How Did Past Voters Vote In 2012? (user search)
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  How Did Past Voters Vote In 2012? (search mode)
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Author Topic: How Did Past Voters Vote In 2012?  (Read 9231 times)
SingingAnalyst
mathstatman
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« on: May 02, 2015, 06:54:40 PM »

Any voter in the 1984 election was at least 46 by 2012, and I suspect 46+ voters who voted in 1984 split 47/52 for Romney in 2012. Those who continued voting in 2012 probably split 41/58 for Reagan in '84. So I would say 13% switched from Reagan to Obama, and 7% from Mondale to Romney (28 years is a long time to change one's views, and the base of these percentages is those who voted in both elections).
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SingingAnalyst
mathstatman
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« Reply #1 on: February 08, 2016, 11:11:33 AM »

My uncle who was a proud Reagan supporter and Bush 88 supporter voted for Obama enthusiastically because he said the GOP in the 80's look liberal compared to the GOP today and that the Democrats are essentially the 80's Republicans, although I contest that.
Liberalism in the middle? Interesting. I'm probably Progressive on that matrix. From 1972 to 2012, I'd say McGovern's voters went 70/30 for Obama, with Nixon's voters going 70/30 for Romney. Forty years is a lot of time to change one's mind.
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