Dems bank on ground game to make '14 like '12, '08

[Miles]

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[Franzl]

That, and add a seat or two once Republicans start talking about rape, and I like the DEMs' chances.

[Adam Griffin]

I've heard that in the next couple of weeks, new scoring models for each Senate candidate will be available in VAN, which goes out to every county party. The scores indicate likelihoods of supporting a candidate, turning out, etc. While the scores themselves aren't anything new, the only candidate-specific scores available until now were for Obama. I can't wait!

[SamInTheSouth]

That, and add a seat or two once Republicans start talking about rape, and I like the DEMs' chances.

You're fooling yourself.  The political winds are not blowing in the Democrats' favor at this time.  There is still a long way to November, but there is as much chance of the Democrats adding to their Senate majority as there is an alien invasion.

[Zioneer]

That, and add a seat or two once Republicans start talking about rape, and I like the DEMs' chances.

You're fooling yourself.  The political winds are not blowing in the Democrats' favor at this time.  There is still a long way to November, but there is as much chance of the Democrats adding to their Senate majority as there is an alien invasion.

I'd say that at best, the Dems keep the status quo, winning Kentucky and Georgia, and losing South Dakota and West Virgina. if they win either Kentucky or Georgia though, I don't see them losing the Senate.

[Vosem]

That, and add a seat or two once Republicans start talking about rape, and I like the DEMs' chances.

Their chances of what, losing fewer than 10 seats in the House?

[ElectionsGuy]

I don't think this will make much of a difference. 2014 will not be like 2012 at all, the dems will lose seats (overall) in the Senate, its almost impossible for them not to, its a matter of keeping those loses to a minimum. They're only shots of "adding" seats are winning KY and GA, which will require republicans to really screw up like they did with IN '12 last year. Certainly possible, but unlikely (more likely with Georgia than Kentucky at this point). And in the House, there odds of gaining seats are lower than losing seats (overall). It will be very hard and require a wave for them to take the house.