Casey +7

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Casey leading at this point isn't suprising. Election is a long way away yet and a f*** up is possible.

Re: Kerry... Kerry was a weaker candidate in PA than Casey but the backlash towards his social views and general attitude in certain parts of PA was minimised by the Heinz machine cranking out votes in Pittsburgh proper and the inner suburbs of Pittsburgh.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

The way I see it, the Casey name almost makes him the incumbent.

No. He has more name recognition than a normal challenger, but almost incumbent he's not.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Interesting that you've not included '76 as well, eh?

You must be logged in to read this quote.

PA was actually one of his *better* states that election. Try again.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

One of his better states U.S wide actually. Relatively speaking it was an impressive showing.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Bubba did not run as a libertarian-like centrist

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Is this going to turn into one of those absurdly parochial "debates" that people with oblong avatars (with a little strange thing in the top left corner) like to indulge themselves in?

[Filuwaúrdjan]

By God I hope not.

I suspect it's too late now... *looks worried*

You must be logged in to read this quote.

It's interesting, but some of the statewide results from last year are interesting as well.
PA's ticket splitting habits make for interesting maps at times

[Filuwaúrdjan]

though I think they're jumping the gun there as well.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Of course genius Al probably can tell us what will happen,

I've never claimed to be a genius and never will

You must be logged in to read this quote.

I only made a couple of serious predictions towards the end (and only Presidential. Didn't have time to do Congressional stuff, which is why I set the contest thingy up). My shock map was accurate (there were no shocks) and my final (and pretty much only serious) official prediction wasn't all that bad. I did a gut prediction and on reflection should have entered that instead (only got Wisconsin wrong) but that's life for you.

But I've never attacked anyone else for getting a prediction wrong and it'd be nice if everyone was polite like that.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

I won't trust a poll from the DSCC and I won't trust a poll with a tiny sample.

Election is too far away to read anything inta polls. Chill all of you