How Did Past Voters Vote In 2012?

[H. Ross Peron]

How did past voters for certain candidates vote in 2012? For example what percentage of Reagan voters in 1984 ended up voting for Obama? What percentage of Truman supporters in 1948 for Obama?

[Indy Texas]

People I know who voted for Reagan in '84 and Obama in '12...
My parents
My grandmother

[sg0508]

1984 was actually the first election (yes in the landslide) that some of my family started to switch from Republican to Democrat.  The whole "corporate-America" movement, which started with Reagan was a big turnoff.

2012 was the first time I voted democratic at the presidential level.

[MATTROSE94]

The only two people that I know of that voted for Reagan in 1984 and Obama in 2012 are my mom and my History professor that I had during the fall semester of 2012 and the spring semester of 2013. I am sure more people that I know did as well, but I never asked any of them about it.

[Phony Moderate]

The only two people that I know of that voted for Reagan in 1984 and Obama in 2012 are my mom and my History professor that I had during the fall semester of 2012 and the spring semester of 2013. I am sure more people that I know did as well, but I never asked any of them about it.

A fair few old-school Northern Republicans fall into that category, probably.

[Citizen Hats]

The only two people that I know of that voted for Reagan in 1984 and Obama in 2012 are my mom and my History professor that I had during the fall semester of 2012 and the spring semester of 2013. I am sure more people that I know did as well, but I never asked any of them about it.

A fair few old-school Northern Republicans fall into that category, probably.

I believe a survey a few years ago of the former members of the moderate-Republican Rippon Society in the 1960s that found that among surviving alumni,  that a majority of them no longer identified as Republicans and IIRC a plurality of them were Democrats

[Matty]

I would say a large number of Ford voters backed Obama

[CosmicDestiny]

Adlai Stevenson voters probably voted for Romney, at least in the Deep South. 

Obama might have done pretty decently with Dewey '48 voters, especially in the Northeast.

[badgate]

My mom voted Bush in 2000 and Obama twice.

[Badger]

I would say a large number of Ford voters backed Obama

Actually, it was new voters that helped Obama. If the 08 electorate had the same racial demographics as the 76 election, Obama would've lost.

On topic, my mother is a Reagan voter who supported Obama (then Romney four years later).

[Smash255]

My parents both voted for Reagan in 1984, voted for Obama both times.

[TJ in Oregon]

My mother is a Carter voter who voted for McCain and Romney. The issues changed a little in the last 30 years.

[Potus]

Mom votes mostly straight ticket Democrat. Dad votes mostly straight ticket Republican.

[DS0816]

Not counting those alive in 1984 and dead before election voting for 2012, estimation would be:

California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
Florida
Hawaii
Illinois
Iowa
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
Ohio
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
Vermont
Virginia
Washington
Wisconsin


Adjust some numbers (of course).

[Mr. Illini]

One side of my family is full of Clinton/Romney voters, although not of the southern variety, where I am sure that vote trend is prevalent. They are Republicans who liked Clinton's style of governance.

The other side of my family consists mostly of voters who have collectively cast net zero votes for GOP Presidential candidates over the decades going all the way back to Truman and Stevenson.

Coming from a faithful Catholic family, JFK received 100% of the votes from both sides of my family.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

One of my aunts is a teacher and very active in her union.  She's almost as liberal as I am conservative and has never voted for a Republican for president (except possibly McCain in 2008).  But she never liked Obama much, and I think she may have even voted for McCain.  But even if she did, I think she voted for Obama last time.

On the other hand, you have my other aunt, who voted for every Democrat from Mondale to Gore (inclusive), but voted for McCain and Romney, as well as Bush in 2004.  I can't make any generalizations from them, though, because they were becoming more Republican as the rest of the country is becoming more Democrat.

[nclib]

Not counting those alive in 1984 and dead before election voting for 2012, estimation would be:

California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
Florida
Hawaii
Illinois
Iowa
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
Ohio
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
Vermont
Virginia
Washington
Wisconsin


Adjust some numbers (of course).

Not such what this is a list of--which states would the 1984 electorate have voted for Obama? It's identical to Obama 2012 states except Minnesota and Oregon.

[SingingAnalyst]

Any voter in the 1984 election was at least 46 by 2012, and I suspect 46+ voters who voted in 1984 split 47/52 for Romney in 2012. Those who continued voting in 2012 probably split 41/58 for Reagan in '84. So I would say 13% switched from Reagan to Obama, and 7% from Mondale to Romney (28 years is a long time to change one's views, and the base of these percentages is those who voted in both elections).

[Thunderbird is the word]

One of my aunts is a teacher and very active in her union.  She's almost as liberal as I am conservative and has never voted for a Republican for president (except possibly McCain in 2008).  But she never liked Obama much, and I think she may have even voted for McCain.  But even if she did, I think she voted for Obama last time.

On the other hand, you have my other aunt, who voted for every Democrat from Mondale to Gore (inclusive), but voted for McCain and Romney, as well as Bush in 2004.  I can't make any generalizations from them, though, because they were becoming more Republican as the rest of the country is becoming more Democrat.

Was the first aunt a PUMA?

[Thunderbird is the word]

One of my uncles was a Reagan/Obama voter. He's a sort of old school moderate Republican that really seems to hate both parties but switched over the years which party he thought was the greater evil mainly because he hated the religious right. He hates unions also though. If I had to guess this would be his voting record.

1976: Ford
1980: Reagan
1984: Reagan
1988: Bush
1992: Perot
1996: Dole
2000: Gore
2004: Kerry
2008: Obama
2012: Obama

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

My uncle who was a proud Reagan supporter and Bush 88 supporter voted for Obama enthusiastically because he said the GOP in the 80's look liberal compared to the GOP today and that the Democrats are essentially the 80's Republicans, although I contest that.

[RINO Tom]

1984 was actually the first election (yes in the landslide) that some of my family started to switch from Republican to Democrat.  The whole "corporate-America" movement, which started with Reagan was a big turnoff.

2012 was the first time I voted democratic at the presidential level.

Your family thought Reagan was too corporatist but they were fine voting for Eisenhower and Nixon?  LOL.

[SingingAnalyst]

My uncle who was a proud Reagan supporter and Bush 88 supporter voted for Obama enthusiastically because he said the GOP in the 80's look liberal compared to the GOP today and that the Democrats are essentially the 80's Republicans, although I contest that.

Liberalism in the middle? Interesting. I'm probably Progressive on that matrix. From 1972 to 2012, I'd say McGovern's voters went 70/30 for Obama, with Nixon's voters going 70/30 for Romney. Forty years is a lot of time to change one's mind.