Marist/McClatchy: Christie drops epically, Clinton leads all (user search)
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  Marist/McClatchy: Christie drops epically, Clinton leads all (search mode)
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Author Topic: Marist/McClatchy: Christie drops epically, Clinton leads all  (Read 2188 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: February 11, 2014, 12:02:56 PM »

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This survey of 1,197 adults was conducted Feb. 4-9 by The Marist Poll sponsored in partnership with the McClatchy News Service. Adults residing in the continental United States were interviewed by telephone using live interviewers. Landline telephone numbers were randomly selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the nation from ASDE Survey Sampler Inc. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to its population. To increase coverage, this landline sample was supplemented by respondents reached through random dialing of cellphone numbers from Survey Sampling International. The two samples were then combined and balanced to reflect the 2010 census results for age, gender, income, race and region. Results are statistically significant within plus or minus 2.8 percentage points. There are 970 registered voters. The results for this subset are statistically significant within plus or minus 3.1 percentage points. The error margin increases for cross-tabulations.

Read more here: http://www.ledger-enquirer.com/2014/02/11/2946504/mcclatchy-marist-poll-christie.html#storylink=cpy

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LOL, Christie ... Tongue
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #1 on: February 11, 2014, 12:05:14 PM »

The news article doesn't mention the exact numbers, nor does the file in the article.

I also checked the Marist site, but even there the numbers are not up yet.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #2 on: February 12, 2014, 03:08:49 AM »

Crosstabs:

https://s3.amazonaws.com/s3.documentcloud.org/documents/1016978/mcclatchy-marist-poll-2016-nature-of-the-sample.pdf

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Interesting: The same poll in December had Clinton only ahead of Christie by 3 points.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #3 on: February 12, 2014, 03:12:34 AM »

Best all, this poll oversamples Republicans, Tea Party supporters, and older people. So it's actually even worse for the GOP than it appears.

The sample is:

34% D
27% R
37% I
  2% O

How is that oversampling Republicans ?
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