WA-2016: Murray seeking 5th term

[RogueBeaver]

No surprise that.

[Vosem]

I doubt she'll be challenged any more seriously than Cantwell was in 2012.

[windjammer]

Well, this might be potentially competitive. I have heard that Dave Reichert, a moderate republican representative, might seek this seat in 2016.

[bluedogsam]

i would assume as of right now Patty Murray is a safe seat.

[Miles]

Well, this might be potentially competitive. I have heard that Dave Reichert, a moderate republican representative, might seek this seat in 2016.

They already tried running a popular Republican Congressman against her in a Presidential year.

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

Dino Rossi is ready.

[Sol]

Well, this might be potentially competitive. I have heard that Dave Reichert, a moderate republican representative, might seek this seat in 2016.

They already tried running a popular Republican Congressman against her in a Presidential year.

Reichert is from King County though, so he'd probably do better than Nethercutt.

[KingSweden]

Well, this might be potentially competitive. I have heard that Dave Reichert, a moderate republican representative, might seek this seat in 2016.

They already tried running a popular Republican Congressman against her in a Presidential year.

Reichert is from King County though, so he'd probably do better than Nethercutt.

To qualify, it's a very small, working-class suburban/rural conservative-leaning corner of King County. The swingy suburbs were all drawn out of his district post-2010 and his district includes a lot of the central part of the state now. (He used to be my Congressman). I wouldn't be surprised if he ran, though, and he'd still do better than Nethercutt. If he vacates, his seat could be a D reach with the right conditions and candidate.

[IceSpear]

Well, this might be potentially competitive. I have heard that Dave Reichert, a moderate republican representative, might seek this seat in 2016.

I'm skeptical. He's always floated as a potential candidate but never pulls the trigger. Plus, Cantwell and Inslee would be more appealing targets than Murray anyway.

[publicunofficial]

Reichert and Beutler will be talked up as candidates but try won't pull the trigger. And while Reichert may be from the King County suburbs, he's only in Congress because his new district dropped most of those suburbs and instead pick up rural parts of Pierce County.


If the GOP gets lucky, they'll run Rob McKenna or Reagan Dunn. They won't win, but they'll put up Rossi-like numbers.

[Maxwell]

This is pretty safe D. Unless McKenna runs a spectacular (which wasn't the case in his Governors race, but he gave it a decent try) campaign, I can't see this being that close with anyone.

[windjammer]

Don't forget Republicans won't have many opportunities in 2016. Washington will be their third "opportunity", of course they won't win, but it will be a la Lundergan Grimes in Kentucky, she has been recruited because of a lack of opportunities.

Safe Dem, it won't be that. And don't forget Republicans are relatively strong locally: see Rossi and Mckenna's scores, the Pubs controlling the upper chamber.

Of course they won't win, like Lundergan won't win too (sorry Bandit ), but I'm sure they will try, they have no choice after all.

[IceSpear]

Don't forget Republicans won't have many opportunities in 2016. Washington will be their third "opportunity", of course they won't win, but it will be a la Lundergan Grimes in Kentucky, she has been recruited because of a lack of opportunities.

Safe Dem, it won't be that. And don't forget Republicans are relatively strong locally: see Rossi and Mckenna's scores, the Pubs controlling the upper chamber.

Of course they won't win, like Lundergan won't win too (sorry Bandit ), but I'm sure they will try, they have no choice after all.

Maybe when Murray has a toxic approval rating and starts trailing her potential challengers in polls, then you can compare it to KY 2014. Until then, they're nothing alike.

[windjammer]

Don't forget Republicans won't have many opportunities in 2016. Washington will be their third "opportunity", of course they won't win, but it will be a la Lundergan Grimes in Kentucky, she has been recruited because of a lack of opportunities.

Safe Dem, it won't be that. And don't forget Republicans are relatively strong locally: see Rossi and Mckenna's scores, the Pubs controlling the upper chamber.

Of course they won't win, like Lundergan won't win too (sorry Bandit ), but I'm sure they will try, they have no choice after all.

Maybe when Murray has a toxic approval rating and starts trailing her potential challengers in polls, then you can compare it to KY 2014. Until then, they're nothing alike.

Of course KY and WA are different. But I mean, if Lundergan was recruited, it was mainly because democrats have no targets except Georgia. And it will be the same thing for Republicans in 2016. I'm not saying Murray will lose, she will probably win, but Republicans won't concede this race, they have no other opportunities except potentially NV/CO

[henster]

The pubs will probably pick some random women from the legislature no one serious is going to give up their House seat to go up against a powerful incumbent like Murray.