FIFA 2014 World Cup - Official Discussion Thread

[moderatevoter]

Klose.

[Tender Branson]

What a game now ... !

[Lief 🗽]

KLOSE YESSSSSS

HE TIES RONALDO'S RECORD!!!

[Keystone Phil]

What a match.

[7,052,770]

The U.S. now makes the knockout stage with a pair of draws or a win in either.

[Simfan34]

Bam! Now, I guess, go Portugal and Germany! Those predicting we'd go down 3-0 can go eat dried out kenke.

[Keystone Phil]

The U.S. now makes the knockout stage with a pair of draws or a win in either.

Oh, thanks, expert fan.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

Excited to see the bro tears when USA finishes last in the group with two losses.

[7,052,770]

Excited to see the bro tears when USA finishes last in the group with two losses.

538 gives the US around a 2/3 chance of moving on.

[Franzl]

2-2 was a fair result.

Hope the US at least draws Portugal, as I don't fancy a knockout game against them. I'm not as confident in an easy win as many seem to be.

[Simfan34]

Excited to see the bro tears when USA finishes last in the group with two losses.

538 gives the US around a 2/3 chance of moving on.

I saw that. Not only is it silly, but if there's one thing we know we cannot predict results from soccer rankings or whatnot.

[Franzl]

Excited to see the bro tears when USA finishes last in the group with two losses.

538 gives the US around a 2/3 chance of moving on.

I saw that. Not only is it silly, but if there's one thing we know we cannot predict results from soccer rankings or whatnot.

I think 2/3 is a reasonable probability, actually. Even one draw is probably enough to get the US through.

[Edu]

LOL yeah, the only reason we are scraping by is because we are facing poor teams, the moment we face a decent one we are going to receive an epic beatdown (Like in the last world cup )

[Simfan34]

Excited to see the bro tears when USA finishes last in the group with two losses.

538 gives the US around a 2/3 chance of moving on.

I saw that. Not only is it silly, but if there's one thing we know we cannot predict results from soccer rankings or whatnot.

I think 2/3 is a reasonable probability, actually. Even one draw is probably enough to get the US through.

Ok. You believe that. Focus less on the scoreline and focus on the game stats, in terms of shots, possession, and so forth. In terms of that, Ghana dominated. Don't let this victory go to your head and think it was all about the US's skill. It was luck.

[7,052,770]

Excited to see the bro tears when USA finishes last in the group with two losses.

538 gives the US around a 2/3 chance of moving on.

I saw that. Not only is it silly, but if there's one thing we know we cannot predict results from soccer rankings or whatnot.

His model takes a lot more into account than "soccer rankings." It looks at how the team has been playing together lately, how good the individual players are, homefield advantage, etc. You can read more about it here. It also adjusts some for play during the tournament, so Ghana playing well is going to raise their chances of advancing, and Portugal's huge loss hurt its chances.

I trust Nate Silver not to put something out there that's not complete garbage, and he even admits that it's very hard to predict these things.

[Simfan34]

Well all your predictors predicted Ghana would be losing horrendously, and look what happened...

[Antonio the Sixth]

That was a great game! I generally like Germany, but found myself rooting for Ghana throughout the second half and would have loved to see them win. They did an amazing job throughout the game, except in the last 15/20m when they evidently got tired. Too bad, but still a great game.

Also, poor Iran. That was really unfair.

[7,052,770]

Well all your predictors predicted Ghana would be losing horrendously, and look what happened...

538 said there was a 19% chance of a draw today. Just as in his election forecasts, he never makes predictions of who wins and who doesn't, he just gives probabilities. We can judge his accuracy over the course of the tournament by seeing if things he said had a 20% probability ended up happening around 20% of the time.

[Franzl]

Excited to see the bro tears when USA finishes last in the group with two losses.

538 gives the US around a 2/3 chance of moving on.

I saw that. Not only is it silly, but if there's one thing we know we cannot predict results from soccer rankings or whatnot.

I think 2/3 is a reasonable probability, actually. Even one draw is probably enough to get the US through.

Ok. You believe that. Focus less on the scoreline and focus on the game stats, in terms of shots, possession, and so forth. In terms of that, Ghana dominated. Don't let this victory go to your head and think it was all about the US's skill. It was luck.

I was one of the first to note that the US had no business beating Ghana with such a poor performance, but I think it's relatively likely they'll scrape by with a draw in one of the two matches and then narrowly survive on goal difference. They're obviously not a particularly good team.

[King]

Oh good Snowstalker is predicting USA to lose the next two games. I was worried we didn't have a chance.

[Keystone Phil]

Oh good Snowstalker is predicting USA to lose the next two games. I was worried we didn't have a chance.

You're not a fan. Stop saying "we."

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

Oh good Snowstalker is predicting USA to lose the next two games. I was worried we didn't have a chance.

I'm 8th of 24 in the tipping competition right now, so...

[Bacon King]

Second half of Ghana-Germany was one of the best 45 minutes of soccer I've ever watched

[patrick1]

Oh good Snowstalker is predicting USA to lose the next two games. I was worried we didn't have a chance.

You're not a fan. Stop saying "we."

Phil, you are insufferable with your soccer, oh sorry calcio, elitism. 
King is rightly supporting the land of his birth.

[King]

Oh good Snowstalker is predicting USA to lose the next two games. I was worried we didn't have a chance.

You're not a fan. Stop saying "we."

I'm not the one changing his nationality ever 4 years.