Marist/McClatchy: Christie drops epically, Clinton leads all

[Tender Branson]

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This survey of 1,197 adults was conducted Feb. 4-9 by The Marist Poll sponsored in partnership with the McClatchy News Service. Adults residing in the continental United States were interviewed by telephone using live interviewers. Landline telephone numbers were randomly selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the nation from ASDE Survey Sampler Inc. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to its population. To increase coverage, this landline sample was supplemented by respondents reached through random dialing of cellphone numbers from Survey Sampling International. The two samples were then combined and balanced to reflect the 2010 census results for age, gender, income, race and region. Results are statistically significant within plus or minus 2.8 percentage points. There are 970 registered voters. The results for this subset are statistically significant within plus or minus 3.1 percentage points. The error margin increases for cross-tabulations.

Read more here: http://www.ledger-enquirer.com/2014/02/11/2946504/mcclatchy-marist-poll-christie.html#storylink=cpy

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LOL, Christie ...

[Tender Branson]

The news article doesn't mention the exact numbers, nor does the file in the article.

I also checked the Marist site, but even there the numbers are not up yet.

[Mr. Morden]

Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
Paul Ryan (R) 44%

Hillary Clinton (D) 58%
Chris Christie (R) 37%

Hillary Clinton (D) 62%
Sarah Palin (R) 35%

[Likely Voter]

There has been a lot of movement in this poll since their December numbers (last poll before Bridgegate blew up), and not just with Christie...

Clinton v     Dec  Feb  (Change)
Ryan          -16   -8    (+8)
Romney      NA  -9     NA
Huckabee    NA  -14   NA
Cruz           -22  -17  (+5)
Bush          -12   -20  (-8)
Paul           -15   -20  (-5)
Christie      -3    -21   (-18)
Rubio         -10  -21   (-11)
Palin           -23  -27  (-4)
Perry          -21  NA    NA

[henster]

Christie is no longer a viable candidate I seriously doubt he sticks around after New Hampshire.

[pbrower2a]

Right-wingers may tolerate the abuse of power so long as they are not the ones who experience the abuse, but liberals don't tolerate it. Liberals recognize the abuse of power as something capable of hurting anyone.

Liberals wanted to believe that Chris Christie could cooperate with President Obama in a time of need. But he showed a serious gap.

[Mr. Morden]

Full results:

[tmthforu94]

With Christie in trouble, Romney is the strongest candidate the Republicans have. The party needs him to run again.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

With Christie in trouble, Romney is the strongest candidate the Republicans have. The party needs him to run again.

Oh, please do. It would be so funny.

[Tender Branson]

Crosstabs:

https://s3.amazonaws.com/s3.documentcloud.org/documents/1016978/mcclatchy-marist-poll-2016-nature-of-the-sample.pdf

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Interesting: The same poll in December had Clinton only ahead of Christie by 3 points.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Best all, this poll oversamples Republicans, Tea Party supporters, and older people. So it's actually even worse for the GOP than it appears.

[Tender Branson]

Best all, this poll oversamples Republicans, Tea Party supporters, and older people. So it's actually even worse for the GOP than it appears.

The sample is:

34% D
27% R
37% I
  2% O

How is that oversampling Republicans ?

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Best all, this poll oversamples Republicans, Tea Party supporters, and older people. So it's actually even worse for the GOP than it appears.

The sample is:

34% D
27% R
37% I
  2% O

How is that oversampling Republicans ?

Other polls have the Republicans in the low 20s.

[tmthforu94]

Best all, this poll oversamples Republicans, Tea Party supporters, and older people. So it's actually even worse for the GOP than it appears.

This has it at 34-27-38 for Democrats. 2012 exit polls were 38-32-29. Looks pretty spot on to me (unfortunately).

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

With Christie in trouble, Romney is the strongest candidate the Republicans have. The party needs him to run again.

Remember what the definition of insanity is?

[King]

And this is all with Obama underwater. If he can get any semblance of popularity in the next two years, she could be pushing 60 against all challengers

[The Dowager Mod]

I notice there was no Walker in the poll.

[Napoleon]

With Christie in trouble, Romney is the strongest candidate the Republicans have. The party needs him to run again.

Remember what the definition of insanity is?

So who would do better than Romney?

[eric82oslo]

And this is all with Obama underwater. If he can get any semblance of popularity in the next two years, she could be pushing 60 against all challengers

Good point. All Democrats need to do, is to keep showing eachother solidarity and not to fragment into small pieces, like the Republicans have already done. As long as Hillary continues to receive about 70% support from Democratic voters, she should be more than fine.

[DrScholl]

With Christie in trouble, Romney is the strongest candidate the Republicans have. The party needs him to run again.

Under poor economic conditions, Romney failed to defeat an incumbent and by a wide electoral margin, which does not really equal a formidable candidate.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

With Christie in trouble, Romney is the strongest candidate the Republicans have. The party needs him to run again.

Remember what the definition of insanity is?

So who would do better than Romney?

They may well be in the situation that no one can do better than Romney - but I doubt that there's NO ONE else anywhere in the party who could be competitive.