Which map is more likely to happen in the next twenty years?

[I Will Not Be Wrong]

Both are very close elections.

[Person Man]

Probably the bottom one. Though both are very plausible.  It would be better to see which states are swing states in 2032, though. 

The top one would be based on labor making a comeback and both parties reducing their reliance on religious and ethnic issues such as abortion and immigration.

The bottom is more plausible if the economy improves, the neoliberal consensus is even less challenged and Democrats are forced to rely on social issues to stay relevant.

[I Will Not Be Wrong]

Looks like map 2 is winning, I actually thought map 1 was going to win, haha.

[I Will Not Be Wrong]

But still, I think the first is more likely, but oh well.

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

2.

1 if you swapped new mexico for georgia.

[I Will Not Be Wrong]

2.

1 if you swapped new mexico for georgia.

1 is meant for if Republicans gain in Hispanics.

[RTX]

I see New Hampshire going from Lean Dem to Likely Dem in the next 20 years and would be red in both maps

[Skill and Chance]

How about this?  It's basically a combination of demographic change and more purely urban-rural polarization instead of regional voting.

The key point is GA/AZ/FL not only shifting left but ultimately overtaking CO and NC.  IL would be equivalent to PA today.

[I Will Not Be Wrong]

How about this?  It's basically a combination of demographic change and more purely urban-rural polarization instead of regional voting.

That's an interesting map.

The key point is GA/AZ/FL not only shifting left but ultimately overtaking CO and NC.  IL would be equivalent to PA today.

[dmmidmi]

Republicans aren't going to win Minnesota, so map 1 by default.