Quebec: April 7, 2014
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Author Topic: Quebec: April 7, 2014  (Read 62862 times)
RogueBeaver
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« on: February 18, 2014, 09:40:32 AM »
« edited: March 02, 2014, 08:14:59 PM by RogueBeaver »
The Assnat will be dissolved March 11 for an April 14 election. PQ now in majority territory 40/34/16.
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Sol
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« Reply #1 on: February 18, 2014, 09:42:22 AM »
Didn't the NDP launch a Quebec provincial party? Will that be up and running for the election?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #2 on: February 18, 2014, 09:52:48 AM »
Yes, probably not ready.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #3 on: February 18, 2014, 10:05:40 AM »
One thing from the crosstabs: PQ leads 47/23 among Francophones. Strong, stable majority government indeed.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #4 on: February 18, 2014, 10:30:30 AM »
Potentially 7 debates. 6 TVA duels (2 per night) and 1 RDI debate with all 4 leaders. Now that'll be fun.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #5 on: February 18, 2014, 10:43:18 AM »
I would be surprised if TVA really invites Françoise David to its debates.

Péladeau is a right-wing Péquiste, so, he doesn't want to give airtime to the left, especially than QS is mostly taking PQ votes.

But, they lost their main argument, which is the incompatibility of the format, as they were forced to transform it in a 4-person format after Joly rise in Montreal election.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #6 on: February 18, 2014, 10:45:42 AM »
Very ironically, April 14, 2003 was the day of the election in which PQ lost power to the Liberals.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #7 on: February 18, 2014, 10:56:09 AM »
Yeah, I remember that night.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #8 on: February 18, 2014, 11:27:07 AM »
NOTRE RAI PAYS
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #9 on: February 18, 2014, 12:13:46 PM »
308 translates that CROP as 79/40/6 in seats, which would be the highest seat count for either party in 25 years.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #10 on: February 18, 2014, 12:40:32 PM »
TCTC has 70/48/5/2 in seats. Detailed projection has Couillard and Moreau both in dead heats.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #11 on: February 18, 2014, 12:45:51 PM »
Is Legault running in a new riding or sticking w/L'Assomption? Cause he'd get walloped if he stays.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #12 on: February 18, 2014, 01:12:26 PM »
Quote from: RogueBeaver on February 18, 2014, 12:45:51 PM
Is Legault running in a new riding or sticking w/L'Assomption? Cause he'd get walloped if he stays.

Legault will run in L'Assomption.
PQ candidate is Pierre Paquette, the former BQ house leader MP for Joliette. He was widely seen as Duceppe successor until he declined to run for BQ leadership. So, an heavyweight and possibly a future Cabinet member.
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Nathan
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« Reply #13 on: February 18, 2014, 01:15:43 PM »
How hard is the PQ running on that sketchy laïcité law?
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MaxQue
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« Reply #14 on: February 18, 2014, 01:26:18 PM »
Quote from: asexual trans victimologist on February 18, 2014, 01:15:43 PM
How hard is the PQ running on that sketchy laïcité law?

Didn't heard about it this month, through obviously, right now, media is obsessed by Winter Olympics.
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EarlAW
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« Reply #15 on: February 18, 2014, 01:28:32 PM »
I'll try to get a preliminary projection map up ASAP (next few days). I'll see how much time I have. 
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #16 on: February 18, 2014, 01:43:28 PM »
Yeah, Paquette might even be a leadership hopeful later. Though for now I'd limit that pool to Drainville, Lisée and Duchesne.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #17 on: February 18, 2014, 02:58:15 PM »
Hah: the budget "consultations" between Marceau and Paradis lasted all of 5 minutes. Paradis would've been a good PLQ leader... but doesn't fit the soft-soft, martini, conformist mold demanded by the Establishment (when the PLQ needs precisely the opposite mold IMO).
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #18 on: February 18, 2014, 03:31:24 PM »
Good! Hopefully PQ finally wins an absolute majority.
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lilTommy
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« Reply #19 on: February 18, 2014, 03:39:18 PM »
Quote from: MaxQue on February 18, 2014, 01:26:18 PM
Quote from: asexual trans victimologist on February 18, 2014, 01:15:43 PM
How hard is the PQ running on that sketchy laïcité law?

Didn't heard about it this month, through obviously, right now, media is obsessed by Winter Olympics.

A few friends are talking/thinking the QS could sweep up the PQs left-wing vote in Montreal primarily due to the charter and the PQs even more obvious move the the social-right, which will sour their vote in some key battle ridings in the central/DT areas.
Also, the NPDQ is still grossly under organized to be any real threat... the federal party should have made the effort back in 2006 to built a provincial wing, when the Sherbrooke Declaration was first drawn up. So no go there, the progressives should start to rally more around QS, outside of the west island that is
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DL
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« Reply #20 on: February 18, 2014, 03:44:00 PM »
Quote from: Antonio V on February 18, 2014, 03:31:24 PM
Good! Hopefully PQ finally wins an absolute majority.

I didn't realize you were a fan of Front nationale-style xenophobia from the PQ?
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #21 on: February 18, 2014, 04:27:25 PM »
Quote from: DL on February 18, 2014, 03:44:00 PM
Quote from: Antonio V on February 18, 2014, 03:31:24 PM
Good! Hopefully PQ finally wins an absolute majority.

I didn't realize you were a fan of Front nationale-style xenophobia from the PQ?

I just don't much care about linguistic issues one way or another, and PQ is clearly the best on serious issues.
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Nathan
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« Reply #22 on: February 18, 2014, 05:05:34 PM »
The NPDQ can't get set up fast enough.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #23 on: February 18, 2014, 05:31:42 PM »
There's been conflicting reports about whether they're just reserving the name or setting up a full-fledged party.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #24 on: February 18, 2014, 05:41:40 PM »
Quote from: RogueBeaver on February 18, 2014, 05:31:42 PM
There's been conflicting reports about whether they're just reserving the name or setting up a full-fledged party.

I'm not sure they decided yet either.
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