WA-04: Doc Hastings retiring

[Miles]

Just breaking.

[Flake]

R+20

[Landslide Lyndon]

Who?

[Indy Texas]

So that brings us to 34 retirements as of today...

12 are running for the US Senate

2 are running for governor in their state

20 are leaving politics, at least for the time being

[smoltchanov]

Safe R of course. The most republican part of Washington state.

[publicunofficial]

Fun Fact: WA-04 is the least white district in Washington.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

Damn, thought this was Alcee Hastings for a second.

[publicunofficial]

Roll Call plays Great Mentioner:


2012 Public Lands Commissioner Nominee Clint Didier (R-Connell)
Former WA Dept. of Agriculture Director Dan Newhouse (R-Sunnyside)
State Sen. Sharon Brown (R-Kennewick)
State Sen. Janea Holmquist Newbry (R-Moses Lake)
State Sen. Curtis King (R-Yakima)
State Rep. Bruce Chandler (R-Granger)
State Rep. Brad Klippert (R-Kennewick)
State Rep. Matt Manweller (R-Ellensburg) (Lives in the 8th District, but his seat covers a large portion of the 4th)
State Rep. David Taylor (R-Moxee)


Didier is a Tea Party type, Klippert and Brown are social conservatives, and Newbry and Newhouse are Chamber of Commerce/Farm Bureau types. The rest I'm not sure about.

[badgate]

"Great Mentioner"? That's a thing?

[morgieb]

Fun Fact: WA-04 is the least white district in Washington.

McDermott's district is whiter?

[DrScholl]

Fun Fact: WA-04 is the least white district in Washington.

McDermott's district is whiter?

Yes, Seattle is very liberal, but also very white. WA-4 has a growing Hispanic population, more than WA-7.

[ElectionsGuy]

R+2013

Fun Fact: WA-04 is the least white district in Washington.

McDermott's district is whiter?

Yeah, the only reason Hasting's district is less white is because it so Hispanic. And part of the reason it is so republican is because Hispanics don't turn out very well. And Seattle is definitely the type of place packed with white urban liberal elitists.

[publicunofficial]

"Great Mentioner"? That's a thing?

Every open seat has Roll Call name about 10 or so candidates that could run. They usually get a couple of them right.

Fun Fact: WA-04 is the least white district in Washington.

McDermott's district is whiter?

Yeah, the only reason Hasting's district is less white is because it so Hispanic. And part of the reason it is so republican is because Hispanics don't turn out very well. And Seattle is definitely the type of place packed with urban liberal elitists.

WA-04 is around 25% Hispanic, IIRC. I think it's the least white district in the Pacific Northwest. However, I'd wager most of the Hispanics there aren't eligible to vote, and the ones that are eligible don't turnout very well. I could see it becoming a competitive seat in a generation or two, but for now is super-safe R.

[Seattle]

WA-9 is actually the least white district, since it's a minority-majority district (barely). It's 48.1% non-hispanic white. WA-4 is 56.1% non-hispanic white (37% hispanic), while WA-7 is 72% non-hispanic white.

Fun fact: Inslee represented this seat from 92-94. Hastings beat him in the 94 Republican Revolution. Inslee moved to Western Washington and returned to congress with his win in the 1st district in 98.

[Miles]

Fun fact: Inslee represented this seat from 92-94. Hastings beat him in the 94 Republican Revolution. Inslee moved to Western Washington and returned to congress with his win in the 1st district in 98.

Forgive my ignorance, but always wondered about that. So he basically carpetbagged over even though CD1 had almost nothing in common with CD4?

[Zioneer]

I'm kind of annoyed that all these ultra-safe Republicans are retiring while the Dems that retire this year tend to be somewhat vulnerable.

[RedSLC]

Fun fact: Inslee represented this seat from 92-94. Hastings beat him in the 94 Republican Revolution. Inslee moved to Western Washington and returned to congress with his win in the 1st district in 98.

Forgive my ignorance, but always wondered about that. So he basically carpetbagged over even though CD1 had almost nothing in common with CD4?

I'm surprised that Inslee was able to win here in the first place, considering that even Bill Clinton couldn't carry this district.

[Meeker]

Fun fact: Inslee represented this seat from 92-94. Hastings beat him in the 94 Republican Revolution. Inslee moved to Western Washington and returned to congress with his win in the 1st district in 98.

Forgive my ignorance, but always wondered about that. So he basically carpetbagged over even though CD1 had almost nothing in common with CD4?

He's originally from Western Washington, in the area of where WA-01 was in 1998. After he finished law school he set up his practice in a small town outside of Yakima, in Central/Eastern Washington. He represented the area in the State Legislature and Congress before losing in 1994. Then in 1996 he ran for governor and lost. So carpetbagger isn't quite the right adjective, but it is an unusual situation.

[smoltchanov]

Roll Call plays Great Mentioner:


2012 Public Lands Commissioner Nominee Clint Didier (R-Connell)
Former WA Dept. of Agriculture Director Dan Newhouse (R-Sunnyside)
State Sen. Sharon Brown (R-Kennewick)
State Sen. Janea Holmquist Newbry (R-Moses Lake)
State Sen. Curtis King (R-Yakima)
State Rep. Bruce Chandler (R-Granger)
State Rep. Brad Klippert (R-Kennewick)
State Rep. Matt Manweller (R-Ellensburg) (Lives in the 8th District, but his seat covers a large portion of the 4th)
State Rep. David Taylor (R-Moxee)


Didier is a Tea Party type, Klippert and Brown are social conservatives, and Newbry and Newhouse are Chamber of Commerce/Farm Bureau types. The rest I'm not sure about.

I immediately become Newbry and Newhouse fan as least objectionable among Republicans mentioned. But may be there is someone better (but electable, i don't care about unelectable candidates)?

[publicunofficial]

Roll Call plays Great Mentioner:


2012 Public Lands Commissioner Nominee Clint Didier (R-Connell)
Former WA Dept. of Agriculture Director Dan Newhouse (R-Sunnyside)
State Sen. Sharon Brown (R-Kennewick)
State Sen. Janea Holmquist Newbry (R-Moses Lake)
State Sen. Curtis King (R-Yakima)
State Rep. Bruce Chandler (R-Granger)
State Rep. Brad Klippert (R-Kennewick)
State Rep. Matt Manweller (R-Ellensburg) (Lives in the 8th District, but his seat covers a large portion of the 4th)
State Rep. David Taylor (R-Moxee)


Didier is a Tea Party type, Klippert and Brown are social conservatives, and Newbry and Newhouse are Chamber of Commerce/Farm Bureau types. The rest I'm not sure about.

I immediately become Newbry and Newhouse fan as least objectionable among Republicans mentioned. But may be there is someone better (but electable, i don't care about unelectable candidates)?

Every Republican is electable in WA-04 so no need to worry about that. Even Didier, who is a real Joe Miller type, would have no trouble here.


Personally, I think Didier or Newbry wins it. It's possible that the Dems don't put up a candidate or fail to make the Top Two, in which case the more liberal Republican would probably win.

[smoltchanov]

I know that every Republican is electable in WA-04, and no Democrat - is. Hence (with my views) - i want to see as moderate as possible republican elected, and will root for him. It's very simple...

[publicunofficial]

I know that every Republican is electable in WA-04, and no Democrat - is. Hence (with my views) - i want to see as moderate as possible republican elected, and will root for him. It's very simple...

The most moderate Republican in the area is probably State Rep. Maureen Walsh, who lives just outside WA-04, in the Walla Walla suburbs. She gained fame for her viral speech in favor of marriage equality, and she's so moderate that most of her opponents have been other Republicans looking to kick her out. She'd have little chance in a primary, unless she somehow became the de facto D candidate.

[smoltchanov]

I know that every Republican is electable in WA-04, and no Democrat - is. Hence (with my views) - i want to see as moderate as possible republican elected, and will root for him. It's very simple...

The most moderate Republican in the area is probably State Rep. Maureen Walsh, who lives just outside WA-04, in the Walla Walla suburbs. She gained fame for her viral speech in favor of marriage equality, and she's so moderate that most of her opponents have been other Republicans looking to kick her out. She'd have little chance in a primary, unless she somehow became the de facto D candidate.

Thanks! Then - second after her))

[Seattle]

I'd love for Maureen Walsh to run. I'm sure she'd have little chance of winning the primary, unfortunately. I'm also sure the Ds will put up a candidate. They actually got within a few points of taking out Hastings in 2006 and within 10 points in 2008.

[smoltchanov]

I'd love for Maureen Walsh to run. I'm sure she'd have little chance of winning the primary, unfortunately. I'm also sure the Ds will put up a candidate. They actually got within a few points of taking out Hastings in 2006 and within 10 points in 2008.

These were wave years. 2014 - will not..