latest Betfair odds (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 01, 2024, 06:22:10 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  latest Betfair odds (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: latest Betfair odds  (Read 119392 times)
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,757


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36
« on: December 21, 2014, 09:08:49 PM »
Hillary is still below her 2008 high of  74.4 from November 6, 2007 on the Iowa markets.
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,757


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36
« Reply #1 on: March 04, 2015, 12:47:03 AM »
LOL at how 2nd place is doing better than 8 years ago.
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,757


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36
« Reply #2 on: June 05, 2015, 02:04:53 AM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on June 05, 2015, 02:00:19 AM
Still no Kasich market on Betfair Exchange, so going with latest transaction on Ladbrokes.

Democrats
Clinton 75.8
Biden 9.1
Warren 9.1
O'Malley 7.5

Biden and Warren but no Sanders? What the heck is this?
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,757


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36
« Reply #3 on: June 17, 2015, 12:34:05 AM »
Those numbers add up to well over 100%.
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,757


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36
« Reply #4 on: August 21, 2015, 04:50:54 AM »
Clinton is now below the 74% she had in early November 2007.
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,757


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36
« Reply #5 on: October 27, 2015, 12:30:05 AM »
Sanders has the highest implied odds in the general election, 64.5%.
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,757


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36
« Reply #6 on: October 27, 2015, 08:36:33 PM »

Winning individual odds / primary odds
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,757


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36
« Reply #7 on: October 28, 2015, 04:56:37 AM »
Quote from: Craigo on October 28, 2015, 04:54:54 AM

That only works if the market is efficient - which it clearly isn't, as the individual Democrats' chances of winning the WH add up to more than the Democratic Party's chances of winning the WH.

Do they not allow short selling?
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,757


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36
« Reply #8 on: November 10, 2015, 12:13:49 AM »

She's only 82 on PredictIt, and that's despite the fact that the numbers add to well over 100%. Bernie has 20.
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,757


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36
« Reply #9 on: November 22, 2015, 02:22:49 AM »
I see it's that time in the primary where Gore has people betting on him for unknown reasons.
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,757


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36
« Reply #10 on: January 20, 2016, 05:43:04 AM »
LOL at the establishment desperately floating the idea of Biden again.
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,757


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36
« Reply #11 on: March 20, 2016, 02:22:15 AM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on March 20, 2016, 02:19:17 AM
Cruz rebounds a little, but Trump, Kasich, and Ryan are all down compared to the last update.  It’s like the market thinks there might be a contested convention, but has no idea how to handicap it.  The top five in the GOP market add up to less than 95 right now, which I guess means they think someone completely out of left field might win it?

Democrats
Clinton 92.6
Sanders 6.5
Biden 2.4

Republicans
Trump 70.9
Cruz 12.8
Kasich 6.5
Ryan 1.9
Romney 1.2
Bush 0.9
Rubio 0.2


On the Democratic side, it adds up to 101.5. Maybe there will be two people nominated by rival conventions like in 1860?
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.029 seconds with 13 queries.