Harper (R) polls several races for Crossroads

[Miles]

Article.

AK
Begich- 41%
Treadwell- 47%

Begich- 41%
Sullivan- 47%

Begich- 51%
Miller- 32%

Obama- 31/61

AR
Cotton- 42%
Pryor- 36%

Obama- 31/64

LA

Landrieu- 42%
Cassidy- 29%
Maness- 4%
Hollis- 4%

Landrieu- 44%
Cassidy- 45%

Obama- 40/54

MI

Land- 42%
Peters- 37%

Obama- 38/52

MT

Daines- 43%
Walsh- 29%

Daines- 44%
Bohlinger- 32%

Obama- 36/56

NH

Shaheen- 40%
Brown- 35%

Obama- 35/57

NC

Hagan- 44%
Tillis- 44%

Hagan- 44%
Harris- 40%

Obama- 43/51

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

I seriously doubt that Begich is down by that much (if at all), or that Landrieu is up by that much.

[Miles]

I seriously doubt that Begich is down by that much (if at all), or that Landrieu is up by that much.

Thats for the primary

Landrieu and Cassidy are tied in the runoff.

[free my dawg]

lol

[IceSpear]

Besides the Alaska numbers these look pretty plausible.

[ElectionsGuy]

Looks just a little bit too good for republicans. According to this, republicans would pickup the Senate with room to spare. Alaska definitely looks like its too good, likely its much closer than that, with Begich just barely down or up. Also, still can't comprehend people who still think Montana is a "toss-up" because "Walsh is the incumbent". Even with Brown in New Hampshire, Shaheen will still likely win. And in Michigan, Peters will probably win in the end, despite his trailing at the moment. Everything else though actually looks pretty realistic.

[Vosem]

AK and MI are a bit too GOP; LA and NC are a bit too Dem. I think. But it's broadly pretty accurate.

[windjammer]

Why would LA be a bit too dem? She's not losing.

[Miles]

If anything, the LA poll is too GOP.

Harper undersampled the New Orleans area. For the MI poll, Detroit was similarly underrepresented.

[RogueBeaver]

Don't waste your time with this crap Miles. We're gettin' real polls very soon.

[DrScholl]

Interesting how they over-represented Land's home area by about 7%. I'm sure that was just a coincidence.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Don't waste your time with this crap Miles. We're gettin' real polls very soon.

ACA is being delayed and very sick signing up, these polls, I am afraid are accurate. GOP takeover is now a plausibility, not remote.

And so is a 2016 GOP prez. The GOP won't stay out of power, forever.

We gave the GOP SD and WVa by default,

[dmmidmi]

If anything, the LA poll is too GOP.

Harper undersampled the New Orleans area. For the MI poll, Detroit was similarly underrepresented.

West Michigan has never made up more than 20% of the electorate, and they give it a 26% weight? Metro Detroit has always made up between 48% and 50% of the electorate, and they give them a 35% weight?

They were a little bit generous with Flint/Tri-Cities and Mid-Michigan, though.

They underpolled Metro Detroit by close to 15 points. I'm sure there's a good explanation for that.