CA-31: Miller retiring
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Author Topic: CA-31: Miller retiring  (Read 983 times)
Miles
MilesC56
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« on: February 12, 2014, 03:20:19 PM »
Gary, this time.
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wasionboy
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« Reply #1 on: February 12, 2014, 03:31:52 PM »
D+1
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morgieb
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« Reply #2 on: February 12, 2014, 03:40:04 PM »
Could actually be a positive for the Republicans, this.
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Zioneer
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« Reply #3 on: February 12, 2014, 04:21:59 PM »

This, but seriously.
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jfern
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« Reply #4 on: February 12, 2014, 05:47:40 PM »
Republicans know they're toast in this district when the retarded top two system won't block a Democrat from being in the general election. The district is D+5, and the next most Democratic district held by a Republican is D+2.
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SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #5 on: February 12, 2014, 06:08:20 PM »
Might the general election be the reverse of the 2012 general election?
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Mr. Reactionary
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« Reply #6 on: February 12, 2014, 06:35:08 PM »
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #7 on: February 12, 2014, 09:05:26 PM »
It was Safe D with Miller, it'll be Safe D without him.
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jfern
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« Reply #8 on: February 12, 2014, 10:37:44 PM »
Quote from: angryGreatness on February 12, 2014, 09:05:26 PM
It was Safe D with Miller, it'll be Safe D without him.

If anything it's less safe without him, because the Democrats would be more likely to get one of the top two spots against a Republican incumbent then in an open election. But I imagine the Democratic party will back a candidate in the primary. The top two system really encourages parties to pick a candidate early, which I don't think is generally a good thing.
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publicunofficial
angryGreatness
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« Reply #9 on: February 12, 2014, 10:50:53 PM »
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on February 12, 2014, 10:37:44 PM
Quote from: angryGreatness on February 12, 2014, 09:05:26 PM
It was Safe D with Miller, it'll be Safe D without him.

If anything it's less safe without him, because the Democrats would be more likely to get one of the top two spots against a Republican incumbent then in an open election. But I imagine the Democratic party will back a candidate in the primary. The top two system really encourages parties to pick a candidate early, which I don't think is generally a good thing.


There never was a 2nd R candidate, so Dems were always going to make the Top Two regardless.
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jfern
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« Reply #10 on: February 13, 2014, 01:14:28 AM »
Quote from: angryGreatness on February 12, 2014, 10:50:53 PM
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on February 12, 2014, 10:37:44 PM
Quote from: angryGreatness on February 12, 2014, 09:05:26 PM
It was Safe D with Miller, it'll be Safe D without him.

If anything it's less safe without him, because the Democrats would be more likely to get one of the top two spots against a Republican incumbent then in an open election. But I imagine the Democratic party will back a candidate in the primary. The top two system really encourages parties to pick a candidate early, which I don't think is generally a good thing.


There never was a 2nd R candidate, so Dems were always going to make the Top Two regardless.

That's not what happened in 2012.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #11 on: February 13, 2014, 01:51:47 AM »
D+1 probably. Matheson and McIntyre in reverse in some sense)))
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Zioneer
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« Reply #12 on: February 13, 2014, 02:11:05 AM »
Quote from: smoltchanov on February 13, 2014, 01:51:47 AM
D+1 probably. Matheson and McIntyre in reverse in some sense)))

I hope the Dems get another one of those.
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publicunofficial
angryGreatness
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« Reply #13 on: February 13, 2014, 02:48:30 AM »
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on February 13, 2014, 01:14:28 AM
Quote from: angryGreatness on February 12, 2014, 10:50:53 PM
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on February 12, 2014, 10:37:44 PM
Quote from: angryGreatness on February 12, 2014, 09:05:26 PM
It was Safe D with Miller, it'll be Safe D without him.

If anything it's less safe without him, because the Democrats would be more likely to get one of the top two spots against a Republican incumbent then in an open election. But I imagine the Democratic party will back a candidate in the primary. The top two system really encourages parties to pick a candidate early, which I don't think is generally a good thing.


There never was a 2nd R candidate, so Dems were always going to make the Top Two regardless.

That's not what happened in 2012.


But we're talking about 2014 now. A Republican besides Miller COULD have gotten into the race,  but none did. And if the candidates in the primary are Gary Miller and 4-5 Democrats, logic dictates that the top two would likely be Miller vs. Aguilar/Baca/Reyes/Tillman.
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Deus Naturae
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« Reply #14 on: February 25, 2014, 08:14:49 PM »
Hilda Solis endorses Gomez Reyes.
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free my dawg
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« Reply #15 on: February 25, 2014, 11:26:52 PM »
« Edited: February 25, 2014, 11:32:27 PM by Sawxsylvania »
I'd honestly be happy with either.

In another note, Republicans have three candidates here. Would be funny if Aguillar and Reyes both made the top two.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #16 on: February 26, 2014, 12:03:14 AM »
I think he knew he couldn't win. Doesn't change too much, D+1.
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