More competitive?
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Poll
Question: Which will be more competitive?
#1
New Hampshire		  
#2
ME-2		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 54

Author Topic: More competitive?  (Read 1276 times)
AGA
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Junior Chimp
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« on: July 21, 2016, 08:59:04 PM »
Both are competitive areas in northern New England. Obama won both in 2012 but by single digits. The last time that a Republican won New Hampshire was in 2000. The last time that a Republican won ME-2 was in 1988, and this was along with the rest of Maine. There has not been much polling in ME-2 since it is a district and not a state, but the New Hampshire polls are close. Which will be more competitive in this election?
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #1 on: July 21, 2016, 09:08:43 PM »
New Hampshire (not TNV)
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Lachi
lok1999
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« Reply #2 on: July 21, 2016, 09:14:12 PM »
Neither will be competitive.
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AGA
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: July 21, 2016, 09:15:37 PM »
I should add that there actually was a poll in Maine that had Trump beating Clinton 37-36 in ME-2 while losing overall in Maine.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #4 on: July 21, 2016, 09:16:07 PM »
Separating out ME-2 from the entire state of ME ...
I would say/vote ME-2
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evergreenarbor
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« Reply #5 on: July 21, 2016, 10:58:38 PM »
New Hampshire.
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Senator-elect Spark
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« Reply #6 on: July 21, 2016, 11:04:50 PM »
ME-02
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cinyc
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« Reply #7 on: July 21, 2016, 11:24:02 PM »
« Edited: July 21, 2016, 11:28:37 PM by cinyc »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on July 21, 2016, 09:34:51 PM
Quote from: ProudModerate2 on July 21, 2016, 09:16:07 PM
Separating out ME-2 from the entire state of ME ...
I would say/vote ME-2

Agreed.  But in general, I'm starting to wonder if ME-02, NH and IA (pending Vilsack) are the 3 most likely states to flip even before OH, just because they are so full of non-college whites.

New Hamsphire actually has above average percentages of college-educated whites.  They're in the top 10 for bachelors degrees, and top 15 for advanced degrees.  The reason the state is a tossup is because it is very white, not very uneducated.
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Ljube
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« Reply #8 on: July 22, 2016, 01:37:54 AM »
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #9 on: July 22, 2016, 03:14:39 AM »

Obviously. NH isn't happening unless Trump is winning in a landslide.
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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« Reply #10 on: July 22, 2016, 08:31:23 AM »
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Beefalow and the Consumer
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« Reply #11 on: July 22, 2016, 09:56:35 AM »
Too close to call.  They will be within a percentage point of one another.
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JRP1994
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« Reply #12 on: July 22, 2016, 09:59:20 AM »
Both are tossups as of right now, but ME-02 will be closer.
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