Quebec: April 7, 2014

[MaxQue]

Here are my week 1 projections: http://canadianelectionatlas.blogspot.ca/2014/03/2014-quebec-provincial-election-week-1.html

You may begin your criticisms now.

Perhaps you should disable the spelling corrector in OpenOffice.

[Hatman 🍁]

Here are my week 1 projections: http://canadianelectionatlas.blogspot.ca/2014/03/2014-quebec-provincial-election-week-1.html

You may begin your criticisms now.

Perhaps you should disable the spelling corrector in OpenOffice.

How embarrassing!  These things just become a blur after a while, and you don't even notice them.

[RogueBeaver]

Dunno how your (and TCTC/308) model accounts for Houda-Pepin as I-PLQ in La Piniere, or indies in general.

[RogueBeaver]

Never mind: 308 accounts for her, Breguet thinks she'll do as poorly as Indies usually do. At least Hanley was entertaining and did a lot for his constituents...

[You kip if you want to...]

Is Quebec heading for another referendum should the PQ get a majority?

[Hatman 🍁]

Dunno how your (and TCTC/308) model accounts for Houda-Pepin as I-PLQ in La Piniere, or indies in general.

I don't know much about her, but I suspect she carries little personal vote with her. I'll probably look up the average % an independent incumbent gets over the last few elections and give her that. What do others think? 

[MaxQue]

Dunno how your (and TCTC/308) model accounts for Houda-Pepin as I-PLQ in La Piniere, or indies in general.

I don't know much about her, but I suspect she carries little personal vote with her. I'll probably look up the average % an independent incumbent gets over the last few elections and give her that. What do others think? 

I doubt you will find many independant incumbents to do your average.

[RogueBeaver]

Yeah, 1 in the last 60 years isn't exactly a great sample size. FWIW 308 has her at 21% on average, with the fat doctor at 40%.

[MaxQue]

Yeah, 1 in the last 60 years isn't exactly a great sample size. FWIW 308 has her at 21% on average, with the fat doctor at 40%.

Despite him being a star candidate, I doubt he will get much personnal vote (I wouldn't be surprised if he had a negative personnal vote, everytime I heard someone talking about him, it was negative. I'm not in Montreal area, but I doubt he is much more appreciated there).

[RogueBeaver]

If Marois gets a majority she will enact the Charte and amend that other Charte to francize medium and small business. Plus the euthanasia bill. Fortunately no CEGEP-101.

[MaxQue]

If Marois gets a majority she will enact the Charte and amend that other Charte to francize medium and small business. Plus the euthanasia bill. Fortunately no CEGEP-101.

Well, euthanasia seems to be a done deal, no matter if she gets a majority (or even, no matter the winner).

[Qavvavak]

I got my results

GRN 67%
QS 58%
ON 57%
QLP 57%
PQ 50%
CAQ 39%
CPQ 35%

[DC Al Fine]

Why did they include the Conservative Party? Are they running a full slate or something?

[MaxQue]

Why did they include the Conservative Party? Are they running a full slate or something?

No, but neither will Greens.

[Hatman 🍁]

I've updated my charts to remove the spell check, and to also show the 2012 election winner for comparison.

[DL]

Yeah, 1 in the last 60 years isn't exactly a great sample size. FWIW 308 has her at 21% on average, with the fat doctor at 40%.

Despite him being a star candidate, I doubt he will get much personnal vote (I wouldn't be surprised if he had a negative personnal vote, everytime I heard someone talking about him, it was negative. I'm not in Montreal area, but I doubt he is much more appreciated there).

It really doesn't matter, La Piniere has quite a large non-francophone minority and since those people will vote about 95% PLQ that seat will be supersafe for the Barrette. Most independents get crushed when they try to run as independents and in the case of Fatima Houda-Pepin - what few votes she gets will probably be from Pequistes who like the idea of a pro-charter ex-Liberal and who know that the PQ can never win that riding anyways.

[RogueBeaver]

In other news, Lawrence Bergman is retiring. Wonder who Couillard will have to replace him.

[RogueBeaver]

More retirements: Breton and Malavoy.

[Qavvavak]

http://www.nunatsiaqonline.ca/stories/article/65674quebeckers_head_back_to_the_polls_april_7/

[RogueBeaver]

How many times will the Anglo media ask about an English debate? Marois openly admitted today her English isn't good enough. (I don't recall the whining about Charest not participating in English debates) Though I do agree that a Gazette interview in either language is fair game.

No CEGEP-101, as predicted.

[DL]

How many times will the Anglo media ask about an English debate?

Interestingly there are just as many franco-Ontarians as there are anglo-Quebecers and yet the francophone media in Ontario wouldn't even dream of asking Mme. Wynne, Mme. Horwath and M. Hudak to have a debate in French and if they did they would be laughed out of the room!

[DL]

More retirements: Breton and Malavoy.

Daniel Breton?? he sure didn't last long...and his riding could very easily slide over to Quebec Solidaire this time

[Hatman 🍁]

How many times will the Anglo media ask about an English debate?

Interestingly there are just as many franco-Ontarians as there are anglo-Quebecers and yet the francophone media in Ontario wouldn't even dream of asking Mme. Wynne, Mme. Horwath and M. Hudak to have a debate in French and if they did they would be laughed out of the room!

The same number, or the same proportions? Big difference.

It could be a slippery slope though, what's next, a Mandarin debate in BC?

[DL]

It could be a slippery slope though, what's next, a Mandarin debate in BC?

You know perfectly well that English and French are official languages in Canada (though only New Brunswick is officially bilingual at the provincial level) - Mandarin has no legal status in canada

[Hatman 🍁]

It could be a slippery slope though, what's next, a Mandarin debate in BC?

You know perfectly well that English and French are official languages in Canada (though only New Brunswick is officially bilingual at the provincial level) - Mandarin has no legal status in canada

That's not what would stop a Mandarin debate.