Who has a >50% chance of beating Hillary?

[Blue3]

Who has a greater than 50% chance of beating Hillary in the 2016 general election?

[I Will Not Be Wrong]

A Scott Walker/ Marco Rubio ticket.

[Mordecai]

None of them.

[Frodo]

I trust, though, that the Tea Party movement is still strong enough that it could torpedo his chances of winning the nomination. 

[IceSpear]

None

[H. Ross Peron]

None

[Mister Mets]

I voted for Jeb Bush, Chris Christie (since a Christie primary win would suggest he recovered from Bridgegate), Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Scott Walker and Other (which would include Kelly Ayotte and Susanna Martinez.)

[eric82oslo]

The only Republican I can think of who has close to a 50% chance of beating Hillary is Collin Powell. Possibly Condoleezza Rice as well.

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

Right now? No one at all.

[Vosem]

Who would beat her tomorrow? I don't think anyone. But as to who would beat her in 2 years, or at the November election? That question will be hard enough to answer in 2016 itself, and really only becomes sort of clear through hindsight. In February 2014, we don't know.

[bedstuy]

The last national poll had Hillary up 15-20% on every GOP candidate tested.  The only method to find that GOP candidates have a greater than 50% chance of victory is wishful thinking.

[Cryptic]

Greater than 50%? None of them.

[Bull Moose Base]

Make a note of anyone who says any of these people have a better than 50/50 of beating Hillary and remember to not take their opinion seriously on anything else either. Do any of them even have a 40% chance of beating her? I don't really think so. I'd say Hillary today has a close to 60% chance of being the next president.

[BaconBacon96]

Not a single one of them.

[HAnnA MArin County]

None of them can or will beat Hillary Rodham Clinton.

[morgieb]

Right now? None of them.

[Unimog]

Bush and Walker.

none of the others; VP doesn't matter.

[Nichlemn]

None are favourites, but plenty would be >40%.

[Holmes]

The question is who is more likely to beat Hillary in a matchup, and that's nobody.

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

The ghost of Abraham Lincoln.

[dmmidmi]

Make a note of anyone who says any of these people have a better than 50/50 of beating Hillary and remember to not take their opinion seriously on anything else either.

This. The inherent question in this thread is, if the election were held today and knowing what we know now, do any of these candidates have greater than a 50% chance of beating Hillary Clinton in the general election?

The answer to that question, beyond the shadow of a doubt, is no. Anyone who says otherwise is trolling or delusional.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

Hillary is nowhere near unbeatable, but at this point she'd win against any plausible Republican nominee.

[pbrower2a]

A Scott Walker/ Marco Rubio ticket.

Best chance -- if Walker is re-elected. He still loses. Rubio might be a right-wing mirror-image of John Edwards (if without a sex scandal), chosen to pick up Florida...



 

[Mister Mets]

Make a note of anyone who says any of these people have a better than 50/50 of beating Hillary and remember to not take their opinion seriously on anything else either.

This. The inherent question in this thread is, if the election were held today and knowing what we know now, do any of these candidates have greater than a 50% chance of beating Hillary Clinton in the general election?

The answer to that question, beyond the shadow of a doubt, is no. Anyone who says otherwise is trolling or delusional.

The election is not going to be held today. It's going to be held after two years of a campaign in which some voters who like Hillary Clinton will realize issues on which they disagree with her. That alone will have a big impact on her numbers.

Add to that the typical things that determine elections, as well as the short-term memories of voters. Hillary Clinton will not do very well with anyone who thinks things haven't gotten better from them while Obama was President.

[bedstuy]

Make a note of anyone who says any of these people have a better than 50/50 of beating Hillary and remember to not take their opinion seriously on anything else either.

This. The inherent question in this thread is, if the election were held today and knowing what we know now, do any of these candidates have greater than a 50% chance of beating Hillary Clinton in the general election?

The answer to that question, beyond the shadow of a doubt, is no. Anyone who says otherwise is trolling or delusional.

The election is not going to be held today. It's going to be held after two years of a campaign in which some voters who like Hillary Clinton will realize issues on which they disagree with her. That alone will have a big impact on her numbers.

Add to that the typical things that determine elections, as well as the short-term memories of voters. Hillary Clinton will not do very well with anyone who thinks things haven't gotten better from them while Obama was President.

Some voters who don't like Hillary Clinton will realize issues on which they agree with her.  And,  same for the Republican candidate. One person's subjective belief about what some people might believe in the future is not a good predictor of election outcomes.