latest Betfair odds

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

GOP VP
Kasich 20.8

Do that many people seriously think Kasich will come crawling to Trump's side after Cruzich?  I suppose anything is possible in this wacko cycle.

Or do they think this alliance will be necessary to secure Trump's first-ballot victory?

[BlueSwan]

Trump keeps surging.  Kasich is almost down into Rubio territory…

Up: Trump
Down: Cruz

Democrats
Clinton 96.2
Sanders 3.3
Biden 1.9

Republicans
Trump 82.6
Cruz 13.8
Kasich 1.8
Rubio 1.1
Ryan 0.7

Dem VP
Castro 29.6
Kaine 14.5
Warren 12.8
Perez 10.7
Patrick 10.5

GOP VP
Kasich 20.8
Christie 14.9
Martinez 11.1
Fiorina 10.9
Rubio 10.5

So there's roughly a 14% chance that Cruz gets the nomination but only an 11% chance that Fiorina gets the VP nod, despite the fact that Cruz has already publically selected Fiorina........OK.

[Mr. Morden]

Trump keeps surging.  Kasich is almost down into Rubio territory…

Up: Trump
Down: Cruz

Democrats
Clinton 96.2
Sanders 3.3
Biden 1.9

Republicans
Trump 82.6
Cruz 13.8
Kasich 1.8
Rubio 1.1
Ryan 0.7

Dem VP
Castro 29.6
Kaine 14.5
Warren 12.8
Perez 10.7
Patrick 10.5

GOP VP
Kasich 20.8
Christie 14.9
Martinez 11.1
Fiorina 10.9
Rubio 10.5

So there's roughly a 14% chance that Cruz gets the nomination but only an 11% chance that Fiorina gets the VP nod, despite the fact that Cruz has already publically selected Fiorina........OK.

Hey, there's plenty of time for Cruz to cut her loose in whatever deal he needs to make to secure the delegates for the nomination. 

[cwt]

So there's roughly a 14% chance that Cruz gets the nomination but only an 11% chance that Fiorina gets the VP nod, despite the fact that Cruz has already publically selected Fiorina........OK.

Technically, the delegates decide the VP. And since Cruz's only chance at the nomination is a contested convention, who knows who they'll nominate as VP.

[Lyin' Steve]

Short Castro all day.  Hard to believe they've got him at 2.5x more likely than second-favorite Kaine to win the VP slot.  Especially now that Trump is the nominee and Hillary will crush with hispanics regardless.  Castro was the hispander choice back when Rubio looked like the likely opponent.

[Doimper]

So there's roughly a 14% chance that Cruz gets the nomination but only an 11% chance that Fiorina gets the VP nod, despite the fact that Cruz has already publically selected Fiorina........OK.

Technically, the delegates decide the VP. And since Cruz's only chance at the nomination is a contested convention, who knows who they'll nominate as VP.

Yeah, but Cruz has got the delegates wrapped around his little finger.

[Eraserhead]

How the hell is Cruz still as high as he is?

[°Leprechaun]

My guess is that Trump will get 1242 delegates. I could be wrong, but I might be right.

[dax00]

My guess is that Trump will get 1242 delegates. I could be wrong, but I might be right.

What indecisiveness. 1247 is my projection. The Betfair odds are a bit high on Trump at the moment.

[Mr. Morden]

Final pre-Indiana update: Trump surges above 90.

Up: Biden, Trump
Down: Cruz

Democrats
Clinton 96.2
Sanders 3.3
Biden 3.1

Republicans
Trump 90.9
Cruz 6.4
Kasich 1.6
Rubio 1.0
Ryan 0.7

Winning Individual
Clinton 73.5
Trump 24.8

[Bigby]

Why is Biden on this at all? The Democrats have even less of a chance of having a brokered convention than the GOP, even with Sanders surviving as long as he has.

[Holmes]

Why is Biden on this at all? The Democrats have even less of a chance of having a brokered convention than the GOP, even with Sanders surviving as long as he has.

People trying to make money on a possible Clinton indictment and the party giving it to Biden.

[Mr. Morden]

Trump now being given a (slightly) better chance of winning his party’s nomination than Clinton has of winning hers…

Up: Trump
Down: Cruz, Clinton

Democrats
Clinton 94.3
Sanders 3.8
Biden 2.4

Republicans
Trump 95.2
Rubio 1.0
Kasich 0.8
Bush 0.7
Ryan 0.5
Cruz 0.3
Romney 0.2

Winning Individual
Clinton 72.5
Trump 28.0

[Mr. Morden]

Gingrich now leading the GOP VP market on Betfair.  And in fact, he’s at least in the top two on all the betting sites right now.  I guess the betting markets consider Newsmax to be a reliable source of information.

Democrats
Clinton 94.3
Sanders 4.8
Biden 2.1

Republicans
Trump 96.2
Ryan 1.1
Rubio 0.8
Bush 0.7
Kasich 0.4
Romney 0.4
Cruz 0.3

Winning Individual
Clinton 70.9
Trump 25.4
Sanders 4.2

Dem. VP
Castro 29.2
Kaine 20.4
Warren 12.2
Brown 8.8
Perez 8.8
Sanders 8.8

GOP VP
Gingrich 24.2
Kasich 19.3
Christie 12.8
Sessions 10.0
Rubio 8.1
Carson 7.5

[Sir Mohamed]

I just can't imagine Gingrich as VP. He has no appeal to additional voter groups or states, something that the Trumpster badly needs. He would be helpful in a Trump Administration because of his experience; but others are experienced as well.

[Mr. Morden]

Winning Individual
Clinton 70.9
Trump 26.0

Dem. VP
Castro 26.7
Kaine 19.2
Warren 10.6
Sanders 8.3
Perez 8.0
Brown 7.7
Booker 6.9
Franken 5.1
Patrick 4.8
O’Malley 3.8

GOP VP
Gingrich 33.3
Christie 11.1
Kasich 8.3
Sessions 8.3
Ernst 6.9
Rubio 5.7
Carson 5.6
Fallin 5.0
Huntsman 5.0
Giuliani 4.3

The VP odds on Intrade four years ago at this time:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=152060.msg3294812#msg3294812

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[IceSpear]

The VP markets are totally worthless.

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

Lol Santorum.

[Mr. Morden]

Winning Individual
Clinton 70.4
Trump 27.3
Sanders 2.8

Dem. VP
Castro 21.7
Kaine 18.9
Warren 14.3
Perez 10.0
Sanders 7.4
Brown 6.9
Booker 6.7
Franken 6.7
Patrick 4.5
Biden 3.6

GOP VP
Gingrich 40.0
Ernst 12.2
Sessions 8.3
Brown 6.7
Martinez 6.7
Carson 5.3
Kasich 4.8
Christie 4.2
Fallin 3.3
Rubio 3.1

Four years ago at about this time on Intrade:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=152060.msg3306644#msg3306644

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[Sir Mohamed]

Winning Individual
Clinton 70.4
Trump 27.3
Sanders 2.8

Dem. VP
Castro 21.7
Kaine 18.9
Warren 14.3
Perez 10.0
Sanders 7.4
Brown 6.9
Booker 6.7
Franken 6.7
Patrick 4.5
Biden 3.6

GOP VP
Gingrich 40.0
Ernst 12.2
Sessions 8.3
Brown 6.7
Martinez 6.7
Carson 5.3
Kasich 4.8
Christie 4.2
Fallin 3.3
Rubio 3.1

Four years ago at about this time on Intrade:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=152060.msg3306644#msg3306644

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So, it's gonna be Fallin. She’s between 3 and 4%, like Ryan was

[Mr. Morden]

Corker surging in the VP market…

Winning Individual
Clinton 69.0
Trump 28.8

Dem VP
Castro 23.1
Kaine 17.7
Warren 15.8
Perez 10.5
Sanders 10.5
Franken 8.1
Brown 7.5

GOP VP
Gingrich 40.0
Ernst 12.8
Corker 9.5
Brown 7.8
Sessions 7.8
Martinez 6.2
Carson 5.5

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Biden just surged to 21% on politicaloddschecker.  I can't find the betting site that would have caused this.  What gives?

http://politicaloddschecker.com/democratic-nomination-odds

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Biden just surged to 21% on politicaloddschecker.  I can't find the betting site that would have caused this.  What gives?

http://politicaloddschecker.com/democratic-nomination-odds

And Rand Paul is at 33%.  Someone is trollin'.

[Mr. Morden]

Winning Individual
Clinton 68.0
Trump 27.0
Sanders 4.3

Dem. pres. nominee
Clinton 93.5
Sanders 5.3
Biden 2.4

GOP pres. nominee
Trump 97.1
Kasich 0.9
Rubio 0.8
Bush 0.5
Cruz 0.3
Ryan 0.2

Dem VP nominee
Castro 29.4
Warren 16.7
Kaine 16.1
Sanders 12.2
Booker 9.5
Perez 9.5

GOP VP nominee
Gingrich 36.2
Sessions 10.2
Ernst 7.7
Corker 7.4
Brown 6.2
Haley 5.9

[Lyin' Steve]

Dem VP nominee
Castro 29.4
Warren 16.7
Kaine 16.1
Sanders 12.2

Where can I go to make money off these people who still think Castro has a 1-in-3 chance of being the VP?