FIFA 2014 World Cup - Official Discussion Thread

[Gass3268]

Also, I need an ironic team to back this year. Last time it was North Korea OFC.

Iran or Bosnia-Herzegovina?

[Gass3268]

Haha this is getting out of hand! Go Dutch!

[Gass3268]

So Portugal is falling apart...

[Gass3268]

First minute!

[Gass3268]

Fudge

[Gass3268]

I imagine Putin was not happy with that save attempt

[Gass3268]

Lol literally everybody's tips are being thrown out the window.


THANK YOU BASED STRAYA

I still get 3 points! (I think )

[Gass3268]

The US are really playing quite decently.

Sort of the opposite of the last game so far.

[Gass3268]

There was the tie... fudge

[Gass3268]

WHAT A GOAL!

[Gass3268]

OMG!

[Gass3268]

Offside.

No it wasn't and the video replay showed it!

[Gass3268]

What a cross

[Gass3268]

538 now has the U.S. probability of advancing to the knockout stage at 76%, up from 64% this morning.

Wtf? This is plain idiotic. Any serious metric is going to show 40ish, maybe 50ish. I mean, whatever their possibility that the US wins yesterday and thus goes through automatically, is out of the equation now.

And no, nobody is going to play for second place. It's plausible - but less than 50% likely - that somebody will play so bad that conspiracy theories that they did will surface, though.

Portugal are still screwed though. That late equalizer (super unlucky but deserved, all things considered. A draw was the justest result for that game.) really helped noone except Ghana. And some of us in the tipping competition.

About a 3/4ths chance does make sense.

14% chance of a win (Qualified)
22% chance of a draw (Qualified)
64% chance of a loss:
- 39% chance of a Portugal win (Qualified unless the US loses a +5 GD against Ghana)
- 29% chance of a Portugal-Ghana draw (Qualified)
- 32% chance of a Ghana win (Probably don't quality, would depend on GD, would have to hope for a 1 goal loss against Germany and a 1 goal Ghana win, US would qualify on scoring the most goals)

64%*32% = 20% of the US not qualifying (closer to 25% than 50-60%)

Now you could argue about the %'s of each thing happening, but I don't think his number is that off. The US has a lot of options to get in.

Also I had 2-1 US, so I was not happy with that goal

[Gass3268]

7 of the 10 New World nations have qualified. Possible to get to 9/10 if Ecuador and US get in (Honduras is still technically alive, but it would take a miracle). Also it is possible that only 4 of the 16 qualified teams will be from Europe. Wouldn't that be something!

[Gass3268]

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[Gass3268]

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http://www.espnfc.com/fifa-world-cup/story/1913522/ghana-send-home-kevin-prince-boateng-and-sulley-muntari

[Gass3268]

Portugal scores!  A 1-0 Portugal win suits us fine.

Actually Ghana scored an autogoal. Shame, I was hoping Ghana would win...

Whatever.  We certainly need that now that Germany just scored.

Ghana just scored now too

[Gass3268]

I think the US has a decent chance against Belgium. Should be interesting to see if Altidore can play. I doubt it, but that will be an interesting story-line. Also if the US were to win, they'd probably play France of the 4th of July. ESPN has to be salivating about that.

[Gass3268]

I think the US has a decent chance against Belgium. Should be interesting to see if Altidore can play. I doubt it, but will be an interesting story-line. Also if the US were to win, they'd probably play France of the 4th of July. ESPN has to be salivating about that.

No, it's Germany that (probably) faces France.

Whoops, got my G's and H's mixed up

[Gass3268]

Belgium is a pointless country that shouldn't exist.

Such a statement can only come from someone who doesn't drink beer.

This. Spent a month in Brussels and beer was wonderful.

[Gass3268]

DeAndre Yedlin has looked good for the US since coming in. Other than that Belgium should be up 1-0.

[Gass3268]

There was the goal...

[Gass3268]

There was the goal...

It was offside anyway.

No it wasn't, you'd know that if you were watching ESPN.

[Gass3268]

Still have 25 minutes