: January 24, 2014, 04:51:22 PM »

What's funny about that NY city district is that it's one Democrats could actually have a chance of winning.

Eh... not really.  South Shore SI is pretty damn Republican downballot as well.

However, you can make an all-Southern Brooklyn district that McCain won by double digits and would give the right Dem a shot.
Dangit- got the scale confused- I assumed the swath of Long Island was a swath of Queens.
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BRTD
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« Reply #41 on: January 25, 2014, 12:17:26 AM »

This district is about 59.4% McCain:



I guess you could go into Sibley County and get an >60% McCain district.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #42 on: January 25, 2014, 03:34:02 AM »
« Edited: January 25, 2014, 04:31:05 AM by ElectionsGuy »

Nebraska



69.3% McCain. Rest of state only went 50-48 McCain!

Mississippi:




77.7% McCain. Here I really wasn't even trying. I was just shading in parts that I knew were the most republican (NE and SE parts of the state) and avoiding the most blue precincts that I could. I'm sure somebody could make an >80% McCain district. Also Obama wins the rest of the state by ~3,000 votes.

Edit: Redrew it, got 80.1% McCain. I traced my patterns by race instead of election results and it turned out even more conservative. District is 86% white and Obama won the rest of the state 51-48. Rest of state is 52% White, 43% Black (VAP).

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nclib
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« Reply #43 on: January 25, 2014, 10:01:22 PM »

83-15 McCain. He won the rest of the state 53-45.



Does that actually include part of New Orleans, or is it just water contiguity that makes it look like that?
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Sol
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« Reply #44 on: January 25, 2014, 10:10:38 PM »

83-15 McCain. He won the rest of the state 53-45.



Does that actually include part of New Orleans, or is it just water contiguity that makes it look like that?
It does- a rather pubbie slice on the far eastern end of the city.

Oh, btw- is that corner of the world suburban, or a more urban pubbie type spot?
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #45 on: January 29, 2014, 02:23:03 AM »



This is 73.4-25.0% McCain
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Sol
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« Reply #46 on: January 29, 2014, 09:08:16 AM »

What does the rest of the state look like, ElectionsGuy?
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Just Passion Through
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« Reply #47 on: January 29, 2014, 03:44:46 PM »



73-25 McCain

Rest of the state: 54-44 McCain
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #48 on: January 29, 2014, 04:16:26 PM »

What does the rest of the state look like, ElectionsGuy?

I don't remember exactly, but McCain still narrowly wins 50-48 or something like that.
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Just Passion Through
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« Reply #49 on: January 29, 2014, 04:41:09 PM »



District: 59-41 McCain

Rest of the state: 59-41 Obama
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