San Diego Mayoral Run-Off
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Author Topic: San Diego Mayoral Run-Off  (Read 1878 times)
publicunofficial
angryGreatness
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« on: February 11, 2014, 09:52:38 PM »
« edited: February 11, 2014, 09:54:23 PM by angryGreatness »
The run-off for the race to replace Bob Filner is tonight. Polls close in a little over an hour.


The candidates are City Councilmen David Alvarez (D) and Kevin Faulconer (R). The CAGOP haven't won a lot of competitive races lately, so this could be a shot in the arm for them. If the Democrats win, it will be the first time that Democrats will hold the Mayors office of the Top 12 most populous cities in the United States (Although they technically still hold San Diego with the interim mayor).


Feel free to post predictions before the votes come in.

Mine: Faulconer 51%, Alvarez 49%
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publicunofficial
angryGreatness
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« Reply #1 on: February 11, 2014, 11:01:58 PM »
Results here
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #2 on: February 11, 2014, 11:05:24 PM »
I'm not going to guess since I'll likely be way off. But key democratic turnout should be low, making a good chance for Faulconer to win. San Diego is more conservative when compared to the rest of California, so he can definitely win here. But I say lean Alvarez. Should be interesting.
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publicunofficial
angryGreatness
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« Reply #3 on: February 11, 2014, 11:11:49 PM »
Polls have officially closed.
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publicunofficial
angryGreatness
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« Reply #4 on: February 11, 2014, 11:13:50 PM »
« Edited: February 11, 2014, 11:18:16 PM by angryGreatness »
167,000 votes are in. Faulconer leads 57-43.



About 242,000 votes were cast in the primary, so it's not looking good for Alvarez.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #5 on: February 11, 2014, 11:19:36 PM »
For some reason it says only 1.6% of the vote is in, yet there's 160,000+ votes. Huh
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publicunofficial
angryGreatness
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« Reply #6 on: February 11, 2014, 11:26:58 PM »
Twitter is saying no more results for 90 minutes. Apparently that 1.6% is just absentees so far.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #7 on: February 11, 2014, 11:30:25 PM »
Eh, I 'll just see the results in the morning.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #8 on: February 12, 2014, 01:14:11 AM »
There is some movement finally. Faulconer will, most likely, win. He has moderate reputation and does't frighten moderates, of which there are lots in the city. Alvarez "hard left" policy with Filner fatigue does't helps Democrats either.
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publicunofficial
angryGreatness
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« Reply #9 on: February 12, 2014, 01:31:11 AM »
13,000 more votes in, Faulconer still leads 57-43.
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publicunofficial
angryGreatness
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« Reply #10 on: February 12, 2014, 01:52:33 AM »
217,004 votes in, Faulconer still leads 55-45. Alvarez is running out of ways he can win.
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publicunofficial
angryGreatness
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« Reply #11 on: February 12, 2014, 02:37:05 AM »
85% in, Faulconer leads 55-45. The race has been called for Faulconer.



Should've nominated Nathan Fletcher, but whatever.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #12 on: February 12, 2014, 04:08:18 AM »
Quote from: angryGreatness on February 12, 2014, 02:37:05 AM
Should've nominated Nathan Fletcher, but whatever.

Right ideas always come AFTER elections...
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publicunofficial
angryGreatness
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« Reply #13 on: February 12, 2014, 04:59:51 AM »
Quote from: smoltchanov on February 12, 2014, 04:08:18 AM
Quote from: angryGreatness on February 12, 2014, 02:37:05 AM
Should've nominated Nathan Fletcher, but whatever.

Right ideas always come AFTER elections...


I think Democrats are still kinda new to having the advantage in San Diego, and they forgot that San Diego tends to vote for the most moderate candidate. Faulconer is less conservative than Alvarez liberal, and I think Democrats pulled a Tea-Party mistake by choosing purity over pragmatics.

I'm hardly upset by it. Dems have a large enough majority on the City Council to keep Faulconer in check, and Faulconer is overall a bit to the left of Carl DeMaio. This race also had pretty damn high turnout for a special election, which makes me more confident that the turnout for the CA-52 race in November will be even better.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #14 on: February 12, 2014, 06:46:35 AM »
Quote from: angryGreatness on February 12, 2014, 04:59:51 AM
Quote from: smoltchanov on February 12, 2014, 04:08:18 AM
Quote from: angryGreatness on February 12, 2014, 02:37:05 AM
Should've nominated Nathan Fletcher, but whatever.

Right ideas always come AFTER elections...

I think Democrats are still kinda new to having the advantage in San Diego, and they forgot that San Diego tends to vote for the most moderate candidate. Faulconer is less conservative than Alvarez liberal, and I think Democrats pulled a Tea-Party mistake by choosing purity over pragmatics.

These were (almost word-for-word) my words on another political forum. Completely agree...
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #15 on: February 12, 2014, 07:03:42 AM »
Final Results:

Kevin Faulconer (R): 137,296 (54.5%)
David Alvarez (D): 114,478 (45.5%)
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #16 on: February 12, 2014, 07:57:53 AM »
It wasn't even close. Excellent.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #17 on: February 12, 2014, 10:12:42 AM »
In before Republicans start measuring drapes for every single statewide office and congressional seat. I wouldn't read this as a sign of November landslide, which is definitely going to be the meme that Republicans all over are going to be pushing.
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free my dawg
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« Reply #18 on: February 12, 2014, 11:11:57 AM »
Quote from: krazen1211 on February 12, 2014, 08:54:51 AM
That was a big thrashing. Faulconer got ~65% in CA-52.


Note that Alvarez was leading in the PPP poll.

Honestly not surprised.
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Zioneer
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« Reply #19 on: February 12, 2014, 01:17:39 PM »
Probably should've gone for Fletcher. Oh well. It's not like we gave the Republicans a strong statewide candidate or enhanced the electability of any Congressional candidates.
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TX Conservative Dem
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« Reply #20 on: February 12, 2014, 01:49:39 PM »
CA GOPers aren't winning statewide offices  again.

For a GOPer to win statewide, you gotta be moderate or appear acceptable to Dem and Indy voters.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #21 on: February 12, 2014, 04:44:35 PM »
Quote from: Invisible Obama on February 12, 2014, 10:12:42 AM
In before Republicans start measuring drapes for every single statewide office and congressional seat. I wouldn't read this as a sign of November landslide, which is definitely going to be the meme that Republicans all over are going to be pushing.

Nobody is saying that. This is a San Diego mayoral race, its not of any indication of much of anything.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #22 on: February 13, 2014, 03:07:26 AM »
Quote from: TX Conservative Dem on February 12, 2014, 01:49:39 PM
CA GOPers aren't winning statewide offices  again.

For a GOPer to win statewide, you gotta be moderate or appear acceptable to Dem and Indy voters.

Exactly what Faulconer is. Fiscal conservative, social - at least moderate (may be even "somewhat liberal")
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #23 on: February 13, 2014, 01:52:48 PM »
Didn't the Dem. mayor here resign over some scandal ?

If yes, this is hardly surprising ...
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #24 on: February 13, 2014, 03:06:11 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on February 13, 2014, 01:52:48 PM
Didn't the Dem. mayor here resign over some scandal ?

Correct, another aggressor in his party's War on Women.
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